State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Natural disaster risk in Kentucky
Kentucky faces a low level of natural disaster risk, with 19 FEMA disaster declarations on record. The dominant threat is severe storm, and severe weather has caused $258.3M in combined property and crop damage. NOAA storm event data shows 22,046 recorded weather events resulting in 301 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.
- 19
- FEMA declarations
- 22,046
- NOAA storm events
- 301
- Storm fatalities
- $258.3M
- Property + crop damage
How disaster-prone is Kentucky?
Kentucky (KY) sits at a low level of federally recognized natural-disaster risk, with 19 FEMA disaster declarations on record, including 13 Major Disaster declarations (DR) that triggered full federal individual and public assistance. The dominant declaration type is Severe Storm, followed by Flood (3), Tornado (2), Fire (2). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.
NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, Kentucky recorded 22,046 individual storm events, causing 301 fatalities and 988 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $258.3M. The most frequent event types in the state are Thunderstorm Wind (7,379 events), Flash Flood (1,964 events), Flood (1,806 events). Across the state's 120 analyzed counties, FEMA's own National Risk Index flags 1 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Risk Score tool below) of 44.2/100.
NFIP claims data is limited or absent for this state in the current extract, which usually indicates low flood-policy penetration rather than zero flood risk. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Tornado, estimated at $0.3B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.
Disaster Types in Kentucky
Storm Events by Type
NOAA storm event data for Kentucky (2015-2025).
| Event Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind | 7,379 | 9 | 57 | $59.3M |
| Flash Flood | 1,964 | 72 | 16 | $43.3M |
| Flood | 1,806 | 36 | 7 | $42.2M |
| Hail | 1,796 | 1 | 0 | $7.2M |
| Winter Weather | 1,180 | 15 | 57 | $1.0M |
| Dense Fog | 1,144 | 1 | 2 | $20.0K |
| Strong Wind | 1,078 | 2 | 11 | $2.4M |
| Winter Storm | 948 | 11 | 23 | $799.0K |
| Heavy Snow | 887 | 5 | 4 | $345.0K |
| Frost/Freeze | 737 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 719 | 2 | 1 | $0 |
| Tornado | 453 | 117 | 743 | $83.6M |
| Excessive Heat | 380 | 0 | 23 | $0 |
| Drought | 338 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| High Wind | 337 | 1 | 2 | $2.5M |
| Heavy Rain | 209 | 1 | 0 | $851.0K |
| Ice Storm | 204 | 1 | 1 | $3.1M |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 202 | 13 | 2 | $10.0K |
| Lightning | 76 | 5 | 15 | $4.7M |
| Funnel Cloud | 62 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
Storm Events by Year
| Year | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4,198 | 72 | 56 | $64.7M |
| 2024 | 1,754 | 13 | 51 | $15.0M |
| 2023 | 1,617 | 8 | 21 | $14.8M |
| 2022 | 2,068 | 47 | 63 | $7.7M |
| 2021 | 1,627 | 85 | 625 | $13.0M |
| 2020 | 1,285 | 11 | 11 | $28.2M |
| 2019 | 1,522 | 13 | 12 | $13.3M |
| 2018 | 2,050 | 12 | 23 | $30.2M |
| 2017 | 1,345 | 5 | 14 | $28.1M |
| 2016 | 2,123 | 6 | 58 | $19.5M |
| 2015 | 2,457 | 29 | 54 | $17.2M |
FEMA Disaster Declarations
19 unique disaster declarations in Kentucky.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3633 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Winter Storm | 2026-01-24 |
| 4875 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES | DR | Severe Storm | 2025-05-23 |
| 4864 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Severe Storm | 2025-04-24 |
| 3626 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING | EM | Severe Storm | 2025-04-03 |
| 4860 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Severe Storm | 2025-02-24 |
| 3624 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES | EM | Severe Storm | 2025-02-16 |
| 4848 | REMNANTS OF HURRICANE HELENE | DR | Tropical Storm | 2024-11-26 |
| 4804 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Severe Storm | 2024-07-23 |
| 4782 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Severe Storm | 2024-05-22 |
| 4711 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Flood | 2023-05-09 |
| 4702 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Severe Storm | 2023-04-10 |
| 4663 | SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Flood | 2022-07-29 |
| 4643 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES | DR | Severe Storm | 2022-02-27 |
| 4630 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES | DR | Tornado | 2021-12-12 |
| 3575 | SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES | EM | Tornado | 2021-12-11 |
| 4595 | SEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Flood | 2021-04-23 |
| 4592 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2021-03-31 |
| 5166 | SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY FIRE COMPLEX | FM | Fire | 2016-11-20 |
| 5158 | EAGLES NEST FIRE | FM | Fire | 2016-11-08 |
FEMA National Risk Index
Composite natural hazard risk scores for Kentucky counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.
Avg County Risk Score
44.2/100
High Risk Counties
1
of 120 counties
Top Hazard by EAL
Tornado
$0.3B annual loss est.
Top 5 Hazards by Expected Annual Loss
#1
Tornado
$333.3M EAL
#2
Earthquake
$241.8M EAL
#3
Cold Wave
$169.0M EAL
#4
Strong Wind
$112.8M EAL
#5
Heat Wave
$68.1M EAL
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Counties in Kentucky
120 counties with FEMA disaster data.
| County | Disasters | Major | Top Hazard | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owsley | 14 | 11 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Clay | 14 | 11 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Lee | 13 | 10 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Breathitt | 13 | 9 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Powell | 12 | 9 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Johnson | 12 | 9 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Whitley | 12 | 9 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Jackson | 11 | 8 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Harlan | 11 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Wolfe | 11 | 8 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Caldwell | 11 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Rockcastle | 11 | 8 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Estill | 11 | 8 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Floyd | 11 | 8 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Marshall | 10 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Magoffin | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Perry | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Leslie | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Greenup | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Menifee | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Warren | 10 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Carter | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Ohio | 10 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Lawrence | 10 | 7 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Hopkins | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Graves | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Hart | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Laurel | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Letcher | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Hickman | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Elliott | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Pulaski | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Martin | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Cumberland | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Christian | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Breckinridge | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Union | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Knott | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Casey | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Barren | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Spencer | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Lyon | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Muhlenberg | 9 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Morgan | 9 | 6 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Todd | 8 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Meade | 8 | 4 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Nicholas | 8 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Livingston | 8 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Crittenden | 8 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
| Lincoln | 8 | 5 | Severe Storm | 2026 |
Showing 50 of 120 counties.
Disaster Preparedness Guides
Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.
Preparing for Natural Disasters
Essential steps to prepare your household for the most common natural hazards.
Hazard Risk by Region
How natural disaster risk varies across different US regions.
Climate Change & Disasters
How climate trends are changing the frequency and severity of natural disasters.
Frequently Asked Questions
What natural disasters affect Kentucky?
How many FEMA disaster declarations has Kentucky had?
What severe weather events are most common in Kentucky?
What is the disaster risk level for Kentucky?
Which counties in Kentucky have the most disaster declarations?
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only
What this means for Kentucky
Kentucky carries a low federal disaster profile - 19 FEMA declarations and 22,046 recorded storm events, led by severe storm.
- Risk is uneven within the state - Owsley and Clay carry the most declarations. Check the county where you live. Browse counties
- See how Kentucky ranks against other states for disaster frequency and damage. State rankings
- Learn what FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and damage figures do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide
Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.
Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Related
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.