State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Natural disaster risk in North Carolina
North Carolina faces a low level of natural disaster risk, with 16 FEMA disaster declarations on record. The dominant threat is fire, and severe weather has caused $6.6B in combined property and crop damage. NOAA storm event data shows 18,046 recorded weather events resulting in 314 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.
- 16
- FEMA declarations
- 18,046
- NOAA storm events
- 314
- Storm fatalities
- $6.6B
- Property + crop damage
How disaster-prone is North Carolina?
North Carolina (NC) sits at a low level of federally recognized natural-disaster risk, with 16 FEMA disaster declarations on record, including 6 Major Disaster declarations (DR) that triggered full federal individual and public assistance. The dominant declaration type is Fire, followed by Tropical Storm (4), Hurricane (3), Winter Storm (1). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.
NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, North Carolina recorded 18,046 individual storm events, causing 314 fatalities and 252 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $6.6B. The most frequent event types in the state are Thunderstorm Wind (7,857 events), Flash Flood (2,097 events), Hail (1,762 events). Across the state's 100 analyzed counties, FEMA's own National Risk Index flags 5 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Risk Score tool below) of 66.7/100.
NFIP claims data is limited or absent for this state in the current extract, which usually indicates low flood-policy penetration rather than zero flood risk. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Hurricane, estimated at $1.3B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.
Disaster Types in North Carolina
Storm Events by Type
NOAA storm event data for North Carolina (2015-2025).
| Event Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind | 7,857 | 11 | 60 | $65.3M |
| Flash Flood | 2,097 | 113 | 6 | $2.4B |
| Hail | 1,762 | 0 | 0 | $122.5M |
| Winter Weather | 1,359 | 6 | 2 | $425.0K |
| Winter Storm | 848 | 7 | 0 | $11.1M |
| Flood | 555 | 28 | 2 | $868.9M |
| Heavy Rain | 413 | 2 | 0 | $88.5K |
| Tropical Storm | 385 | 25 | 4 | $518.5M |
| High Wind | 380 | 6 | 1 | $48.2M |
| Excessive Heat | 367 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Tornado | 355 | 9 | 98 | $447.7M |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 348 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Strong Wind | 294 | 9 | 17 | $35.3M |
| Heavy Snow | 239 | 0 | 0 | $20.0K |
| Lightning | 139 | 15 | 61 | $4.1M |
| Drought | 132 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Rip Current | 108 | 57 | 0 | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | 90 | 0 | 0 | $5.0M |
| Frost/Freeze | 86 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Ice Storm | 73 | 0 | 0 | $25.0K |
Storm Events by Year
| Year | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3,358 | 26 | 24 | $94.1M |
| 2024 | 1,570 | 98 | 29 | $2.1B |
| 2023 | 1,380 | 4 | 36 | $307.2M |
| 2022 | 1,586 | 10 | 9 | $30.9M |
| 2021 | 904 | 13 | 30 | $219.8M |
| 2020 | 1,691 | 27 | 25 | $79.9M |
| 2019 | 1,447 | 16 | 12 | $149.3M |
| 2018 | 1,846 | 50 | 18 | $2.0B |
| 2017 | 1,224 | 17 | 19 | $60.6M |
| 2016 | 1,656 | 47 | 23 | $832.1M |
| 2015 | 1,384 | 6 | 27 | $25.6M |
FEMA Disaster Declarations
16 unique disaster declarations in North Carolina.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3637 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Winter Storm | 2026-01-24 |
| 4889 | TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL | DR | Tropical Depression | 2025-09-11 |
| 5582 | SUNSET DRIVE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-05-03 |
| 5580 | SAM DAVIS ROAD FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-04-20 |
| 5578 | TABLE ROCK FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-03-27 |
| 5577 | ALARKA FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-03-26 |
| 5574 | BLACK COVE FIRE COMPLEX | FM | Fire | 2025-03-22 |
| 4837 | POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT | DR | Tropical Storm | 2024-10-19 |
| 4827 | TROPICAL STORM HELENE | DR | Tropical Storm | 2024-09-28 |
| 3617 | HURRICANE HELENE | EM | Tropical Storm | 2024-09-26 |
| 3608 | TROPICAL STORM DEBBY | EM | Tropical Storm | 2024-08-06 |
| 3586 | HURRICANE IAN | EM | Hurricane | 2022-10-01 |
| 4617 | REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM FRED | DR | Hurricane | 2021-09-08 |
| 4588 | TROPICAL STORM ETA | DR | Severe Storm | 2021-03-03 |
| 4568 | HURRICANE ISAIAS | DR | Hurricane | 2020-10-14 |
| 5164 | CHESTNUT KNOB FIRE | FM | Fire | 2016-11-19 |
FEMA National Risk Index
Composite natural hazard risk scores for North Carolina counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.
Avg County Risk Score
66.7/100
High Risk Counties
5
of 100 counties
Top Hazard by EAL
Hurricane
$1.3B annual loss est.
Top 5 Hazards by Expected Annual Loss
#1
Hurricane
$1.3B EAL
#2
Tornado
$342.4M EAL
#3
Cold Wave
$190.8M EAL
#4
Earthquake
$99.5M EAL
#5
Heat Wave
$94.0M EAL
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Counties in North Carolina
100 counties with FEMA disaster data.
| County | Disasters | Major | Top Hazard | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick | 7 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Beaufort | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Hertford | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Wilkes | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Rowan | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| New Hanover | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Yadkin | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Carteret | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Onslow | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Burke | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Stokes | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Alleghany | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Ashe | 6 | 3 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Swain | 6 | 1 | Fire | 2026 |
| Iredell | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Transylvania | 6 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Robeson | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Nash | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Chowan | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Duplin | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Cabarrus | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Avery | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Polk | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Alexander | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Person | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Haywood | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Hyde | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Pitt | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Dare | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Jones | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Union | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Sampson | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Bertie | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Columbus | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Jackson | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Surry | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Graham | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Moore | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Pamlico | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Stanly | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Mitchell | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Forsyth | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Orange | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Yancey | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Craven | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Pender | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Edgecombe | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Caswell | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Durham | 5 | 1 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
| Caldwell | 5 | 2 | Tropical Storm | 2026 |
Showing 50 of 100 counties.
Disaster Preparedness Guides
Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.
Preparing for Natural Disasters
Essential steps to prepare your household for the most common natural hazards.
Hazard Risk by Region
How natural disaster risk varies across different US regions.
Climate Change & Disasters
How climate trends are changing the frequency and severity of natural disasters.
Frequently Asked Questions
What natural disasters affect North Carolina?
How many FEMA disaster declarations has North Carolina had?
What severe weather events are most common in North Carolina?
What is the disaster risk level for North Carolina?
Which counties in North Carolina have the most disaster declarations?
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only
What this means for North Carolina
North Carolina carries a low federal disaster profile - 16 FEMA declarations and 18,046 recorded storm events, led by fire.
- Risk is uneven within the state - Brunswick and Beaufort carry the most declarations. Check the county where you live. Browse counties
- See how North Carolina ranks against other states for disaster frequency and damage. State rankings
- Learn what FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and damage figures do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide
Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.
Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Related
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.