FEMA declarations
120
High volume
State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Arizona carries a substantial federal disaster record. 120 FEMA disaster declarations are on record, led by fire, with $366.3M in combined property and crop damage. The count also reflects declaration policy and program use; it is not a direct measure of physical hazard frequency. NOAA storm event data shows 9,541 recorded weather events resulting in 2,810 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.
The Arizona risk picture
3 of the 15 counties FEMA scores, 20%, carry a FEMA "high-risk" National Risk Index rating, with riverine flooding the single largest driver of expected annual loss statewide. Arizona has 37 Major Disaster (DR) declarations; FEMA authorizes Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both separately for each declaration. NOAA-tracked storms have caused 344 injuries statewide.
FEMA's National Risk Index and NOAA's Storm Events Database measure different things: modeled long-run risk vs. observed severe-weather events. Storm Events is a reported dataset, so its counts track what was observed and logged, not every event that occurred, and reporting is denser where more people live. See the methodology for how they relate.
FEMA declarations
120
High volume
Major Disaster share
31%
Mixed major share
NOAA storm events
9,541
Observed severe-weather records
Arizona vs. every U.S. state
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time
120 Top 14% higher than 86% of 59 states and territories
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more states and territories. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25
Arizona county risk-score spread
FEMA National Risk Index composite scores, 0–100
84.5 27th percentile higher than 27% of 15 county composite scores
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more county composite scores. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA National Risk Index (NRI), county composite scores · 2026-08-25
The declaration chart counts past federal actions. The county score chart summarizes FEMA's modeled National Risk Index composite; it is not a forecast, and a state average does not describe every county.
Arizona sits at the 85th percentile of FEMA declaration volume and the 38th percentile of NOAA storm-event volume among 55 states and territories, those two ranks are not interchangeable.
Percentiles are within this release's state/territory sample. Raw counts are the underlying FEMA and NOAA totals.
| State | FEMA decls | FEMA %ile | NOAA storms | NOAA %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 396 | 98 | 23,694 | 93 |
| Texas | 389 | 96 | 53,309 | 98 |
| Oklahoma | 258 | 95 | 23,896 | 95 |
| Washington | 215 | 93 | 4,408 | 22 |
| Florida | 188 | 91 | 12,838 | 55 |
| Oregon | 169 | 89 | 3,695 | 20 |
| New Mexico | 126 | 87 | 10,974 | 45 |
| Arizona | 120 | 85 | 9,541 | 38 |
| New York | 118 | 84 | 21,653 | 82 |
| Montana | 112 | 82 | 13,576 | 56 |
| Colorado | 111 | 78 | 18,340 | 73 |
| Louisiana | 111 | 78 | 11,204 | 47 |
| Nevada | 110 | 76 | 4,534 | 24 |
| Alabama | 102 | 75 | 14,583 | 64 |
| Kentucky | 98 | 71 | 19,947 | 78 |
| Mississippi | 98 | 71 | 14,100 | 62 |
| Tennessee | 97 | 69 | 16,645 | 69 |
| South Dakota | 96 | 67 | 22,759 | 87 |
| Alaska | 94 | 64 | 2,683 | 15 |
| Kansas | 94 | 64 | 25,115 | 96 |
| Arkansas | 87 | 60 | 13,637 | 58 |
| Nebraska | 87 | 60 | 20,136 | 80 |
| Missouri | 86 | 58 | 22,952 | 89 |
| North Carolina | 85 | 56 | 16,367 | 67 |
| West Virginia | 84 | 55 | 12,026 | 49 |
| Georgia | 81 | 51 | 16,676 | 71 |
| Minnesota | 81 | 51 | 19,109 | 75 |
| Iowa | 78 | 49 | 21,883 | 84 |
| Virginia | 77 | 47 | 23,584 | 91 |
| North Dakota | 75 | 45 | 10,818 | 44 |
| Hawaii | 72 | 44 | 6,200 | 31 |
| Maine | 71 | 42 | 4,781 | 27 |
| Illinois | 68 | 40 | 22,088 | 85 |
| Pennsylvania | 64 | 38 | 19,427 | 76 |
| New Hampshire | 63 | 36 | 2,547 | 11 |
| Vermont | 62 | 35 | 3,449 | 18 |
