The most disaster-prone counties

3,080 counties of 100 sq mi or more, three measures

Which county is most disaster-prone depends on the measure: by FEMA declarations it is Los Angeles County, CA (88), by storm days per square mile Philadelphia County, PA, by FEMA's risk score Los Angeles County, CA. Only 1 county ranks in the top 100 on all three: Pinellas County, FL.

Counties near the top on every measure

Counties ranked 100 or better on all three measures, then on two
CountyDeclarationsStorm days per 1,000 sq miRisk scoreOn
Pinellas County, FL45 (47th)1,852 (94th)98.2 (52nd)3 of 3
Essex County, NJ33 (255th)3,085 (15th)97.7 (68th)2 of 3
Tulsa County, OK40 (99th)1,322 (196th)97.9 (62nd)2 of 3
Jefferson Parish, LA50 (16th)1,060 (311th)98.7 (39th)2 of 3
Oklahoma County, OK52 (12th)1,078 (300th)97.9 (61st)2 of 3
Bergen County, NJ32 (302nd)2,204 (58th)97.8 (64th)2 of 3
Duval County, FL41 (87th)1,087 (291st)97.2 (81st)2 of 3
Middlesex County, NJ30 (380th)2,800 (26th)97.8 (66th)2 of 3
Orange County, CA42 (74th)888 (470th)99.8 (7th)2 of 3
Montgomery County, PA29 (432nd)2,133 (65th)96.8 (93rd)2 of 3
Philadelphia County, PA25 (761st)7,005 (1st)99.6 (14th)2 of 3
Queens County, NY25 (761st)4,010 (4th)99.2 (25th)2 of 3
East Baton Rouge Parish, LA47 (33rd)729 (773rd)98.0 (60th)2 of 3
Honolulu County, HI24 (888th)2,929 (22nd)98.8 (37th)2 of 3
Broward County, FL43 (64th)638 (1073rd)99.5 (17th)2 of 3
Milwaukee County, WI22 (1170th)2,883 (24th)98.4 (48th)2 of 3
Hillsborough County, FL47 (33rd)592 (1262nd)98.8 (36th)2 of 3
Lee County, FL45 (47th)552 (1406th)99.0 (29th)2 of 3
Sarasota County, FL48 (27th)527 (1512th)98.2 (54th)2 of 3
Manatee County, FL50 (16th)478 (1737th)97.6 (72nd)2 of 3
Brevard County, FL45 (47th)477 (1741st)98.4 (47th)2 of 3
Miami-Dade County, FL43 (64th)418 (2018th)99.6 (13th)2 of 3
Palm Beach County, FL41 (87th)415 (2034th)99.2 (24th)2 of 3
Harris County, TX41 (87th)391 (2160th)99.9 (3rd)2 of 3
Mobile County, AL40 (99th)394 (2150th)98.0 (58th)2 of 3
San Diego County, CA51 (15th)313 (2445th)99.7 (10th)2 of 3
Ventura County, CA53 (9th)229 (2697th)99.4 (19th)2 of 3
Collier County, FL54 (5th)201 (2759th)98.9 (33rd)2 of 3
Kern County, CA40 (99th)225 (2705th)98.9 (34th)2 of 3
Riverside County, CA66 (2nd)172 (2844th)99.9 (4th)2 of 3

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; FEMA National Risk Index. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

The top ten on each measure

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; FEMA National Risk Index. Search the record at NCEI.

How this was measured

Three measures, each ranked across the 3,080 counties of at least 100 square miles: FEMA declarations naming the county since 1953 (every type, counted once per disaster number); days with a NOAA storm record per 1,000 square miles since 1996 (a day with a zone record counts on every county the zone covers); and FEMA's National Risk Index score. A county counts as near the top when it ranks 100 or better.

Sources

FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), through 2026-10-02; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1996 to 2026-06-30; FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025).

Limits

Declarations follow requests and federal decisions as well as storms; storm counts follow reporting; the risk score is a model. Agreement between the three is the stronger signal, which is why it leads this page. Counties under 100 square miles are left out because per-area rates swing on small areas.

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