PlainHazard

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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Tennessee Natural Disasters

Tennessee's federal declaration record sits near the middle of the state distribution. 97 FEMA disaster declarations are on record, led by severe storm, with $2.7B in combined property and crop damage. A moderate count like this can still mask a single catastrophic year rather than a steady annual pattern. NOAA storm event data shows 16,645 recorded weather events resulting in 228 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.

97
FEMA declarations
16,645
NOAA storm events
228
Storm fatalities
$2.7B
Property + crop damage

The Tennessee risk picture

2 of the 95 counties FEMA scores, 2%, carry a FEMA "high-risk" National Risk Index rating, with riverine flooding the single largest driver of expected annual loss statewide. Tennessee has 78 Major Disaster (DR) declarations; FEMA authorizes Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both separately for each declaration. NOAA-tracked storms have caused 719 injuries statewide.

2%
of counties rated high-risk by FEMA National Risk Index
97
FEMA disaster declarations on record
$2.7B
in tracked property + crop damage
17,593
NFIP flood insurance claims filed statewide

FEMA's National Risk Index and NOAA's Storm Events Database measure different things: modeled long-run risk vs. observed severe-weather events. Storm Events is a reported dataset, so its counts track what was observed and logged, not every event that occurred, and reporting is denser where more people live. See the methodology for how they relate.

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FEMA declarations

97

Above median

Major Disaster share

80%

Mostly major

NOAA storm events

16,645

Observed severe-weather records

How does Tennessee compare?

Tennessee vs. every U.S. state

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

97 Top 29% higher than 71% of 59 states and territories

This state 0 400 all U.S. states and territories FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more states and territories. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Tennessee county risk-score spread

FEMA National Risk Index composite scores, 0–100

52.5 45th percentile higher than 45% of 95 county composite scores

State average 0 100 Tennessee counties, bucketed by FEMA score, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more county composite scores. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA National Risk Index (NRI), county composite scores · 2026-08-03

The declaration chart counts past federal actions. The county score chart summarizes FEMA's modeled National Risk Index composite; it is not a forecast, and a state average does not describe every county.

Do more storms mean more federal disasters?

Tennessee sits at the 69th percentile of FEMA declaration volume and the 69th percentile of NOAA storm-event volume among 55 states and territories, those two ranks are not interchangeable.

FEMA declaration rank vs NOAA storm-event rank

Each point is a state or territory plotted by within-sample rank percentile (0–100) on FEMA OpenFEMA declarations (x) and NOAA Storm Events (y). Crosshairs mark the mid-rank (50th). Illinois is the clearest threshold-gap example in this release. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 + NOAA Storm Events Database. 2×2 strategic matrix plotting 30 entities by FEMA declarations (percentile) (X) and NOAA storm events (percentile) (Y), with a crosshair dividing the plot into four quadrants. Busy on both ledgersMany storms · fewer declarationsDeclaration-heavy · fewer stormsQuiet on both 406080100120 020406080100120 FEMA declarations (percentile) NOAA storm events (percentile) Signature insight
Each point is a state or territory plotted by within-sample rank percentile (0–100) on FEMA OpenFEMA declarations (x) and NOAA Storm Events (y). Crosshairs mark the mid-rank (50th). Illinois is the clearest threshold-gap example in this release. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 + NOAA Storm Events Database.
Read the chart, every state as text

Percentiles are within this release's state/territory sample. Raw counts are the underlying FEMA and NOAA totals.

