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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Sumner County, TN

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

22
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
88
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Sumner County. Its 22 FEMA declarations are 3% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 57% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 12%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
704
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47165 · Sumner County 22 declarations · rank 1262/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 22
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 82%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,262
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardy
  • NRI-MID 88
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +3%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardy, WV (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Sumner County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Sumner County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Sumner County carries 22 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1262 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Sumner County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Sumner County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Sumner County

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Sumner County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10087.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Sumner County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $42.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Tornado carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Sumner County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 704 claims and $14.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $20.4K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Sumner County's 22 federal records stand 3% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 87.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $86.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Tornado stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 43 historical events on record.

64 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Sumner County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

22 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

18 of 22 declarations are major disasters (82%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Sumner County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Sumner County

Sumner County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 38 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 38 8-hazard mean
Sumner County NRI risk profile FIPS 47165 · displayed-hazard mean 38/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

82%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

88

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Sumner County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 6.2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 316 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.1 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 6.2 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 58 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.6 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Low 4.6 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 33,624 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 131 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Winter Storm 2
Tornado 2
Biological 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Sumner County's record, 59% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 81.8%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 4 18.2%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2024 2
2023 1
2022 1
2020 2
2011 1
2010 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 2
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1975 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4792 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-06-17
4751 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-12-13
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4637 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2022-01-14
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1978 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
1909 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-04
1745 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-02-07
1634 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2006-04-05
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1441 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOS DR Severe Storm 2002-11-13
1275 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1999-05-12
1215 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-20
1167 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, HAIL, HIGH WINDS DR Tornado 1997-03-07
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
459 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-22
263 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-07-11

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Sumner County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

704

Total Paid

$14.3M

Avg Per Claim

$20.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 87.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$86.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

For Sumner County the two measures on this page point the same way: Tornado is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Sumner County's closest FEMA peer: Renville County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Sumner County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Sumner County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Sumner County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Sumner County's NFIP claims file (704 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Sumner County?
The most common disaster type in Sumner County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (2), Tornado (2), Biological (2).
How does Sumner County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 22 declaration records for Sumner County. That is 3% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 6% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Sumner County received?
Sumner County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 82% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Sumner County filed?
Sumner County has 704 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $14.3M in payments, with an average of $20.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Sumner County?
No. In Sumner County, Tornado has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $42.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Sumner County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Sumner County was 2003, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Sumner County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Sumner County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 87.7 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $86.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Sumner County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Sumner County as of the latest release is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 43 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Sumner County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events