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Montana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Big Horn County, MT

9 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

9
FEMA declarations
6
Major disasters
57
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Big Horn County: 9 FEMA declaration records are 18% below the Montana county mean, even though the count is higher than 8% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks in the riskiest 43%.

Riskiest 43%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
9
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
16
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 30003 · Big Horn County 9 declarations · rank 3014/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 9
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,014
  • PHOTO-FINISH Fulton
  • NRI-LOW 57
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -18%

Nearest declaration peer: Fulton, OH (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Montana state profile

Big Horn County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Big Horn County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Big Horn County carries 9 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3014 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Big Horn County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Big Horn County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Big Horn County

9 8th percentile higher than 8% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Big Horn County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Montana avg33/10057.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Montana county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Big Horn County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Big Horn County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 57.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $11.2M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 32 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 16 claims and $245.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Montana county averages 11.0 federal declaration records, while Big Horn County has 9. The gap is 18% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Big Horn County, MT · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

9 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

9 declarations (0.8x state county average of 11)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

6 of 9 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Big Horn County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Big Horn County

Big Horn County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Big Horn County NRI risk profile FIPS 30003 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

9

Low volume

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

57

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Big Horn County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 162 years
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 24 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 32 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 3.1 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 5.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,021 years
Drought Relatively Low 75 modeled event-days per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Straight-Line Winds 1
Hurricane 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Big Horn County's record, 22% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 6 66.7%

of all 9 declarations

Emergency - 2 22.2%

of all 9 declarations

Fire Management - 1 11.1%

of all 9 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2021 1
2020 2
2011 1
2005 1
2001 1
2000 1
1978 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 9 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 9 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4902 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Straight-Line Winds 2026-04-07
5403 PF FIRE FM Fire 2021-07-28
4508 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-31
3476 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1996 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-06-17
3253 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1377 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2001-05-28
1340 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2000-08-30
558 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-05-29

Storm Events in Montana

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Big Horn County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 3,735 1 2 $5.3M
Thunderstorm Wind 2,396 5 24 $15.1M
Hail 2,015 0 0 $4.1M
Winter Storm 1,502 13 18 $11.2M
Heavy Snow 796 5 3 $143.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

16

Total Paid

$245.1K

Avg Per Claim

$15.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 57.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Big Horn County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Big Horn County's closest FEMA peer: Piatt County, IL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Big Horn County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Big Horn County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Big Horn County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Strong Wind as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively High); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Big Horn County?
The most common disaster type in Big Horn County is Severe Storm, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (2), Biological (2), Straight-Line Winds (1).
How does Big Horn County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Montana average?
The typical Montana county has 11.0 FEMA declaration records; Big Horn County has 9, or 18% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 57% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Big Horn County received?
Big Horn County has received 6 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 9 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Big Horn County filed?
Big Horn County has 16 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $245.1K in payments, with an average of $15.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Big Horn County?
No. In Big Horn County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Big Horn County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Big Horn County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1978 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Big Horn County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Big Horn County, Montana has an overall risk score of 57.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Big Horn County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Big Horn County as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 32 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Big Horn County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Montana profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events