| Idaho | 60 | 31 | 5,142 | 29 |
| Ohio | 60 | 31 | 16,184 | 65 |
| Massachusetts | 59 | 25 | 6,781 | 33 |
| New Jersey | 59 | 25 | 8,218 | 35 |
| Utah | 59 | 25 | 4,578 | 25 |
| Wisconsin | 56 | 24 | 13,807 | 60 |
| Indiana | 54 | 22 | 12,687 | 53 |
| Puerto Rico | 51 | 18 | 2,944 | 16 |
| South Carolina | 51 | 18 | 10,520 | 42 |
| Michigan | 46 | 16 | 9,052 | 36 |
| Wyoming | 45 | 15 | 12,494 | 51 |
| Connecticut | 43 | 13 | 2,622 | 13 |
| Maryland | 38 | 11 | 10,290 | 40 |
| U.S. Virgin Islands | 33 | 9 | 88 | 0 |
| Rhode Island | 31 | 7 | 924 | 7 |
| Delaware | 26 | 5 | 1,475 | 9 |
| Guam | 25 | 4 | 258 | 2 |
| District of Columbia | 24 | 2 | 452 | 5 |
| American Samoa | 17 | 0 | 292 | 4 |
Wider bars = more declarations of that incident type
Fire
82 declarations
Flood
17 declarations
Severe Storm
15 declarations
Biological
3 declarations
Drought
1 declarations
Hurricane
1 declarations
Freezing
1 declarations
What this shows Fire leads Arizona's FEMA declaration mix with 82 records among the types shown.
Reported severe-weather events, 2015-2025 catalog window
Peak year in this series: 2022 (1,419 events). Counts are reported events, not a complete census.
Historical Activity Index
High historical activity
Arizona · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records
This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite mixing OpenFEMA declaration totals (1953–present) with NOAA Storm Events (2015–2025), different windows and event definitions, disclosed weights on the methodology page . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology
120 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x state average)
9541 NOAA storm events in the 2015–2025 extract (0.9x median state)
Recorded NOAA property+crop damage in the 2015–2025 extract (0.6x median state)
7 different disaster types declared in Arizona
Arizona (AZ) has a high level of federal declaration activity, with 120 FEMA declaration records, including 37 Major Disaster declarations (DR). A DR may authorize Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both; those program approvals are not implied by the DR count. The dominant declaration type is Fire, followed by Flood (17), Severe Storm (15), Biological (3). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.
Flood exposure is quantified separately through the National Flood Insurance Program. Policyholders across 15Arizona counties have filed 5,252 NFIP claims totaling $61.9M, or an average of $11.8K per claim. NFIP data captures only insured flood losses, so uninsured flood damage and storm-surge losses outside mapped high-risk zones remain invisible in this figure. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Riverine Flooding, estimated at $2.0B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.
NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, Arizona recorded 9,541 individual storm events, causing 2,810 fatalities and 344 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $366.3M. The most frequent event types in the state are Flash Flood (2,094 events), Excessive Heat (1,812 events), Thunderstorm Wind (1,680 events). Across the 15counties FEMA scores here, its National Risk Index flags 3 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Historical Activity tool below) of 84.5/100.
What this count is, and is not. Storm Events is a reported database: NOAA compiles it from National Weather Service offices, trained spotters, law enforcement, and the public. It is a record of what was observed and logged, not a complete census of severe weather. Densely populated areas report more events than sparsely populated ones with similar meteorological exposure, and detection has improved over time, so an event count is not a like-for-like measure of hazard between places or across decades. Damage figures are field estimates, not audited losses. See methodology.
Share of this state's FEMA declarations; the bar chart above is the same mix as counts.
