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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Wythe County, VA

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

18
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
49
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Wythe County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 12% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 49%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 49%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
31
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51197 · Wythe County 18 declarations · rank 2034/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 56%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,034
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW 49
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -12%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Wythe County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Wythe County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Wythe County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2034 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Wythe County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Wythe County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Wythe County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Wythe County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10048.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Wythe County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Cold Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Wythe County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 48.7/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $11.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Cold Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 4.4 times per year here, based on 84 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 31 claims and $386.8K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Wythe County has 18. The gap is 12% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Wythe County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

18 declarations (0.9x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

10 of 18 declarations are major disasters (56%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Wythe County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Wythe County

Wythe County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 23 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 23 8-hazard mean
Wythe County NRI risk profile FIPS 51197 · displayed-hazard mean 23/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

56%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

49

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Wythe County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 4.4 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.5 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 3 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 537 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 43 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 45 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,316 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 15 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 4
Hurricane 3
Snowstorm 3
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Wythe County's record, 22% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 55.6%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 8 44.4%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
2000 1
1996 2
1994 1
1993 1
1977 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
3621 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-29
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1458 SEVERE WINTER STORM, RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL, HEAVY RAIN,FLOODIND, AND MUDSLIDE DR Severe Storm 2003-03-27
1406 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-02
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1098 FLOODING, HIGH WINDS, AND WIND DRIVEN RAIN DR Flood 1996-01-27
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
530 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-07
3018 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-10-15

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Wythe County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

31

Total Paid

$386.8K

Avg Per Claim

$12.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 48.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Wythe County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Wythe County's closest FEMA peer: Lowndes County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Wythe County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Wythe County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Wythe County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 18 FEMA declarations, Wythe County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Wythe County?
The most common disaster type in Wythe County is Severe Storm, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Snowstorm (3), Tropical Storm (2).
How does Wythe County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Wythe County has 18, or 12% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Wythe County received?
Wythe County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 56% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Wythe County filed?
Wythe County has 31 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $386.8K in payments, with an average of $12.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Wythe County?
No. In Wythe County, Cold Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Wythe County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Wythe County was 1977, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Wythe County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Wythe County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 48.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Wythe County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Wythe County is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 4.4 times per year, drawn from 84 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Wythe County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events