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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Allen County, KY

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

22
FEMA declarations
15
Major disasters
33
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Allen County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 22 declarations, more than 57% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 33%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 33%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
11
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21003 · Allen County 22 declarations · rank 1270/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 22
  • MAJOR-MID 68%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,270
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardy
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -22%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardy, WV (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Allen County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Allen County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Allen County carries 22 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1270 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Allen County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Allen County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Allen County

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Allen County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10033.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Allen County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Allen County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 33.3/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $8.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hail carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.2 times per year here, based on 122 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 11 claims and $596.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Allen County has 22. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

61 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Allen County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

22 declarations (0.8x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

15 of 22 declarations are major disasters (68%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Allen County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Allen County

Allen County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Allen County NRI risk profile FIPS 21003 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

68%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

33

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Allen County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 384 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 6.2 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 6.5 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 3.8 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 5.3 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 56 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 111 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 11,820 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Snowstorm 3
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Allen County's record, 45% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 15 68.2%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 7 31.8%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 5
2024 1
2023 1
2020 2
2010 1
2009 2
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
1996 1
1994 1
1993 1
1975 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4913 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-05-29
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4875 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-23
4864 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-04-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4804 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1912 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-11
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1746 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND DR Severe Storm 2008-02-21
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1537 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-08-06
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
461 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-29
265 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-07-15

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Allen County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

11

Total Paid

$596.7K

Avg Per Claim

$54.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 33.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Allen County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Allen County's closest FEMA peer: Lancaster County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Allen County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Allen County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Allen County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 22 FEMA declarations, Allen County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Allen County?
The most common disaster type in Allen County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Allen County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Allen County has 22, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 6% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Allen County received?
Allen County has received 15 major disaster declarations, representing 68% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Allen County filed?
Allen County has 11 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $596.7K in payments, with an average of $54.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Allen County?
No. In Allen County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Allen County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Allen County was 2025, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Allen County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Allen County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 33.3 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Allen County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Allen County is Hail (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 3.2 times per year, drawn from 122 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Allen County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events