Fire
68.3%
82 declarations
Flood
14.2%
17 declarations
Severe Storm
12.5%
15 declarations
Biological
2.5%
3 declarations
Drought
0.8%
1 declarations
Hurricane
0.8%
1 declarations
Freezing
0.8%
1 declarations
NOAA storm event data for Arizona (2015-2025).
| Event Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood | 2,094 | 45 | 18 | $149.9M |
| Excessive Heat | 1,812 | 1,497 | 120 | $0 |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 1,680 | 3 | 19 | $75.9M |
| Heat | 727 | 1,206 | 39 | $0 |
| High Wind | 446 | 0 | 0 | $734.0K |
| Dust Storm | 443 | 6 | 28 | $1.5M |
| Heavy Snow | 404 | 0 | 43 | $55.0K |
| Hail | 401 | 0 | 6 | $5.5M |
| Drought | 396 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Rain | 248 | 2 | 13 | $1.9M |
| Wildfire | 189 | 1 | 18 | $105.4M |
| Flood | 184 | 10 | 0 | $14.0M |
| Lightning | 81 | 4 | 30 | $3.7M |
| Winter Storm | 76 | 5 | 1 | $202.0K |
| Funnel Cloud | 65 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Tornado | 63 | 0 | 5 | $965.0K |
| Dense Fog | 58 | 2 | 2 | $50.0K |
| Strong Wind | 54 | 3 | 1 | $327.8K |
| Cold/Wind Chill | 33 | 21 | 0 | $5.0K |
| Winter Weather | 26 | 3 | 0 | $115.0K |
| Year | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 896 | 165 | 50 | $37.6M |
| 2024 | 688 | 266 | 10 | $39.7M |
| 2023 | 1,012 | 771 | 21 | $19.6M |
| 2022 | 1,419 | 439 | 4 | $44.5M |
| 2021 | 1,301 | 348 | 26 | $105.0M |
| 2020 | 816 | 345 | 12 | $3.9M |
| 2019 | 824 | 185 | 21 | $15.1M |
| 2018 | 1,125 | 255 | 59 | $67.5M |
| 2017 | 498 | 13 | 13 | $11.7M |
| 2016 | 444 | 13 | 58 | $6.3M |
| 2015 | 518 | 10 | 70 | $10.7M |
How the 120 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.
Download all 120 declarations as CSV . Source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.
120 unique disaster declarations in Arizona.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4911 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2026-05-29 |
| 5585 | CODY FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-05-22 |
| 5584 | GREER FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-05-14 |
| 4840 | FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2024-10-25 |
| 4833 | WATCH FIRE | DR | Fire | 2024-10-04 |
| 5508 | WATCH FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-07-13 |
| 5505 | SHAKE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-07-09 |
| 5501 | BOULDER VIEW FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-06-28 |
| 5496 | ROSE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-06-12 |
| 5493 | SIMMONS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-05-29 |
| 5466 | DIAMOND FIRE | FM | Fire | 2023-06-28 |
| 4703 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2023-04-11 |
| 4681 | FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2022-12-30 |
| 4668 | SEVERE STORMS | DR | Severe Storm | 2022-09-02 |
| 5441 | PIPELINE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-06-12 |
| 5435 | CROOKS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-19 |
| 5434 | TUNNEL 2 FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-19 |
| 4620 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2021-09-13 |
| 5389 | TELEGRAPH FIRE | FM | Fire | 2021-06-06 |
| 5387 | SPUR FIRE | FM | Fire | 2021-05-27 |
| 5385 | MARGO FIRE | FM | Fire | 2021-04-08 |
| 4582 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2021-02-02 |
| 5340 | GRIFFIN FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-08-26 |
| 5315 | AVONDALE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-06-27 |
| 5314 | AQUILA FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-06-23 |
| 5313 | BUSH FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-06-20 |
| 5312 | BIG HORN FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-06-11 |
| 5311 | OCOTILLO FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-05-30 |
| 5310 | EAST DESERT FIRE | FM | Fire | 2020-05-18 |
| 4524 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2020-04-04 |
| 3442 | COVID-19 | EM | Biological | 2020-03-13 |
| 5284 | MUSEUM FIRE | FM | Fire | 2019-07-22 |
| 4436 | SNOWSTORM AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2019-05-21 |