StateFEMA declsFEMA %ileNOAA stormsNOAA %ile
California3969823,69493
Texas3899653,30998
Oklahoma2589523,89695
Washington215934,40822
Florida1889112,83855
Oregon169893,69520
New Mexico1268710,97445
Arizona120859,54138
New York1188421,65382
Montana1128213,57656
Colorado1117818,34073
Louisiana1117811,20447
Nevada110764,53424
Alabama1027514,58364
Kentucky987119,94778
Mississippi987114,10062
Tennessee976916,64569
South Dakota966722,75987
Alaska94642,68315
Kansas946425,11596
Arkansas876013,63758
Nebraska876020,13680
Missouri865822,95289
North Carolina855616,36767
West Virginia845512,02649
Georgia815116,67671
Minnesota815119,10975
Iowa784921,88384
Virginia774723,58491
North Dakota754510,81844
Hawaii72446,20031
Maine71424,78127
Illinois684022,08885
Pennsylvania643819,42776
New Hampshire63362,54711
Vermont62353,44918
Idaho60315,14229
Ohio603116,18465
Massachusetts59256,78133
New Jersey59258,21835
Utah59254,57825
Wisconsin562413,80760
Indiana542212,68753
Puerto Rico51182,94416
South Carolina511810,52042
Michigan46169,05236
Wyoming451512,49451
Connecticut43132,62213
Maryland381110,29040
U.S. Virgin Islands339880
Rhode Island3179247
Delaware2651,4759
Guam2542582
District of Columbia2424525
American Samoa1702924

What shapes Tennessee's record?

FEMA declaration types in Tennessee

Wider bars = more declarations of that incident type

declarations

What this shows Severe Storm leads Tennessee's FEMA declaration mix with 45 records among the types shown.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-03

NOAA storm events by year

Reported severe-weather events in Tennessee, 2015–2025 catalog window.

1,0001,5002,0002,500 20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025 2,343
NOAA Storm Events Database event counts for Tennessee. Focus a year mark for its exact count.

Peak year in this series: 2025 (2,343 events). Counts are reported events, not a complete census.

80 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Tennessee · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite mixing OpenFEMA declaration totals (1953–present) with NOAA Storm Events (2015–2025), different windows and event definitions, disclosed weights on the methodology page . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

97 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x state average)

NOAA Storm Events (2015–2025) Very High
19/25

16645 NOAA storm events in the 2015–2025 extract (1.5x median state)

NOAA Damage (2015–2025) Very High
25/25

Recorded NOAA property+crop damage in the 2015–2025 extract (4.6x median state)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

11 different disaster types declared in Tennessee

What does Tennessee's hazard record show?

NOAA storm events & FEMA National Risk Index

NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, Tennessee recorded 16,645 individual storm events, causing 228 fatalities and 719 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $2.7B. The most frequent event types in the state are Thunderstorm Wind (6,558 events), Hail (1,690 events), Heat (1,343 events). Across the 95counties FEMA scores here, its National Risk Index flags 2 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Historical Activity tool below) of 52.5/100.

What this count is, and is not. Storm Events is a reported database: NOAA compiles it from National Weather Service offices, trained spotters, law enforcement, and the public. It is a record of what was observed and logged, not a complete census of severe weather. Densely populated areas report more events than sparsely populated ones with similar meteorological exposure, and detection has improved over time, so an event count is not a like-for-like measure of hazard between places or across decades. Damage figures are field estimates, not audited losses. See methodology.

FEMA disaster declarations

Tennessee (TN) has a moderate level of federal declaration activity, with 97 FEMA declaration records, including 78 Major Disaster declarations (DR). A DR may authorize Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both; those program approvals are not implied by the DR count. The dominant declaration type is Severe Storm, followed by Flood (19), Fire (11), Tornado (8). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.

Flood exposure & where to dig deeper

Flood exposure is quantified separately through the National Flood Insurance Program. Policyholders across 91Tennessee counties have filed 17,593 NFIP claims totaling $479.7M, or an average of $27.3K per claim. NFIP data captures only insured flood losses, so uninsured flood damage and storm-surge losses outside mapped high-risk zones remain invisible in this figure. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Riverine Flooding, estimated at $1.2B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.

Disaster Types in Tennessee

Severe Storm 45
Flood 19
Fire 11
Tornado 8
Severe Ice Storm 4
Winter Storm 3
Biological 2
Tropical Storm 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Other 1

Storm Events by Type

NOAA storm event data for Tennessee (2015-2025).

