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North Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Surry County, NC

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

20
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
74
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Surry County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 17% below the North Carolina county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 26%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 26%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
66
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 37171 · Surry County 20 declarations · rank 1703/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 35%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,703
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 74
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -17%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Carolina state profile

Surry County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Surry County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Surry County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1703 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Surry County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Surry County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Surry County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Surry County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Carolina avg67/10073.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Surry County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Cold Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Surry County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 66 paid claims, totaling $1.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $17.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Carolina county averages 24.0 federal declaration records, while Surry County has 20. The gap is 17% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 73.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $26.9M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Cold Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 14 historical events on record.

51 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Surry County, NC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
9/25

7 of 20 declarations are major disasters (35%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Surry County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Surry County

Surry County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Surry County NRI risk profile FIPS 37171 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

35%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

74

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Surry County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 2.7 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 23 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 605 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 13 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 7.9 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 50 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,390 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Snowstorm 4
Tropical Storm 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Flood 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Surry County's federal record, 40% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 13 65.0%

of all 20 declarations

Major Disaster - 7 35.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 3
2023 1
2020 3
2019 2
2018 1
2017 1
2005 1
1996 2
1993 1
1989 1
1979 1
1977 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3637 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4827 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-09-28
3617 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3608 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-06
3586 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-10-01
3534 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-02
4487 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3471 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3423 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-03
4412 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2019-01-31
3401 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
3380 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-07
3222 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1103 WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1996-02-23
1087 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3110 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
844 HURRICANE HUGO DR Hurricane 1989-09-25
605 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-09-29
3049 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-08-11
3033 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-03-02

Storm Events in North Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Surry County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,123 11 60 $62.9M
Flash Flood 1,881 105 6 $2.3B
Hail 1,623 0 0 $122.5M
Winter Weather 1,272 6 2 $425.0K
Winter Storm 743 7 0 $10.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

66

Total Paid

$1.2M

Avg Per Claim

$17.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 73.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$26.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Surry County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Surry County's closest FEMA peer: Deschutes County, OR

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Surry County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Surry County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Surry County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Surry County's NFIP claims file (66 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Surry County?
The most common disaster type in Surry County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (4), Tropical Storm (3), Biological (2).
How does Surry County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Carolina average?
The typical North Carolina county has 24.0 FEMA declaration records; Surry County has 20, or 17% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Surry County received?
Surry County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 35% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Surry County filed?
Surry County has 66 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.2M in payments, with an average of $17.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Surry County?
No. In Surry County, Cold Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Surry County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Surry County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Surry County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Surry County, North Carolina has an overall risk score of 73.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $26.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Surry County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Surry County as of the latest release is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively High) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 14 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Surry County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Carolina profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events