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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Hardin County, TN

28 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

28
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
71
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Hardin County. Its 28 FEMA declarations are 31% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 81% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 29%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 29%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
28
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
209
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Hardin County compare?

Hardin County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

28 Top 19% higher than 81% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Hardin County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10070.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Hardin County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Hardin County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 209 paid claims, totaling $3.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $18.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Hardin County's 28 federal records stand 31% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 70.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $19.6M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Moderate community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Landslide stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.1 times per year here.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 28 entries for Hardin County, including 24 Major Disaster records, 31% above the Tennessee county mean. Across the 53-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 16 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

75 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Hardin County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

28 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

28 declarations (1.3x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

24 of 28 declarations are major disasters (86%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Hardin County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Tennessee Avg

+31%

State avg: 21.4

vs. National Avg

+35%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 53 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Hardin County

Hardin County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Hardin County NRI risk profile FIPS 47071 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

28

High volume

Major Disaster share

86%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

71

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Hardin County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively High an average of 1.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 3.5 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 1.6 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 203 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 29 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 61 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,941 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 5.2 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.4 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 16
Flood 4
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Hardin County's record, 57% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 85.7%

of all 28 declarations

Emergency - 4 14.3%

of all 28 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 2
2023 2
2020 4
2019 1
2015 1
2011 1
2010 2
2008 1
2005 1
2003 2
2002 1
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1991 2
1974 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 28 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 28 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4878 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-06-19
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4701 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-07
4550 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4471 SEVERE STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2019-12-06
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1937 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-09-15
1909 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-04
1745 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-02-07
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1456 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-03-20
1408 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-05
Show 8 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1275 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1999-05-12
1215 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-20
1167 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, HAIL, HIGH WINDS DR Tornado 1997-03-07
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
910 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-06-21
889 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-01-04
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
366 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Hardin County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

209

Total Paid

$3.9M

Avg Per Claim

$18.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 70.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$19.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Hardin County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Hardin County's closest FEMA peer: Towner County, ND

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Hardin County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Hardin County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Hardin County's NFIP claims file (209 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Hardin County?
The most common disaster type in Hardin County is Severe Storm, with 16 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Hardin County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 28 declaration records for Hardin County. That is 31% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 35% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Hardin County received?
Hardin County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 86% of all 28 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Hardin County filed?
Hardin County has 209 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.9M in payments, with an average of $18.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Hardin County?
No. In Hardin County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Hardin County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Hardin County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Hardin County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Hardin County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 70.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $19.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Hardin County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Hardin County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.1 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Hardin County

Hardin County, TN has 28 federal declaration records, 31% more than the Tennessee county mean of 21; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 24 of 28 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Tennessee overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Tennessee mean and the totals for 81% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.