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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lake County, TN

22 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

22
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
48
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lake County. Its 22 FEMA declarations are 3% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 57% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 48%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 48%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
22
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
29
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47095 · Lake County 22 declarations · rank 1288/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 22
  • MAJOR-MID 73%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,288
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hardy
  • NRI-LOW 48
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +3%

Nearest declaration peer: Hardy, WV (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Lake County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lake County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lake County carries 22 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1288 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lake County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lake County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lake County

22 Top 43% higher than 57% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lake County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10047.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

What does Lake County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 47.8/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $9.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Earthquake carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 59 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 29 claims and $371.0K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lake County's 22 federal records stand 3% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

65 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lake County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
16/30

22 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

22 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

16 of 22 declarations are major disasters (73%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lake County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lake County

Lake County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Lake County NRI risk profile FIPS 47095 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

22

Above median

Major Disaster share

73%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

48

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lake County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 59 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 13 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 7.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 58 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 84 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3.2 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 9,768 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 8
Tornado 4
Flood 4
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lake County's record, 36% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 72.7%

of all 22 declarations

Emergency - 6 27.3%

of all 22 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2023 1
2022 2
2020 3
2019 1
2011 4
2009 1
2005 1
2003 1
2000 1
1997 1
1995 1
1975 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 22 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 22 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4637 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2022-01-14
3576 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES EM Tornado 2021-12-13
4550 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
1979 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
1978 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3321 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-05-04
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1821 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-17
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1331 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-06-12
1167 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, HAIL, HIGH WINDS DR Tornado 1997-03-07
1057 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1995-06-14
Show 2 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
459 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-22
382 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-11

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lake County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

29

Total Paid

$371.0K

Avg Per Claim

$12.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 47.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Lake County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lake County's closest FEMA peer: Alexandria (city), VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lake County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lake County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lake County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 22 FEMA declarations, Lake County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lake County?
The most common disaster type in Lake County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Tornado (4), Flood (4), Winter Storm (2).
How does Lake County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 22 declaration records for Lake County. That is 3% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 6% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lake County received?
Lake County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 73% of all 22 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lake County filed?
Lake County has 29 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $371.0K in payments, with an average of $12.8K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lake County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lake County was 2011, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lake County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lake County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 47.8 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lake County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lake County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 59 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lake County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events