Caldwell County, Kentucky

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 21033 · population 12,649 · 345 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 617 records for Caldwell County, Kentucky from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 565 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (110 records). 438 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the December 10, 2021 tornado: 4 deaths and 11 injuries. FEMA has issued 27 declarations naming the county since 1989, 25 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 24, 2026.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
617on 565 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
732 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$50Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
18strongest EF4
FEMA declarations
27latest 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Caldwell County most?

The most frequent records are winter storm records: 110 since 1996. 68% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among Kentucky's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Caldwell County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Winter storms 110 110 1996-2026 0 3 $18M 21 of 118
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 87 86 1997-2026 0 0 – 13 of 118
Heat 74 74 1997-2025 0 4 – 13 of 118
Severe thunderstorm wind 70 67 1968-2026 0 1 $2.8M 113 of 118
Extreme cold 69 68 1996-2026 0 0 $40K 12 of 118
High wind and dust storms 64 63 1997-2025 0 1 $9.8M 14 of 118
Hail 46 38 1969-2025 0 0 – 65 of 118
Drought 37 37 1996-2026 0 0 $16M 12 of 118
Floods 33 31 1996-2025 2 0 $1.5M 95 of 118
Tornadoes 18 16 1958-2024 5 23 $2.9M 30 of 118
Heavy rain 7 7 2005-2014 0 0 – 38 of 118
Landslides and avalanches 1 1 2025-2025 0 0 $10K 21 of 118
Wildfires 1 1 2004-2004 0 0 – 20 of 118

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Caldwell County had?

NOAA records 18 tornadoes in Caldwell County from 1958 to 2024, the strongest rated EF4, with 5 deaths and 23 injuries recorded in the county. That is 30th of 118 Kentucky counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 17 tornadoes whose track touched Caldwell County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 18: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 3 people, 5 of them in Caldwell County.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Caldwell County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1968-04-03 23:50, as SPC files itMurrayF450.6 mi2
2024-05-26 19:01, as SPC files itEddyville to Dawson SpringsEF334.14 mi1
1970-04-24 00:55, as SPC files itGilbertsvilleF325.4 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Kentucky.

Every tornado record filed for Caldwell County (18)
Every tornado recorded in Caldwell County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-05-26 Crider, Caldwell County EF2 15.43 mi x 700 yd 1 4 $470K
2023-07-18 Black Hawk, Caldwell County EF1 0.45 mi x 125 yd 0 0 $73K
2021-12-10 Dulaney, Caldwell County EF4 16.17 mi x 2,480 yd 4 11 –
2020-01-11 Hopson, Caldwell County EF1 7.18 mi x 250 yd 0 0 $114K
2020-01-11 Friendship, Caldwell County EF0 4.41 mi x 175 yd 0 0 $57K
2014-02-20 Claxton, Caldwell County EF0 1.59 mi x 125 yd 0 0 $10K
2013-11-17 Princeton, Caldwell County EF1 3.16 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $253K
2011-04-26 Cobb, Caldwell County EF0 0.31 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2011-04-25 Bakers, Caldwell County EF1 8.36 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $131K
2007-10-18 Creswell, Caldwell County EF1 5.2 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $36K
2007-10-18 Otter Pond, Caldwell County EF2 8.83 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $356K
2005-11-15 Princeton, Caldwell County F0 0.2 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2004-10-15 Princeton, Caldwell County F1 0.3 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $78K
1995-05-13 Fredonia, Caldwell County F2 5 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $1.1M
1970-04-24 Caldwell County F3 6.8 mi x 33 yd 0 3 –
1969-01-23 Caldwell County F1 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $3K step
1968-04-04 Caldwell County F4 9.7 mi x 33 yd 0 5 –
1958-04-24 Caldwell County F2 0.5 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $25K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Caldwell County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the April 16, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($1,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Caldwell County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-04-25 Dense FogCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-04-16 Thunderstorm WindPrinceton, Caldwell County 52 kt wind 0 0 $1K
2026-04-09 DroughtCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-02-27 Dense FogCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-02-19 Dense FogCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-02-15 Dense FogCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-01-30 Cold/Wind ChillCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-01-26 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-01-24 Winter StormCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-01-23 Cold/Wind ChillCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2026-01-21 Winter WeatherCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –
2025-11-23 Dense FogCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Caldwell County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2021-12-10 TornadoDulaney, Caldwell County This historic EF-4 tornado was associated with a very long-track supercell that originally formed over eastern Arkansas. The supercell produced a nearly continuous tornado damage path from northeast Arkansas across western Tennessee and western Kentucky. The starting point of this particular tornado was in northwest ... EF4 16.17 mi x 2,480 yd 4 11 –
2024-05-26 TornadoCrider, Caldwell County An EF-3 tornado (max of EF-2 in Caldwell County) began northeast of Eddyville in Lyon County before crossing into Caldwell County near Pleasant Valley Rd. The tornado tracked east-northeastward through the entirety of Caldwell County, crossing over into Hopkins County north of I-69 and south of Young Cemetery Rd. The ... EF2 15.43 mi x 700 yd 1 4 $470K
2025-02-16 FloodFarmersville, Caldwell County Flash flooding on the 15th transitioned to areal flooding early on the 16th. Portions of several state highways were closed, including Highway 139 south of Farmersville, Highway 91 northwest of White Sulphur, Highway 293 southwest of Princeton, and Highway 126 from Highway 128 to the Trigg County line. The bulk of the ... 1 0 –
2015-07-28 Flash FloodBlack Hawk, Caldwell County Torrential rain caused flash flooding of a creek along the Caldwell/Trigg County border known as Long Pond Branch. Kentucky Highway 276 was washed out where the creek crosses the highway through a culvert. The washout was estimated to be about 20 feet deep and 60 feet wide where it crosses the highway. One vehicle ... 1 0 $100K
1968-04-04 TornadoCaldwell County F4 9.7 mi x 33 yd 0 5 –
2005-07-21 HeatCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell Several days of excessive heat and humidity caused a significant increase in heat-related illnesses. A 46-year-old construction worker from Livingston County suffered a heart attack in which heat was a factor, but heat was not the direct cause of death. The heat index peaked around 110 degrees each afternoon, and ... 0 4 –
1970-04-24 TornadoCaldwell County F3 6.8 mi x 33 yd 0 3 –
2012-01-12 Winter WeatherCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell A strong upper-level low brought about an inch of snow to parts of western Kentucky. The 500 mb low moved southeast from the central Plains across the Lower Ohio Valley. A surface low pressure system over the Great Lakes region produced a strong northwest wind across the Lower Ohio Valley. About an inch of snow fell ... 0 2 –
The costliest records in Caldwell County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2009-01-26 Ice StormCaldwell County · forecast zone Caldwell 0 0 $17M
2025-05-16 Thunderstorm WindLakeview, Caldwell County 81 kt wind 0 0 $2.1M
1995-05-13 TornadoFredonia, Caldwell County F2 5 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $1.1M
2024-05-26 TornadoCrider, Caldwell County EF2 15.43 mi x 700 yd 1 4 $470K
2007-10-18 TornadoOtter Pond, Caldwell County EF2 8.83 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $356K
2011-05-01 FloodDulaney, Caldwell County 0 0 $328K
2013-11-17 TornadoPrinceton, Caldwell County EF1 3.16 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $253K
2020-01-11 TornadoHopson, Caldwell County EF1 7.18 mi x 250 yd 0 0 $114K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $25K, in the dollars of the day) holds: April 24, 1958 (tornado, Caldwell County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Caldwell County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Caldwell County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Winter storms––––11324621
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds––––4154325
Heat––––51035 z24
Severe thunderstorm wind02771020168
Extreme cold––––4232319
High wind and dust storms––––2192419