Event Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K
Drought 824 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 636 9 2 $77.7M
Heavy Snow 593 9 1 $0
Excessive Heat 469 3 0 $0
Flood 450 8 0 $103.4M
Tornado 421 63 609 $1.9B
High Wind 320 6 8 $75.6M
Strong Wind 237 3 3 $2.3M
Frost/Freeze 143 0 0 $0
Lightning 129 8 19 $12.9M
Heavy Rain 126 4 0 $36.0K
Cold/Wind Chill 105 16 1 $0
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 93 5 0 $0
Ice Storm 76 2 0 $964.0K
Funnel Cloud 53 0 0 $1.0K

Storm Events by Year

Year Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
2025 2,343 17 34 $53.6M
2024 1,677 52 24 $194.6M
2023 1,854 28 165 $287.1M
2022 1,599 4 16 $3.5M
2021 1,285 40 59 $192.5M
2020 1,133 31 345 $1.6B
2019 1,158 8 8 $122.7M
2018 1,419 10 12 $21.4M
2017 1,404 3 9 $27.2M
2016 1,592 12 37 $25.7M
2015 1,181 23 10 $78.7M

FEMA Disaster Declarations

How the 97 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download all 97 declarations as CSV . Source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

97 unique disaster declarations in Tennessee.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4878 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-06-19
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4832 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-02
3620 TROPICAL STORM HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-27
4792 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-06-17
4751 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-12-13
4742 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-09-27
4735 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2023-09-04
4729 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2023-08-17
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4701 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-07
4691 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-03-08
4645 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2022-03-11
4637 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2022-01-14
3576 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES EM Tornado 2021-12-13
4609 SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING DR Flood 2021-08-23
4601 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2021-05-08
4594 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-04-21
3552 EXPLOSION EM Other 2021-01-05
4550 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4541 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4476 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2020-03-05
4471 SEVERE STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2019-12-06
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4320 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-06-23
4293 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2016-12-15
5167 CHIMNEY TOP FIRE FM Fire 2016-11-28
5165 EAST MILLER COVE FIRE FM Fire 2016-11-19
5160 SMITH MOUNTAIN FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2016-11-11
5159 FLIPPERS BEND FIRE FM Fire 2016-11-09
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
4189 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-08-13
4171 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-04-11
4060 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND DR Severe Storm 2012-03-16
4005 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND DR Severe Storm 2011-07-20
1979 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
1978 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3321 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-05-04
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1965 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-03-31
1937 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-09-15
1909 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-04
1856 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-08-21
1851 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-07-13
1839 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-05-15
1821 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-17

Showing 50 of 97 declarations.

FEMA National Risk Index

Composite natural hazard risk scores for Tennessee counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.

Avg County Risk Score

52.5/100

High Risk Counties

2

of 95 counties

Top Hazard by EAL

Riverine Flooding

$1.2B annual loss est.

Top 5 Hazards by Expected Annual Loss

#1

Riverine Flooding

$1.2B EAL

#2

Earthquake

$745.8M EAL

#3

Tornado

$423.4M EAL

#4

Cold Wave

$354.5M EAL

#5

Heat Wave

$94.8M EAL

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

National Flood Insurance Program claims across Tennessee from FEMA NFIP data.

Total Claims

17,593

Total Paid

$479.7M

Avg Per Claim

$27.3K

Counties With Claims

91

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

Counties in Tennessee

95 counties with FEMA disaster data.

