Mitchell County, North Carolina

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 37121 · population 14,896 · 221 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 607 records for Mitchell County, North Carolina from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 526 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (385 records). 507 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the June 25, 2000 lightning: 1 death and 5 injuries. FEMA has issued 21 declarations naming the county since 1977, 19 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm” on January 24, 2026.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
607on 526 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
25 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$51Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
FEMA declarations
21latest 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Mitchell County most?

The most frequent records are winter storm records: 385 since 1996. 54% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The rank column places the county among North Carolina's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Mitchell County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Winter storms 385 363 1996-2026 0 0 $40K 1 of 100
High wind and dust storms 46 45 1996-2026 0 0 $831K 5 of 100
Severe thunderstorm wind 38 32 1985-2026 0 0 $197K 89 of 100
Drought 35 35 1998-2026 0 0 – 2 of 100
Hail 35 28 1985-2026 0 0 $15K 53 of 100
Floods 30 25 1996-2024 1 0 $40M 19 of 100
Extreme cold 29 29 1996-2026 0 0 $1.4M 1 of 100
Landslides and avalanches 3 2 2004-2005 0 0 $1.6M 6 of 100
Hurricanes and tropical storms 2 2 2020-2024 0 0 $6.6M 61 of 100
Lightning 2 2 2000-2004 1 5 $2K 57 of 100
Heavy rain 1 1 2003-2003 0 0 – 79 of 100
Wildfires 1 1 2000-2000 0 0 – 5 of 100

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

When was the last damaging storm in Mitchell County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the September 27, 2024 flash flood (1 death and $28.2 million in damage in 2025 dollars).

Extensive flooding of the North Toe and Nolichucky Rivers, and their tributaries, including Cane Creek developed during the overnight and early morning hours of the 27th as rainfall rates began to intensify again during the evening of the 26th. The most intense rainfall occurred just after sunrise, as the tropical rain bands near the center of Helene swept across the area. A stream gauge on Cane Creek near Bakersville reached major flood stage of 10 feet just after sunrise before it stopped reporting. Dozens of structures were inundated and damaged throughout the county, with some homes completely swept away. Numerous bridges and roads were also damaged, especially near the Yancey County line. Three-day rainfall totals were 7-12 inches across much of the county. However, amounts of 15-20 inches were reported in the extreme southern part of the county along the McDowell County line. …
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1218188)
The 12 most recent records kept for Mitchell County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-05-01 DroughtMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-04-01 DroughtMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-04-01 HailRed Hill, Mitchell County 0.75 in hail 0 0 –
2026-03-16 Thunderstorm WindBoonford, Mitchell County 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-03-16 Winter WeatherMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-02-22 Winter WeatherMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-02-07 High WindMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-02-01 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-01-30 Heavy SnowMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-01-26 Cold/Wind ChillMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2026-01-24 Winter StormMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –
2025-11-30 Winter WeatherMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Mitchell County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2000-06-25 LightningBakersville, Mitchell County Strong to severe thunderstorms developed in the mountains during the early afternoon and rumbled east across the foothills and into the western piedmont by early evening. All of the damage was produced by straight-line winds estimated almost as high as 70 mph that downed trees and power lines. In the Asheville, ... 1 5 –
2024-09-27 Flash FloodWing, Mitchell County Extensive flooding of the North Toe and Nolichucky Rivers, and their tributaries, including Cane Creek developed during the overnight and early morning hours of the 27th as rainfall rates began to intensify again during the evening of the 26th. The most intense rainfall occurred just after sunrise, as the tropical ... 1 0 $28M
The costliest records in Mitchell County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-09-27 Flash FloodWing, Mitchell County 1 0 $28M
1998-01-07 Flash FloodBakersville, Mitchell County 0 0 $9.1M
2004-09-08 Debris FlowMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 $1.6M
2013-07-03 Flash FloodToecane, Mitchell County 0 0 $760K
2004-09-17 FloodMitchell County · forecast zone Mitchell 0 0 $283K

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Mitchell County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Mitchell County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Winter storms––––5915911948
High wind and dust storms––––63361
Severe thunderstorm wind0002812106
Drought––––62702
Hail0002317112
Floods––––61194

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

54% of its winter storm records since 1996 fell in January and February. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 139 · Feb 110 · Mar 75 · Apr 34 · May 29 · Jun 27 · Jul 16 · Aug 21 · Sep 18 · Oct 15 · Nov 43 · Dec 80 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Mitchell County

FEMA's register lists 21 declarations that include Mitchell County: 12 major disasters, 9 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for hurricane (8) and severe storm (3).

Declarations including Mitchell County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2026-01-24EM-3637Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
2024-09-28DR-4827Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
2024-09-26EM-3617Tropical StormHurricane Helene
2022-10-01EM-3586HurricaneHurricane Ian
2021-09-08DR-4617HurricaneRemnants of Tropical Storm Fred
2020-08-02EM-3534HurricaneHurricane Isaias
2020-05-08DR-4543Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2020-03-25DR-4487BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3471BiologicalCovid-19
2019-09-03EM-3423HurricaneHurricane Dorian
2018-09-10EM-3401HurricaneHurricane Florence
2013-09-25DR-4146FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2010-02-02DR-1871Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
2005-09-05EM-3222HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2004-09-18DR-1553HurricaneHurricane Ivan
2004-09-10DR-1546HurricaneTropical Storm Frances
1998-01-15DR-1200Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
1996-01-13DR-1087SnowstormBlizzard of 96
1995-10-23DR-1073FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, High Winds
1993-03-17EM-3110SnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter Storm
1977-11-09DR-542FloodSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Mitchell County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 30 flood or flash flood records for Mitchell County from 1996 to 2024, on 25 days, with 1 death. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Mitchell County ranks 1660th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

Named storms on Mitchell County's flood and tropical record
StormBeganRecordsDeaths in the county
Hurricane Helene2024-09-2721
Hurricane Ivan2004-09-1710
Tropical Storm Frances2004-09-0710

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $2.7 million on 50 claims filed in Mitchell County; the most in one year was 15 in 2024. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1979: 1 · 1980: 1 · 1983: 1 · 1991: 3 · 1992: 2 · 1995: 3 · 1996: 3 · 1998: 9 · 2003: 2 · 2004: 3 · 2011: 1 · 2012: 1 · 2013: 3 · 2019: 1 · 2020: 1 · 2024: 15; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Mitchell County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Mitchell County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $6.9 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Mitchell County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
LightningRelatively High$741K54 a year (modeled)
LandslideRelatively Moderate$96Kabout once a year (modeled)
Ice StormRelatively Moderate$170Kabout once a year (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively Low$985K4.8 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Low$4.1Mabout once a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Low$343Konce in about 16 years (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively Low$206K2.8 a year (modeled)
HurricaneVery Low$78Konce in about 36 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Mitchell County

  1. McDowell County 805
  2. Avery County 681
  3. Mitchell County 607
  4. Yancey County 599
  5. Carter County, TN 377
  6. Unicoi County, TN 228

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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