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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Carroll County, VA

4 FEMA disaster declarations (2024–2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Tropical Storm.

4
FEMA declarations
2
Major disasters
45
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Tropical Storm
Top hazard

FEMA's National Risk Index places Carroll County in the top 55% of U.S. counties for overall natural-hazard risk, and its FEMA disaster-declaration count is higher than 59% of all 2,729 counties tracked.

How does Carroll County compare?

FEMA disaster declarations, this county versus the Virginia county average and the national county average.

Carroll County
4
Virginia county avg
2.2
National county avg
3.7

How disaster-prone is Carroll County?

Carroll County, Virginia has recorded 4 FEMA disaster declarations between 2024 and 2026, of which 2 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 2.0 declarations per year across a 2-year record, or roughly 81% above the Virginia county average of 2.2 and 7% above the national county average of 3.7. Declaration counts reflect federal recognition of event severity, not pure hazard frequency, smaller incidents handled locally never appear in FEMA's ledger.

The dominant disaster type on record is Tropical Storm, with 2 of 4 declarations falling under this category. FEMA's National Risk Index assigns this county an overall risk rating of Relatively Low (composite score 45.1/100), driven by an Expected Annual Loss rating of Very Low equivalent to roughly $9.9M in annualized losses. Social vulnerability scores Very High and community resilience scores Very Low - two factors that modify raw hazard exposure into actual harm. The single highest-risk natural hazard identified for this county is Landslide (Relatively Moderate).

NFIP flood insurance claims data for this county is not present in the FEMA claims extract, which typically indicates either low historical flood activity or low policy penetration. Taken together, these indicators place Carroll County at a low relative risk level for federally recognized disasters. Households should pair this historical lens with forward-looking hazard maps, flood zones, wildfire risk overlays, and seismic zones published by FEMA and state emergency management, before making preparedness, insurance, or relocation decisions.

Risk Assessment

How Carroll County's disaster history compares to state and national averages.

Risk Level

Low

vs. Virginia Avg

+81%

State avg: 2.2

vs. National Avg

+7%

National avg: 3.7

Avg Per Year

2.0

Over 2 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Carroll County

Carroll County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard composite scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 0, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 70. Overall composite 20 of 100, classified Low. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 20 composite
Carroll County NRI risk profile FIPS 51035 · composite 20/100 (Low)

The radar plots Carroll County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance.

FEMA Records

4

Total declarations

NRI Source

FEMA 2023

Latest NRI release

County FIPS

51035

VA state code

Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release

Disaster Types

Breakdown of 4 FEMA disaster declarations in Carroll County by incident type.

Tropical Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1

Declaration Types

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 2 50.0%

of all 4 declarations

Major Disaster - 2 50.0%

of all 4 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Disaster declarations per year for Carroll County.

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1

Disaster Declarations

All 4 FEMA disaster declarations for Carroll County, Virginia.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
3621 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-29

Storm Events in Virginia

NOAA severe weather data for Virginia (2015–2025). Storm event data is tracked at the state level.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 10,036 15 34 $128.5M
Flash Flood 2,427 15 4 $261.2M
Flood 2,400 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,286 6 32 $903.0K
Winter Storm 1,583 5 6 $3.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's composite risk score combining 18 natural hazard types, social vulnerability, and community resilience for Carroll County.

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 45.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Risk rating for each of the 18 FEMA NRI natural hazard types in Carroll County.

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Drought Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

Counties with Similar Risk in Virginia

Other Virginia counties with similar disaster declaration counts.

Disaster Preparedness Guides

Frequently Asked Questions

How many natural disasters has Carroll County, Virginia had?
Carroll County, Virginia has received 4 FEMA disaster declarations from 2024 to 2026. Of these, 2 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Carroll County?
The most common disaster type in Carroll County is Tropical Storm, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Winter Storm (1), Severe Storm (1).
How does Carroll County's disaster risk compare to the Virginia average?
Carroll County has 4 disaster declarations, which is 81% higher than the Virginia county average of 2.2 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.7, it is 7% higher.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Carroll County received?
Carroll County has received 2 major disaster declarations, representing 50% of all 4 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in Virginia?
The most common storm types in Virginia include Thunderstorm Wind (10,036 events), Flash Flood (2,427 events), Flood (2,400 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Carroll County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Carroll County was 2025, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2024 to 2026.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Carroll County?
Based on FEMA declaration history, Carroll County has a low disaster risk level with 4 total declarations. This county has relatively few disaster declarations compared to the national average.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Carroll County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Carroll County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 45.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Carroll County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Carroll County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively High) and Drought (Relatively Low). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.

Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Carroll County

Carroll County, VA has 4 FEMA disaster declarations on record, a low historical disaster load, 81% above the Virginia county average.

  • Its most common federal declaration type is emergency (2 of 4) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Virginia overview
  • See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
  • Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.