| 4409 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2018-11-30 |
| 4389 | SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES | DR | Flood | 2018-08-31 |
| 5238 | 89 EAST FIRE | FM | Fire | 2018-05-11 |
| 5236 | TINDER FIRE | FM | Fire | 2018-04-29 |
| 5188 | ROACH FIRE | FM | Fire | 2017-07-08 |
| 5186 | GOODWIN FIRE | FM | Fire | 2017-06-25 |
| 5183 | LIZARD FIRE | FM | Fire | 2017-06-11 |
| 5125 | TENDERFOOT FIRE | FM | Fire | 2016-06-08 |
| 5095 | WILLOW FIRE | FM | Fire | 2015-08-09 |
| 5086 | KEARNY RIVER FIRE | FM | Fire | 2015-06-17 |
| 5083 | SLIDE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2014-11-06 |
| 4203 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2014-11-05 |
| 5033 | DEAN PEAK FIRE | FM | Fire | 2013-07-02 |
| 5032 | YARNELL HILL FIRE | FM | Fire | 2013-06-30 |
| 5029 | DOCE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2013-06-19 |
| 4104 | SEVERE FREEZE | DR | Freezing | 2013-03-05 |
| 2919 | MONUMENT FIRE | FM | Fire | 2011-06-12 |
Showing 50 of 120 declarations.
Composite natural hazard risk scores for Arizona counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.
Avg County Risk Score
84.5/100
High Risk Counties
3
of 15 counties
Top Hazard by EAL
Riverine Flooding
$2.0B annual loss est.
#1
Riverine Flooding
$2.0B EAL
#2
Heat Wave
$1.2B EAL
#3
Wildfire
$228.3M EAL
#4
Earthquake
$103.4M EAL
#5
Hail
$29.1M EAL
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
National Flood Insurance Program claims across Arizona from FEMA NFIP data.
Total Claims
5,252
Total Paid
$61.9M
Avg Per Claim
$11.8K
Counties With Claims
15
Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data
15 counties with FEMA disaster data. Declaration counts measure past federal action; NRI rating is FEMA's modeled composite, so a high count is not a high rating.
| # | County | Disasters | NRI rating | Major |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maricopa County | 26 | Very High | 13 |
| 2 | Yavapai County | 26 | Relatively Moderate | 10 |
| 3 | Coconino County | 24 | Relatively Moderate | 10 |
| 4 | Gila County | 23 | Relatively Moderate | 13 |
| 5 | Pinal County | 23 | Relatively Moderate | 10 |
| 6 | Navajo County | 21 | Relatively Moderate | 12 |
| 7 | Apache County | 16 | Relatively Low | 9 |
| 8 | Mohave County | 15 | Relatively High | 9 |
| 9 | Pima County | 15 | Relatively High | 11 |
| 10 | Cochise County | 14 | Relatively Moderate | 6 |
| 11 | Greenlee County | 13 | Very Low | 10 |
| 12 | Graham County | 13 | Relatively Low | 10 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz County | 8 | Relatively Moderate | 5 |
| 14 | La Paz County | 7 | Relatively Moderate | 5 |
| 15 | Yuma County | 6 | Relatively Moderate | 4 |
Declaration counts above measure past federal action; FEMA's NRI is a composite of Expected Annual Loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. By that separate measure the highest-risk counties in Arizona are Maricopa (Very High), Pima (Relatively High), Mohave (Relatively High), Coconino (Relatively Moderate), Pinal (Relatively Moderate). Compare any county's recorded history with the Historical Activity tool.
All 15 counties in Arizona are listed above.
Compare beyond this profile
Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Arizona: nearest states by average county National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.
Nearest states by mean county FEMA NRI score. Arizona: 84.5 across 15 scored counties.
Nearest states by FEMA declaration count. Arizona: 120. NRI peers are excluded so the two link sets stay distinct.
Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.
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Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only
What this means for Arizona
Maricopa alone accounts for 22% of Arizona's FEMA disaster declarations, out of 15 counties tracked statewide.
Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.
PlainHazard derives this presentation from FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries. Its county comparison covers 3,266 U.S. counties and county equivalents in this database, refreshed as of 2026-08-25. Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.