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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Grayson County, VA

4 FEMA disaster declarations (2024–2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Tropical Storm.

4
FEMA declarations
2
Major disasters
25
NRI risk · Very Low
Tropical Storm
Top hazard

FEMA's National Risk Index places Grayson County in the top 75% of U.S. counties for overall natural-hazard risk, and its FEMA disaster-declaration count is higher than 59% of all 2,729 counties tracked.

How does Grayson County compare?

Grayson County
4
Virginia county avg
2.2
National county avg
3.7

How disaster-prone is Grayson County?

Grayson County, Virginia has recorded 4 FEMA disaster declarations between 2024 and 2026, of which 2 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 2.0 declarations per year across a 2-year record, or roughly 81% above the Virginia county average of 2.2 and 7% above the national county average of 3.7.

The dominant disaster type on record is Tropical Storm, with 2 of 4 declarations falling under this category. This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 24.7/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.9M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate.

Taken together, Grayson County reads as low relative risk on this historical lens, fewer federally recognized disasters than a typical U.S. county.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level

Low

vs. Virginia Avg

+81%

State avg: 2.2

vs. National Avg

+7%

National avg: 3.7

Avg Per Year

2.0

Over 2 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Grayson County

Grayson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 0, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 48. Overall composite 13 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 13 composite
Grayson County NRI risk profile FIPS 51077 · composite 13/100 (Low)
How to read this radar

The radar plots Grayson County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.

FEMA Records

4

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

51077

VA state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Tropical Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 2 50.0%

of all 4 declarations

Major Disaster - 2 50.0%

of all 4 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1

Disaster Declarations

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
3621 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-29

Storm Events in Virginia

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 10,036 15 34 $128.5M
Flash Flood 2,427 15 4 $261.2M
Flood 2,400 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,286 6 32 $903.0K
Winter Storm 1,583 5 6 $3.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 24.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in Virginia

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Grayson County, Virginia had?
Grayson County, Virginia has received 4 FEMA disaster declarations from 2024 to 2026. Of these, 2 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Grayson County?
The most common disaster type in Grayson County is Tropical Storm, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (1), Severe Storm (1).
How does Grayson County's disaster risk compare to the Virginia average?
Grayson County has 4 disaster declarations, which is 81% higher than the Virginia county average of 2.2 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.7, it is 7% higher.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Grayson County received?
Grayson County has received 2 major disaster declarations, representing 50% of all 4 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in Virginia?
The most common storm types in Virginia include Thunderstorm Wind (10,036 events), Flash Flood (2,427 events), Flood (2,400 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Grayson County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Grayson County was 2025, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2024 to 2026.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Grayson County?
Grayson County's 4 FEMA disaster declarations put it in the low-risk band, fewer federally recognized disasters than a typical U.S. county over the same span.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Grayson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Grayson County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 24.7 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Grayson County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Grayson County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Drought (Relatively Low). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Grayson County

Grayson County, VA has 4 FEMA disaster declarations on record, a low historical disaster load, 81% above the Virginia county average.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is emergency (2 of 4) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Virginia overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.