PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Coffee County, TN

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
64
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Coffee County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the Tennessee county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 36%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 36%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
26
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47031 · Coffee County 21 declarations · rank 1474/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 76%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,474
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 64
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -2%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Coffee County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Coffee County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Coffee County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1474 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Coffee County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Coffee County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Coffee County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Coffee County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10063.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Coffee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Earthquake carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Coffee County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 63.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $22.9M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Earthquake, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 288 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 26 claims and $171.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Tennessee county averages 21.4 federal declaration records, while Coffee County has 21. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Coffee County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

21 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

16 of 21 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Coffee County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Coffee County

Coffee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Coffee County NRI risk profile FIPS 47031 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

64

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Coffee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 288 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 5.2 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 22 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 39 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 60 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,156 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Flood 5
Winter Storm 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Coffee County's record, 29% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 76.2%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 5 23.8%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2023 2
2021 1
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2005 1
2003 2
1999 1
1994 1
1993 1
1991 1
1975 1
1974 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1973 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4742 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-09-27
4691 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-03-08
4594 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-04-21
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1441 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOS DR Severe Storm 2002-11-13
1260 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1999-01-15
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
889 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-01-04
459 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-22
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
395 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-06-28
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
366 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Coffee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

26

Total Paid

$171.1K

Avg Per Claim

$6.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 63.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$22.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Earthquake

Earthquake is the model's clearest example of a hazard with no season and no warning. Its expected loss is driven less by how often shaking occurs than by how much of the building stock predates modern seismic codes, so exposure can be high in places where nothing has happened for a long time.

Worth noting for Coffee County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Earthquake carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Coffee County's closest FEMA peer: Kemper County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Coffee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Coffee County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Coffee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Coffee County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Coffee County?
The most common disaster type in Coffee County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Winter Storm (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Coffee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
The typical Tennessee county has 21.4 FEMA declaration records; Coffee County has 21, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Coffee County received?
Coffee County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Coffee County filed?
Coffee County has 26 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $171.1K in payments, with an average of $6.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Coffee County?
No. In Coffee County, Earthquake has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Coffee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Coffee County was 1973, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Coffee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Coffee County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 63.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $22.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Coffee County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Coffee County is Earthquake (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively Moderate) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts earthquake here at roughly once every 288 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Coffee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events