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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Madison County, TN

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1975-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
92
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Madison County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 12% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 8%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 8%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
173
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Madison County compare?

Madison County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Madison County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10092.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

What does Madison County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 173 paid claims, totaling $3.4M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $19.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Madison County's 24 federal records stand 12% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 92.1/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $90.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Earthquake stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 127 years here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 24 entries for Madison County, including 20 Major Disaster records, 12% above the Tennessee county mean. Across the 51-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 15 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

70 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Madison County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

24 declarations (1.1x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

20 of 24 declarations are major disasters (83%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Madison County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Tennessee Avg

+12%

State avg: 21.4

vs. National Avg

+16%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Madison County

Madison County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Madison County NRI risk profile FIPS 47113 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

83%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

92

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Madison County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 127 years
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.9 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 15 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 58 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 1.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 28 years
Drought Relatively Low 8.2 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 6.2 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 8,021 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 15
Winter Storm 2
Tornado 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Madison County's record, 63% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 83.3%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 4 16.7%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 2
2023 1
2021 1
2020 3
2014 2
2011 2
2010 1
2008 1
2005 1
2003 2
1999 1
1998 2
1997 1
1994 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1975 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4878 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-06-19
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4601 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2021-05-08
4550 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4189 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-08-13
4171 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-04-11
1979 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1909 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-04
1745 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-02-07
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1441 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOS DR Severe Storm 2002-11-13
1262 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1999-01-19
1215 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-20
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-13
1167 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, HAIL, HIGH WINDS DR Tornado 1997-03-07
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
459 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-22

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Madison County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

173

Total Paid

$3.4M

Avg Per Claim

$19.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 92.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$90.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively High
Tornado Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Madison County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Madison County's closest FEMA peer: Blue Earth County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Madison County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Madison County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Madison County's NFIP claims file (173 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Madison County?
The most common disaster type in Madison County is Severe Storm, with 15 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (2), Tornado (2), Biological (2).
How does Madison County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Madison County. That is 12% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Madison County received?
Madison County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 83% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Madison County filed?
Madison County has 173 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.4M in payments, with an average of $19.9K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Madison County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Madison County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1975 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Madison County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Madison County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 92.1 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $90.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Madison County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Madison County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 127 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Madison County

Madison County, TN has 24 federal declaration records, 12% more than the Tennessee county mean of 21; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 20 of 24 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Tennessee overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Tennessee mean and the totals for 66% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.