FEMA Records
6
Total declarations
Arizona · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Coconino County, AZ
6 FEMA disaster declarations (2015–2022), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.
- 6
- FEMA declarations
- 1
- Major disasters
- 94
- NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
- Fire
- Top hazard
The verdict
Coconino County ranks in the riskiest 6% of U.S. counties for FEMA-modeled hazard risk, with more federally declared disasters than 80% of the 2,791 counties FEMA tracks. FEMA rates the county's overall risk as Relatively Moderate, based on 6 federal disaster declarations recorded since 2015, most often fire, 56% above the national county average of 4.
- Riskiest 6%
- of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
- Relatively Moderate
- FEMA National Risk Index rating
- 6
- FEMA declarations vs 4 national county avg
- 5
- fire declarations, the most common hazard here
FEMA's National Risk Index score reflects expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience; the declaration count above reflects only Presidentially declared disasters, not every hazard event.
How does Coconino County compare?
Coconino County vs. every U.S. county
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time
6 Top 20% higher than 80% of 2,791 counties
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-07-25
Coconino County's FEMA Risk Index score
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arizona county average
How disaster-prone is Coconino County?
Declaration frequency
Coconino County, Arizona has recorded 6 FEMA disaster declarations between 2015 and 2022, of which 1 were classified as Major Disaster declarations (DR) requiring federal individual and public assistance. That puts the county's average at 0.9 declarations per year across a 7-year record, or roughly 58% above the Arizona county average of 3.8 and 56% above the national county average of 3.8. The dominant disaster type on record is Fire, with 5 of 6 declarations falling under this category.
FEMA National Risk Index
This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 94.2/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $130.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High.
Flood exposure & the bottom line
Taken together, these indicators put Coconino County at a moderate relative risk level, not the calmest county on record, but not among the most disaster-prone either.
Risk Assessment
Risk Level
Moderate
vs. Arizona Avg
+58%
State avg: 3.8
vs. National Avg
+56%
National avg: 3.8
Avg Per Year
0.9
Over 7 years
FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Coconino County
How to read this radar
The radar plots Coconino County's relative exposure to the eight headline natural hazards used by the FEMA National Risk Index. Each axis is the qualitative NRI risk rating (Very Low through Very High) re-expressed on a 0-100 scale so that the polygon shape lets you compare a county against another at a glance. A rounder polygon means broad multi-hazard exposure; a spiky polygon means one or two dominant hazards drive most of the modeled risk.
NRI Source
FEMA 2023
Latest NRI release
County FIPS
04005
AZ state code
Source: FEMA National Risk Index FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, 2023 release
Disaster Types
Fire 5
Flood 1
Declaration Types
What DR / EM / FM mean
FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).
Fire Management - 5 83.3%
of all 6 declarations
Major Disaster - 1 16.7%
of all 6 declarations
FEMA Declarations Timeline
| Year | Declarations | |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | |
| 2021 | 1 | |
| 2019 | 1 | |
| 2018 | 1 | |
| 2015 | 1 | |
Disaster Declarations
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5441 | PIPELINE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-06-12 |
| 5434 | TUNNEL 2 FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-19 |
| 4620 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2021-09-13 |
| 5284 | MUSEUM FIRE | FM | Fire | 2019-07-22 |
| 5236 | TINDER FIRE | FM | Fire | 2018-04-29 |
| 5083 | SLIDE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2014-11-06 |
Storm Events in Arizona
| Storm Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood | 2,812 | 54 | 19 | $192.4M |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 2,079 | 3 | 20 | $88.1M |
| Excessive Heat | 2,029 | 1,687 | 120 | $0 |
| Heat | 929 | 1,591 | 72 | $0 |
| Dust Storm | 628 | 10 | 36 | $1.8M |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015–2025
FEMA National Risk Index
Overall Risk
Relatively Moderate
Score: 94.2/100
Expected Annual Loss
Relatively Moderate
$130.9M/year
Social Vulnerability
Relatively Moderate
Community Resilience
Relatively Moderate
Hazard Risk Breakdown
Lightning Very High
Wildfire Relatively High
Winter Weather Very High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Relatively Low
Avalanche Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hurricane No Rating
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Counties with Similar Risk in Arizona
Disaster Preparedness Guides
Related
Frequently Asked Questions
How many natural disasters has Coconino County, Arizona had?
Coconino County, Arizona has received 6 FEMA disaster declarations from 2015 to 2022. Of these, 1 were major disaster declarations.
What is the most common disaster type in Coconino County?
The most common disaster type in Coconino County is Fire, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (1).
How does Coconino County's disaster risk compare to the Arizona average?
Coconino County has 6 disaster declarations, which is 58% higher than the Arizona county average of 3.8 declarations. Compared to the national county average of 3.8, it is 56% higher.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Coconino County received?
Coconino County has received 1 major disaster declaration, representing 17% of all 6 disaster declarations. Major disaster declarations typically involve significant damage requiring federal assistance.
What types of storms are most common in Arizona?
The most common storm types in Arizona include Flash Flood (2,812 events), Thunderstorm Wind (2,079 events), Excessive Heat (2,029 events). NOAA storm event data covers severe weather from 2015 to 2025.
What was the worst year for disasters in Coconino County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Coconino County was 2022, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2015 to 2022.
What is the overall disaster risk level for Coconino County?
With 6 FEMA disaster declarations on record, Coconino County lands in the moderate-risk band, not unusually disaster-prone, but not spared either.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Coconino County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Coconino County, Arizona has an overall risk score of 94.2 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $130.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Coconino County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Coconino County is Lightning (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Very High). These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology
Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.
Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015–2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.
This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.
What this means for Coconino County
Coconino County, AZ runs 58% above the Arizona county average for federal disaster declarations (6 vs 4), a moderate historical load overall.
- Its most common federal declaration type is fire management (5 of 6) - know the hazards most likely here before they happen. Arizona overview
- See how this county ranks against the rest of the country for disaster frequency. Most-disaster rankings
- Read how to read FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and what they do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide
Historical declaration counts describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.
According to the Federal Emergency Management Agency, this profile draws on 2,791 tracked U.S. counties in FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries dataset, refreshed as of 2026-07-25. Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
All federal data sources used on this page
- FEMA OpenFEMA, Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 - all federally-declared disasters for this county. fema.gov/openfema/disaster-declarations
- FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) - per-county per-hazard risk ratings and expected annual loss. hazards.fema.gov/nri
- NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database - state-level storm/severe-weather event records, 2015–2025. ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, or report a data error.