# County DisastersMajor
1 Jackson County 35 30
2 Davidson County 28 23
3 Shelby County 28 23
4 Gibson County 28 23
5 Houston County 28 24
6 Hardin County 28 24
7 Decatur County 28 23
8 Wayne County 27 23
9 Henderson County 27 23
10 Dickson County 27 22
11 Humphreys County 26 22
12 Scott County 26 21
13 Cumberland County 26 21
14 Hickman County 25 21
15 Tipton County 25 21
16 Cheatham County 25 20
17 Lawrence County 25 20
18 Bledsoe County 25 18
19 Marion County 25 18
20 Hamilton County 25 18
21 Campbell County 25 20
22 Fentress County 24 18
23 Carroll County 24 20
24 Madison County 24 20
25 Dyer County 24 18
26 Lewis County 24 20
27 Cocke County 24 18
28 Roane County 24 19
29 Perry County 24 20
30 Lauderdale County 24 20
31 Giles County 24 20
32 Sevier County 23 15
33 Polk County 23 17
34 Stewart County 23 17
35 Clay County 22 17
36 Sumner County 22 18
37 Benton County 22 18
38 Anderson County 22 16
39 Lake County 22 16
40 Montgomery County 22 18
41 Warren County 22 17
42 Obion County 22 17
43 Cannon County 22 17
44 Grundy County 22 15
45 Smith County 22 17
46 Morgan County 21 16
47 McNairy County 21 17
48 Weakley County 21 16
49 Henry County 21 17
50 Overton County 21 16
51 Claiborne County 21 16
52 Coffee County 21 16
53 Pickett County 21 15
54 Jefferson County 21 16
55 Fayette County 21 17
56 Macon County 21 16
57 Haywood County 21 17
58 Rhea County 21 15
59 Maury County 21 17
60 Sequatchie County 21 13
61 Van Buren County 20 15
62 Grainger County 20 14
63 Loudon County 20 15
64 DeKalb County 20 15
65 Johnson County 20 14
66 Knox County 19 14
67 Crockett County 19 15
68 Putnam County 19 14
69 Meigs County 19 14
70 Hancock County 19 13
71 Monroe County 18 13
72 Carter County 18 12
73 Unicoi County 18 12
74 Bedford County 18 13
75 Hardeman County 18 14
76 Blount County 18 12
77 White County 18 13
78 Moore County 18 13
79 Greene County 18 12
80 Bradley County 18 13
81 Hawkins County 17 10
82 Rutherford County 17 12
83 Marshall County 17 13
84 Lincoln County 17 12
85 Wilson County 17 12
86 Williamson County 16 12
87 McMinn County 16 11
88 Washington County 16 10
89 Union County 16 11
90 Chester County 16 12
91 Franklin County 15 10
92 Hamblen County 15 9
93 Robertson County 14 10
94 Trousdale County 13 8
95 Sullivan County 12 7

Highest-risk counties by FEMA National Risk Index

Declaration counts above measure past federal action; FEMA's NRI is a composite of Expected Annual Loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. By that separate measure the highest-risk counties in Tennessee are Shelby (99.4), Davidson (97.2), Hamilton (93.3), Knox (92.1), Madison (92.1). Compare any county's recorded history with the Historical Activity tool.

All 95 counties in Tennessee are listed above.

Disaster Preparedness Guides

Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What natural disasters affect Tennessee?
Tennessee is affected by severe storm, flood, fire, tornado. Topping the list is Severe Storm, based on 97 FEMA disaster declarations on record.
How many FEMA disaster declarations has Tennessee had?
Tennessee has received 97 FEMA disaster declarations, including 78 major disaster declarations. The declaration history covers several disaster types, including Severe Storm (45), Flood (19), Fire (11).
What severe weather events are most common in Tennessee?
The most common severe weather events in Tennessee include thunderstorm wind (6,558 events), hail (1,690 events), heat (1,343 events). These NOAA storm events recorded from 2015 to 2025 have caused 228 fatalities and $2.7B in property and crop damage.
How active is Tennessee's federal disaster declaration record?
Tennessee has a moderate level of historical federal declaration activity, based on 97 FEMA declaration records. This band is not a future-risk forecast. Separately, NOAA storm events from 2015-2025 record 228 fatalities and 719 injuries. Combined NOAA-listed property and crop losses total $2.7B.
How many flood insurance claims has Tennessee had?
Tennessee has 17,593 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims with $479.7M total paid out. Claims average $27.3K, with 91 counties reporting flood insurance claims.
Which counties in Tennessee have the most disaster declarations?
Among 95 counties in Tennessee, those with the most FEMA declaration records include Jackson (35 declarations), Davidson (28 declarations), Shelby (28 declarations). County-by-county figures show where the state's federal declaration history concentrates.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only

What this means for Tennessee

Jackson alone accounts for 36% of Tennessee's FEMA disaster declarations, out of 95 counties tracked statewide.

  • The declaration record is uneven within the state: Jackson and Davidson carry the most FEMA declarations. Browse counties
  • See how Tennessee ranks against other states for disaster frequency and damage. State rankings
  • Learn what FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and damage figures do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.