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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Laurel County, KY

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

28
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
72
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Laurel County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 28 declarations, more than 81% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 0% below the Kentucky county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 28%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 28%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
12
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21125 · Laurel County 28 declarations · rank 584/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 28
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-MID #584
  • PHOTO-FINISH Loíza
  • NRI-LOW 72
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -0%

Nearest declaration peer: Loíza, PR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Laurel County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Laurel County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Laurel County carries 28 FEMA declaration records, ranked 584 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Laurel County ranks in the national declaration registry

Laurel County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Laurel County

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Laurel County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10071.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Laurel County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Laurel County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 71.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $23.9M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 13 times per year here, based on 245 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 12 claims and $1.1M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kentucky county averages 28.1 federal declaration records, while Laurel County has 28. The gap is 0% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Laurel County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

28 declarations (1.0x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

20 of 28 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Laurel County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Laurel County

Laurel County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 35 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 35 8-hazard mean
Laurel County NRI risk profile FIPS 21125 · displayed-hazard mean 35/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

72

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Laurel County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 13 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 97 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 2.6 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.7 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 381 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 53 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 35 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Drought Very Low 7.7 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Snowstorm 3
Winter Storm 2
Flood 2
Biological 2
Fire 2
Tornado 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Laurel County's record, 46% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 71.4%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 6 21.4%

of all 28 declarations

Fire Management - 2 7.1%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 4
2024 1
2023 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2012 1
2005 1
2004 1
2002 3
2001 1
1998 1
1996 1
1995 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1993 1
1984 1
1974 1
1970 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4913 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-05-29
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4875 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-23
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4804 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4702 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-10
4595 SEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-04-23
4592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-03-31
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4428 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-04-17
4057 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2012-03-06
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1414 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-07
1407 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-04
2385 KY - SOUTHEASTERN FIRE COMPLEX - 11/02/01 FM Fire 2001-11-02
2349 KY - SOUTHEASTERN DISTRICT FIRE COMPLEX - 11/03/00 FM Fire 2000-11-04
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1207 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-03-03
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1055 TORNADOES, SEVERE WINDS, HAIL DR Tornado 1995-06-13
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
705 HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1984-05-15
420 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
282 HEAVY SNOWMELT, RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-02

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Laurel County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

12

Total Paid

$1.1M

Avg Per Claim

$94.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 71.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$23.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Laurel County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Laurel County's closest FEMA peer: Copiah County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Laurel County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Laurel County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Laurel County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 28 FEMA declarations, Laurel County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Laurel County?
The most common disaster type in Laurel County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Winter Storm (2), Flood (2).
How does Laurel County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
The typical Kentucky county has 28.1 FEMA declaration records; Laurel County has 28, or 0% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 35% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Laurel County received?
Laurel County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Laurel County filed?
Laurel County has 12 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1M in payments, with an average of $94.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Laurel County?
No. In Laurel County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Laurel County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Laurel County was 2025, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Laurel County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Laurel County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 71.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $23.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Laurel County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Laurel County is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 13 times per year, drawn from 245 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Laurel County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events