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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Philadelphia County, PA

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

25
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
100
NRI risk · Very High
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Philadelphia County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,699
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Philadelphia County compare?

Philadelphia County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Philadelphia County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10099.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Philadelphia County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $266.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Philadelphia County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,699 claims and $47.5M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $28.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Philadelphia County's 25 federal records stand 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean of 18.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.6/100 (Very High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $667.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Heat Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 11 modeled event-days per year here, based on 125 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 25 entries for Philadelphia County, including 17 Major Disaster records, 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean. Across the 56-year span, that works out to 0.4 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 8 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Philadelphia County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

25 declarations (1.3x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

17 of 25 declarations are major disasters (68%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Philadelphia County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Pennsylvania Avg

+35%

State avg: 18.6

vs. National Avg

+21%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.4

Over 56 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Philadelphia County

Philadelphia County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 92, Hurricane 70, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 92, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 63 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 63 8-hazard mean
Philadelphia County NRI risk profile FIPS 42101 · displayed-hazard mean 63/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

68%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

100

Very High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Philadelphia County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Very High 11 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Very High roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Very High an average of 11 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very High an average of 5.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 14 years
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 618 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 7 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 36 times per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 2.5 times per year
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 11 years
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.4 times per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively High an average of 3.7 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 17 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 10,932 years
Drought Very Low 5.8 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Flood 5
Snowstorm 4
Severe Storm 4
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Philadelphia County's federal record, 32% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 68.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 8 32.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 1
2020 2
2016 1
2014 1
2013 2
2011 4
2010 1
2005 1
2004 3
2003 1
1999 1
1996 2
1994 1
1993 1
1972 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1971 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4618 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-09-10
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4267 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2016-03-23
3367 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2014-02-06
4099 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2013-01-10
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
4030 TROPICAL STORM LEE DR Flood 2011-09-12
3340 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE EM Flood 2011-09-08
4025 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3339 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-29
1898 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 2010-04-16
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1538 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-06
3180 SNOW EM Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1294 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-18
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
1085 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1015 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1994-03-10
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
312 FLOODS DR Flood 1971-09-18
206 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Philadelphia County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,699

Total Paid

$47.5M

Avg Per Claim

$28.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very High

Score: 99.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$667.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Very High
Cold Wave Very High
Winter Weather Very High
Riverine Flooding Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Coastal Flooding Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Philadelphia County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Philadelphia County's closest FEMA peer: Piscataquis County, ME

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Philadelphia County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Philadelphia County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Philadelphia County's NFIP claims file (1,699 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Philadelphia County?
The most common disaster type in Philadelphia County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Snowstorm (4), Severe Storm (4).
How does Philadelphia County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Philadelphia County. That is 35% above the Pennsylvania county mean of 18.6. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Philadelphia County received?
Philadelphia County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 68% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Philadelphia County filed?
Philadelphia County has 1,699 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $47.5M in payments, with an average of $28.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Philadelphia County?
No. In Philadelphia County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $266.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Philadelphia County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Philadelphia County was 2011, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Philadelphia County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 99.6 out of 100 (Very High). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $667.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Philadelphia County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Philadelphia County is Heat Wave (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Very High) and Winter Weather (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 11 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 125 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Philadelphia County

Philadelphia County, PA has 25 federal declaration records, 35% more than the Pennsylvania county mean of 19; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 17 of 25 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Pennsylvania overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Pennsylvania mean and the totals for 71% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.