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North Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lenoir County, NC

29 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

29
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
85
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lenoir County. Its 29 FEMA declarations are 21% above the North Carolina county mean and exceed the count for 85% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 15%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 15%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
29
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
835
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 37107 · Lenoir County 29 declarations · rank 447/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 29
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 48%
  • RANK-MID #447
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bath
  • NRI-MID 85
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +21%

Nearest declaration peer: Bath, KY (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Carolina state profile

Lenoir County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Lenoir County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lenoir County carries 29 FEMA declaration records, ranked 447 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Lenoir County ranks in the national declaration registry

Lenoir County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lenoir County

29 Top 15% higher than 85% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lenoir County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Carolina avg67/10084.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lenoir County is led by Hurricane (about $14.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lenoir County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 835 claims and $44.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $53.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lenoir County's 29 federal records stand 21% above the North Carolina county mean of 24.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 84.6/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $35.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.4 times per year here, based on 65 historical events on record.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lenoir County, NC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
21/30

29 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

29 declarations (1.2x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
12/25

14 of 29 declarations are major disasters (48%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Lenoir County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lenoir County

Lenoir County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 70, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 43 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 43 8-hazard mean
Lenoir County NRI risk profile FIPS 37107 · displayed-hazard mean 43/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

29

High volume

Major Disaster share

48%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

85

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lenoir County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 3.4 times per year
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 3 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 8.1 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 994 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 53 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 7.6 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,119 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 83 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 18 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 20
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1
Severe Ice Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Lenoir County's federal record, 69% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 15 51.7%

of all 29 declarations

Major Disaster - 14 48.3%

of all 29 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 2
2023 1
2021 1
2020 4
2019 1
2018 2
2017 2
2011 2
2010 1
2005 2
2003 1
1999 2
1998 2
1996 2
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1984 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 29 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 29 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3637 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3617 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3608 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-06
3586 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-10-01
4568 HURRICANE ISAIAS DR Hurricane 2020-10-14
3534 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-02
4487 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3471 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4465 HURRICANE DORIAN DR Hurricane 2019-10-04
3423 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-03
4393 HURRICANE FLORENCE DR Hurricane 2018-09-14
3401 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
4285 HURRICANE MATTHEW DR Hurricane 2016-10-10
3380 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-07
4019 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-08-31
3327 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-25
3314 HURRICANE EARL EM Hurricane 2010-09-01
3254 HURRICANE OPHELIA EM Hurricane 2005-09-14
3222 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1490 HURRICANE ISABEL DR Hurricane 2003-09-18
Show 9 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1292 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-16
3146 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-15
1240 HURRICANE BONNIE DR Hurricane 1998-08-27
1211 SEVERE STORMS TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-03-22
1134 HURRICANE FRAN DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1127 HURRICANE BERTHA DR Hurricane 1996-07-18
3110 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
699 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1984-03-30
234 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 1968-02-10

Storm Events in North Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lenoir County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,123 11 60 $62.9M
Flash Flood 1,881 105 6 $2.3B
Hail 1,623 0 0 $122.5M
Winter Weather 1,272 6 2 $425.0K
Winter Storm 743 7 0 $10.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

835

Total Paid

$44.4M

Avg Per Claim

$53.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 84.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$35.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Lenoir County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lenoir County's closest FEMA peer: Spokane County, WA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lenoir County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lenoir County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lenoir County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lenoir County's NFIP claims file (835 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lenoir County?
The most common disaster type in Lenoir County is Hurricane, with 20 declarations. Other disaster types include Tropical Storm (2), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Lenoir County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Carolina average?
FEMA lists 29 declaration records for Lenoir County. That is 21% above the North Carolina county mean of 24.0. Its count is also 40% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lenoir County received?
Lenoir County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 48% of all 29 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lenoir County filed?
Lenoir County has 835 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $44.4M in payments, with an average of $53.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lenoir County?
No. In Lenoir County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Hurricane leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lenoir County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lenoir County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lenoir County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lenoir County, North Carolina has an overall risk score of 84.6 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $35.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lenoir County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lenoir County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively High) and Tornado (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 3.4 times per year, drawn from 65 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lenoir County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Carolina profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events