Heat in the 2010s: 35 records against 10 in the decade before, 35 of them forecast-zone records. Cells marked z rose mostly through zone records. The local National Weather Service office files these once per forecast zone, so a change in how it draws its zones or splits a storm into records moves this count as much as the weather does; read it beside the Caldwell County days with a record above.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

68% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 84 · Feb 75 · Mar 40 · Apr 67 · May 51 · Jun 34 · Jul 66 · Aug 45 · Sep 16 · Oct 33 · Nov 45 · Dec 61 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Caldwell County

FEMA's register lists 27 declarations that include Caldwell County: 20 major disasters, 7 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (13) and flood (3).

Declarations including Caldwell County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2026-01-24EM-3633Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
2025-05-23DR-4875Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
2025-04-24DR-4864Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2025-04-03EM-3626Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2025-02-24DR-4860Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2025-02-16EM-3624Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides
2024-07-23DR-4804Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides
2023-05-09DR-4711FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2023-04-10DR-4702Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2021-12-12DR-4630TornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Tornadoes
2021-12-11EM-3575TornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Tornadoes
2020-03-28DR-4497BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3469BiologicalCovid-19
2018-04-26DR-4361FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2016-08-26DR-4278Severe StormSevere Storm, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2015-04-30DR-4216SnowstormSevere Winter Storms, Snowstorms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2011-05-04DR-1976Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2009-02-05DR-1818Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm and Flooding
2009-01-28EM-3302Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
2008-10-09DR-1802Severe StormSevere Wind Storm Associated With Tropical Depression Ike
2005-09-10EM-3231HurricaneHurricane Katrina
2005-02-08DR-1578SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Record Snow
2004-06-10DR-1523Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, and Mudslides
2003-06-03DR-1471Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud and Rock Slides, and Tornadoes
1997-03-04DR-1163Severe StormSevere Storm, Flooding, and Tornadoes
1996-01-13DR-1089SnowstormBlizzard of 96
1989-02-24DR-821FloodSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Caldwell County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 33 flood or flash flood records for Caldwell County from 1996 to 2025, on 31 days, with 2 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Caldwell County ranks 2321st of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $253,000 on 11 claims filed in Caldwell County; the most in one year was 4 in 2016. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1998: 1 · 2005: 1 · 2009: 2 · 2010: 1 · 2011: 1 · 2016: 4 · 2025: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Caldwell County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Caldwell County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $9.3 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Caldwell County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Ice StormRelatively High$665K1.6 a year (modeled)
DroughtRelatively Moderate$450K6.4 modeled event-days a year
Strong WindRelatively Moderate$623K4.3 a year (modeled)
EarthquakeRelatively Low$2.4Monce in about 147 years (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Low$1.4Monce in about 3 years (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Low$320K8.8 modeled event-days a year
Winter WeatherRelatively Low$45K7.1 a year (modeled)
HailRelatively Low$150K2.9 a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Caldwell County

  1. Christian County 1,230
  2. Hopkins County 816
  3. Trigg County 718
  4. Webster County 667
  5. Crittenden County 631
  6. Caldwell County 617
  7. Lyon County 573

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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