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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Muhlenberg County, KY

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
53
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Muhlenberg County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 24 declarations, more than 66% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 15% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 47%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 47%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
15
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21177 · Muhlenberg County 24 declarations · rank 1003/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,003
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW 53
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -15%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Muhlenberg County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Muhlenberg County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Muhlenberg County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1003 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Muhlenberg County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Muhlenberg County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Muhlenberg County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Muhlenberg County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10053.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Muhlenberg County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Muhlenberg County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 53.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $14.4M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 80 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 15 claims and $328.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Muhlenberg County has 24. The gap is 15% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Muhlenberg County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

24 declarations (0.9x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

17 of 24 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Muhlenberg County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Muhlenberg County

Muhlenberg County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Muhlenberg County NRI risk profile FIPS 21177 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

53

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Muhlenberg County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 197 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 8.3 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 4 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 7.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 53 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 5.1 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 165 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,850 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Tornado 3
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Muhlenberg County's record, 42% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 70.8%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 7 29.2%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 4
2024 1
2023 1
2022 2
2020 2
2009 3
2008 1
2005 2
2004 1
1997 1
1996 1
1994 1
1989 1
1971 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4864 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-04-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4804 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4630 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2021-12-12
3575 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES EM Tornado 2021-12-11
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1802 SEVERE WIND STORM ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-09
1746 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND DR Severe Storm 2008-02-21
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1578 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND RECORD SNOW DR Snowstorm 2005-02-08
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
821 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-02-24
305 TORNADO DR Tornado 1971-05-10
265 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-07-15

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Muhlenberg County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

15

Total Paid

$328.7K

Avg Per Claim

$21.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 53.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$14.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Muhlenberg County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Muhlenberg County's closest FEMA peer: Rankin County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Muhlenberg County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Muhlenberg County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Muhlenberg County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 24 FEMA declarations, Muhlenberg County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Muhlenberg County?
The most common disaster type in Muhlenberg County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Tornado (3), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Muhlenberg County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Muhlenberg County has 24, or 15% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 16% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Muhlenberg County received?
Muhlenberg County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Muhlenberg County filed?
Muhlenberg County has 15 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $328.7K in payments, with an average of $21.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Muhlenberg County?
No. In Muhlenberg County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Muhlenberg County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Muhlenberg County was 2025, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Muhlenberg County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Muhlenberg County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 53.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $14.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Muhlenberg County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Muhlenberg County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Hail (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 80 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Muhlenberg County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events