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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Morgan County, KY

34 FEMA disaster declarations (1979-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

34
FEMA declarations
27
Major disasters
22
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Morgan County. Its 34 FEMA declarations are 21% above the Kentucky county mean and exceed the count for 92% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 22%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
34
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
49
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Morgan County compare?

Morgan County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

34 Top 8% higher than 92% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Morgan County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10022.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Morgan County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Morgan County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 34 entries for Morgan County, including 27 Major Disaster records, 21% above the Kentucky county mean. Across the 47-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 16 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 22.1/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.8M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.1 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 49 claims and $1.1M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Morgan County's 34 federal records stand 21% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

80 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Morgan County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

34 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

34 declarations (1.2x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

27 of 34 declarations are major disasters (79%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Morgan County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Kentucky Avg

+21%

State avg: 28.1

vs. National Avg

+64%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 47 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Morgan County

Morgan County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Morgan County NRI risk profile FIPS 21175 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

34

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

79%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

22

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Morgan County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 332 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 15 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 43 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 629 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 50 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 4.1 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 11 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Drought No Rating 3 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 16
Flood 6
Snowstorm 4
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Morgan County's record, 47% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 27 79.4%

of all 34 declarations

Emergency - 7 20.6%

of all 34 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 5
2023 1
2021 2
2020 3
2019 1
2015 4
2012 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 2
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
Show 8 earlier declaration years
2002 1
1998 1
1997 1
1996 1
1994 1
1993 1
1989 1
1979 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 34 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 34 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4864 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-04-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4848 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-11-26
4711 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-05-09
4595 SEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-04-23
4592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-03-31
4540 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4428 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-04-17
4239 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDE DR Severe Storm 2015-08-12
4218 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-12
4217 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-01
4216 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, SNOWSTORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Snowstorm 2015-04-30
4057 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2012-03-06
1976 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-04
1912 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-11
Show 14 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1746 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND DR Severe Storm 2008-02-21
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1454 SEVERE WINTER ICE AND SNOW STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND MUD AND DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1407 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-04
1207 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-03-03
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
821 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-02-24
568 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-12

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Morgan County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

49

Total Paid

$1.1M

Avg Per Claim

$22.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 22.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Morgan County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Morgan County's closest FEMA peer: Brazoria County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Morgan County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Morgan County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 34 FEMA declarations, Morgan County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Morgan County?
The most common disaster type in Morgan County is Severe Storm, with 16 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Snowstorm (4), Severe Ice Storm (3).
How does Morgan County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
FEMA lists 34 declaration records for Morgan County. That is 21% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. Its count is also 64% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Morgan County received?
Morgan County has received 27 major disaster declarations, representing 79% of all 34 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Morgan County filed?
Morgan County has 49 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1M in payments, with an average of $22.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Morgan County?
No. In Morgan County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Morgan County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Morgan County was 2025, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1979 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Morgan County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Morgan County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 22.1 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Morgan County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Morgan County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.1 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Morgan County

Morgan County, KY has 34 federal declaration records, 21% more than the Kentucky county mean of 28; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 27 of 34 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Kentucky overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Kentucky mean and the totals for 92% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.