State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Natural disaster risk in Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania faces a low level of natural disaster risk, with 2 FEMA disaster declarations on record. The dominant threat is tropical storm, and severe weather has caused $726.5M in combined property and crop damage. NOAA storm event data shows 21,676 recorded weather events resulting in 149 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.
- 2
- FEMA declarations
- 21,676
- NOAA storm events
- 149
- Storm fatalities
- $726.5M
- Property + crop damage
How disaster-prone is Pennsylvania?
Pennsylvania (PA) sits at a low level of federally recognized natural-disaster risk, with 2 FEMA disaster declarations on record, including 2 Major Disaster declarations (DR) that triggered full federal individual and public assistance. The dominant declaration type is Tropical Storm, followed by Hurricane (1). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.
NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, Pennsylvania recorded 21,676 individual storm events, causing 149 fatalities and 550 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $726.5M. The most frequent event types in the state are Thunderstorm Wind (10,986 events), Flash Flood (2,705 events), Winter Weather (1,890 events). Across the state's 26 analyzed counties, FEMA's own National Risk Index flags 3 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Risk Score tool below) of 65.5/100.
NFIP claims data is limited or absent for this state in the current extract, which usually indicates low flood-policy penetration rather than zero flood risk. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Heat Wave, estimated at $0.3B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.
Disaster Types in Pennsylvania
Storm Events by Type
NOAA storm event data for Pennsylvania (2015-2025).
| Event Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind | 10,986 | 25 | 123 | $121.6M |
| Flash Flood | 2,705 | 23 | 9 | $466.1M |
| Winter Weather | 1,890 | 26 | 288 | $1.0M |
| Hail | 1,532 | 0 | 0 | $2.6M |
| Winter Storm | 924 | 14 | 17 | $2.9M |
| Flood | 602 | 4 | 0 | $15.1M |
| High Wind | 358 | 3 | 18 | $4.9M |
| Tornado | 288 | 1 | 46 | $46.7M |
| Dense Fog | 283 | 0 | 2 | $0 |
| Heavy Snow | 266 | 0 | 4 | $1.1M |
| Strong Wind | 246 | 6 | 1 | $1.8M |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 245 | 9 | 0 | $250.0K |
| Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | 221 | 4 | 0 | $0 |
| Excessive Heat | 195 | 15 | 7 | $0 |
| Heavy Rain | 181 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Drought | 164 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Lake-Effect Snow | 163 | 0 | 5 | $35.1M |
| Lightning | 101 | 7 | 22 | $2.1M |
| Heat | 81 | 3 | 0 | $0 |
| Ice Storm | 65 | 0 | 0 | $100.0K |
Storm Events by Year
| Year | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4,498 | 26 | 72 | $24.0M |
| 2024 | 1,981 | 4 | 30 | $58.0M |
| 2023 | 1,624 | 14 | 24 | $27.2M |
| 2022 | 1,527 | 10 | 54 | $8.0M |
| 2021 | 2,250 | 9 | 16 | $394.5M |
| 2020 | 1,978 | 10 | 27 | $13.2M |
| 2019 | 2,395 | 6 | 74 | $31.5M |
| 2018 | 1,556 | 5 | 16 | $30.6M |
| 2017 | 1,499 | 8 | 12 | $45.7M |
| 2016 | 898 | 34 | 90 | $60.6M |
| 2015 | 1,470 | 23 | 135 | $20.5M |
FEMA Disaster Declarations
2 unique disaster declarations in Pennsylvania.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4815 | TROPICAL STORM DEBBY | DR | Tropical Storm | 2024-09-11 |
| 4618 | REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IDA | DR | Hurricane | 2021-09-10 |
FEMA National Risk Index
Composite natural hazard risk scores for Pennsylvania counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.
Avg County Risk Score
65.5/100
High Risk Counties
3
of 26 counties
Top Hazard by EAL
Heat Wave
$0.3B annual loss est.
Top 5 Hazards by Expected Annual Loss
#1
Heat Wave
$325.4M EAL
#2
Cold Wave
$142.4M EAL
#3
Earthquake
$107.4M EAL
#4
Tornado
$90.0M EAL
#5
Hurricane
$85.8M EAL
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Counties in Pennsylvania
26 counties with FEMA disaster data.
| County | Disasters | Major | Top Hazard | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lycoming | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Tioga | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Potter | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Susquehanna | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Wayne | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Clearfield | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Cambria | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Cameron | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Indiana | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Sullivan | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Elk | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Wyoming | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| Union | 1 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2024 |
| York | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Philadelphia | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Montgomery | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Delaware | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Chester | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Bucks | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Bedford | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Northampton | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Schuylkill | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Luzerne | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Huntingdon | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Fulton | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
| Dauphin | 1 | 1 | Hurricane | 2021 |
Disaster Preparedness Guides
Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.
Preparing for Natural Disasters
Essential steps to prepare your household for the most common natural hazards.
Hazard Risk by Region
How natural disaster risk varies across different US regions.
Climate Change & Disasters
How climate trends are changing the frequency and severity of natural disasters.
Frequently Asked Questions
What natural disasters affect Pennsylvania?
How many FEMA disaster declarations has Pennsylvania had?
What severe weather events are most common in Pennsylvania?
What is the disaster risk level for Pennsylvania?
Which counties in Pennsylvania have the most disaster declarations?
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only
What this means for Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania carries a low federal disaster profile - 2 FEMA declarations and 21,676 recorded storm events, led by tropical storm.
- Risk is uneven within the state - Lycoming and Tioga carry the most declarations. Check the county where you live. Browse counties
- See how Pennsylvania ranks against other states for disaster frequency and damage. State rankings
- Learn what FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and damage figures do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide
Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.
Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Related
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.