FEMA Records
24
Above median
Arizona · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Coconino County, AZ
24 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2022), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.
- 24
- FEMA declarations
- 10
- Major disasters
- 94
- NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
- Fire
- Top hazard
The verdict
Two federal records point in the busier direction for Coconino County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 44% above the Arizona county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 6%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.
- Riskiest 6%
- of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
- Relatively Moderate
- FEMA National Risk Index rating
- 24
- FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
- 295
- NFIP flood insurance claims filed
FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.
How does Coconino County compare?
Coconino County vs. all counties in this dataset
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time
24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03
Coconino County's FEMA Risk Index score
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arizona county average
Which hazard drives modeled loss here?
FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Coconino County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $85.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.
What does Coconino County's hazard record show?
Reading the federal records together
The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 295 paid claims, totaling $5.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $17.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.
The declaration register points in the busier direction. Coconino County's 24 federal records stand 44% above the Arizona county mean of 16.7. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.
FEMA National Risk Index
This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 94.2/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $130.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 44 times per year here, based on 471,106 historical events on record.
Declaration frequency
The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 24 entries for Coconino County, including 10 Major Disaster records, 44% above the Arizona county mean. Across the 52-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Fire leads the file with 11 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.
60 /100
Historical Activity Index
High historical activity
Coconino County, AZ · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records
This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology
FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30
24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)
County Disaster Density High
18/25
24 declarations (1.4x state county average of 17)
Major Disaster Share Moderate
10/25
10 of 24 declarations are major disasters (42%)
Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20
6 different disaster types declared in Coconino County
Historical Declaration Activity
Activity Band
High
vs. Arizona Avg
+44%
State avg: 16.7
vs. National Avg
+16%
National avg: 20.7
Avg Per Year
0.5
Over 52 years
FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Coconino County
How to read this radar
Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.
Major Disaster share
42%
Mixed major share
NRI risk score
94
Relatively Moderate
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release
How often does each hazard strike Coconino County?
FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.
| Hazard | NRI Risk Rating | Recurrence |
|---|---|---|
| Lightning | Very High | an average of 44 times per year |
| Wildfire | Relatively High | roughly once every 89 years |
| Winter Weather | Very High | an average of 8.2 times per year |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | an average of 5.5 times per year |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively High | an average of 8 times per year |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 367 years |
| Volcanic Activity | Relatively Low | roughly once every 3,333 years |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 30 years |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 32 years |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 1.5 modeled event-days per year |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | roughly once every 67 years |
| Hail | Relatively Low | roughly once every 5 years |
| Drought | Very Low | 96 modeled event-days per year |
| Tornado | Very Low | roughly once every 1 years |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | roughly once every 15 years |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release
Disaster Types
Fire 11
Flood 5
Severe Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1
What Fire declarations mean here
Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Coconino County's record, 46% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.
That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.
Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.
Declaration Types
What DR / EM / FM mean
FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).
Fire Management - 10 41.7%
of all 24 declarations
Major Disaster - 10 41.7%
of all 24 declarations
Emergency - 4 16.7%
of all 24 declarations
FEMA Declarations Timeline
| Year | Declarations | |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2 | |
| 2021 | 1 | |
| 2020 | 2 | |
| 2019 | 1 | |
| 2018 | 1 | |
| 2015 | 1 | |
| 2011 | 1 | |
| 2010 | 5 | |
| 2006 | 2 | |
| 2005 | 2 | |
| 2002 | 1 | |
| 1993 | 1 | |
| 1991 | 1 | |
| 1978 | 1 | |
| 1977 | 1 | |
Show 1 earlier declaration years
| 1970 | 1 | |
Disaster Declarations
How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.
Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5441 | PIPELINE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-06-12 |
| 5434 | TUNNEL 2 FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-19 |
| 4620 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2021-09-13 |
| 4524 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2020-04-04 |
| 3442 | COVID-19 | EM | Biological | 2020-03-13 |
| 5284 | MUSEUM FIRE | FM | Fire | 2019-07-22 |
| 5236 | TINDER FIRE | FM | Fire | 2018-04-29 |
| 5083 | SLIDE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2014-11-06 |
| 1940 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2010-10-04 |
| 2846 | SHULTZ FIRE | FM | Fire | 2010-06-20 |
| 2845 | HARDY FIRE | FM | Fire | 2010-06-19 |
| 1888 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2010-03-18 |
| 3307 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Severe Storm | 2010-01-24 |
| 2840 | TWIN FIRE | FM | Fire | 2009-10-03 |
| 2645 | BRINS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2006-06-18 |
| 2643 | WOODY FIRE | FM | Fire | 2006-06-14 |
| 3241 | HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION | EM | Hurricane | 2005-09-12 |
| 1581 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2005-02-17 |
| 1422 | WILDFIRES | DR | Fire | 2002-06-25 |
| 977 | SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1993-01-19 |
Show 4 earlier declaration records
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 884 | SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1990-12-06 |
| 551 | SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1978-03-04 |
| 3038 | DROUGHT | EM | Drought | 1977-04-15 |
| 294 | HEAVY RAINS & FLASH | DR | Flood | 1970-09-22 |
Storm Events in Arizona
Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Coconino County.
| Storm Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Flood | 2,094 | 45 | 18 | $149.9M |
| Excessive Heat | 1,812 | 1,497 | 120 | $0 |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 1,680 | 3 | 19 | $75.9M |
| Heat | 727 | 1,206 | 39 | $0 |
| High Wind | 446 | 0 | 0 | $734.0K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025
NFIP Flood Insurance Claims
Total Claims
295
Total Paid
$5.2M
Avg Per Claim
$17.8K
Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data
FEMA National Risk Index
Overall Risk
Relatively Moderate
Score: 94.2/100
Expected Annual Loss
Relatively Moderate
$130.9M/year
Social Vulnerability
Relatively Moderate
Community Resilience
Relatively Moderate
Hazard Risk Breakdown
Lightning Very High
Wildfire Relatively High
Winter Weather Very High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Relatively Low
Avalanche Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hurricane No Rating
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning
Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.
Worth noting for Coconino County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Lightning carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.
National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.
Data-matched county comparisons
Coconino County's closest FEMA peer: Perquimans County, NC
Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Coconino County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.
Closest declaration profiles
Coconino County shows 24 FEMA declarations, led by Fire.
Similar Major-disaster share
Coconino County: 10 of 24 of its declarations are Major.
Similar modeled NRI score
Coconino County: NRI composite 94.2 (Relatively Moderate).
How these peers are chosen
Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.
Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Coconino County - capture-dated entries only.
Further reading for this county
Understanding disaster data
Coconino County's NFIP claims file (295 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.
More PlainHazard guides
- Most disaster-prone counties - U.S. counties ranked by FEMA declaration totals.
- Understanding disaster data - declarations vs storm events vs NRI scores.
- Preparing for natural disasters - household checklist (not county-specific advice).
Related
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most common disaster type in Coconino County?
The most common disaster type in Coconino County is Fire, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Coconino County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arizona average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Coconino County. That is 44% above the Arizona county mean of 16.7. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Coconino County received?
Coconino County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 42% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Coconino County filed?
Coconino County has 295 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.2M in payments, with an average of $17.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Coconino County?
No. In Coconino County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $85.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Coconino County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Coconino County was 2010, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2022.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Coconino County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Coconino County, Arizona has an overall risk score of 94.2 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $130.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Coconino County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Coconino County as of the latest release is Lightning (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 44 times per year, drawn from 471,106 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology
Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.
Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.
Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.
This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.
What this means for Coconino County
Coconino County, AZ has 24 federal declaration records, 44% more than the Arizona county mean of 17; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.
- Within this above-state-average declaration file, fire management leads with 10 of 24 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Arizona overview
- The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Arizona mean and the totals for 66% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
- Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide
An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.
PlainHazard derives this profile from FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries and National Risk Index data. The declaration comparison covers 3,266 U.S. counties and county equivalents in this database, refreshed as of 2026-08-03. Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
All federal data sources used on this page
- FEMA OpenFEMA, Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 - all federally-declared disasters for this county. fema.gov/openfema/disaster-declarations
- FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) - per-county per-hazard risk ratings and expected annual loss. hazards.fema.gov/nri
- NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database - state-level storm/severe-weather event records, 2015-2025. ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.