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Arizona · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Yavapai County, AZ

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2022), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

26
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
94
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Yavapai County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 56% above the Arizona county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 6%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 6%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
466
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 04025 · Yavapai County 26 declarations · rank 802/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 26
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 38%
  • RANK-MID #802
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hunterdon
  • NRI-MID 94
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-HIGH +56%

Nearest declaration peer: Hunterdon, NJ (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arizona state profile

Yavapai County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Yavapai County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Yavapai County carries 26 FEMA declaration records, ranked 802 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Yavapai County ranks in the national declaration registry

Yavapai County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Yavapai County

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Yavapai County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arizona avg85/10093.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arizona county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Yavapai County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $69.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Yavapai County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 466 paid claims, totaling $6.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $13.4K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Yavapai County's 26 federal records stand 56% above the Arizona county mean of 16.7. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 93.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $107.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 184 years here.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Yavapai County, AZ · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

26 declarations (1.6x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
10/25

10 of 26 declarations are major disasters (38%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Yavapai County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Yavapai County

Yavapai County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 70, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 40 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 40 8-hazard mean
Yavapai County NRI risk profile FIPS 04025 · displayed-hazard mean 40/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

38%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

94

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Yavapai County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 184 years
Lightning Very High an average of 48 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 7.3 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 4.5 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 300 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 3.8 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 4.4 times per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 5,000 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Very Low 68 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 284,096 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 13
Flood 5
Severe Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Yavapai County's record, 50% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Fire Management - 13 50.0%

of all 26 declarations

Major Disaster - 10 38.5%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 3 11.5%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2022 1
2021 1
2020 2
2018 1
2017 1
2016 1
2013 2
2010 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 5
2004 1
2002 1
2001 1
1993 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1991 1
1984 1
1980 1
1978 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5435 CROOKS FIRE FM Fire 2022-04-19
5387 SPUR FIRE FM Fire 2021-05-27
4524 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3442 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5238 89 EAST FIRE FM Fire 2018-05-11
5186 GOODWIN FIRE FM Fire 2017-06-25
5125 TENDERFOOT FIRE FM Fire 2016-06-08
5032 YARNELL HILL FIRE FM Fire 2013-06-30
5029 DOCE FIRE FM Fire 2013-06-19
1888 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-03-18
2779 LANE 2 FIRE FM Fire 2008-06-29
2640 LA BARRANCA FIRE FM Fire 2006-06-02
3241 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
2562 AZ-HUMBUG FIRE 06-23--2005 FM Fire 2005-06-23
2561 CAVE CREEK FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2005-06-22
1586 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
1581 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-02-17
2523 WILLOW FIRE FM Fire 2004-06-28
2406 AZ - INDIAN FIRE - 5/15/2002 FM Fire 2002-05-15
1347 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-10-27
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
977 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-01-19
884 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-12-06
691 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1983-10-05
614 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-02-19
551 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-03-04
3038 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-04-15

Storm Events in Arizona

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Yavapai County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Flash Flood 2,094 45 18 $149.9M
Excessive Heat 1,812 1,497 120 $0
Thunderstorm Wind 1,680 3 19 $75.9M
Heat 727 1,206 39 $0
High Wind 446 0 0 $734.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

466

Total Paid

$6.2M

Avg Per Claim

$13.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 93.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$107.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Lightning Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Yavapai County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Yavapai County's closest FEMA peer: Greenville County, SC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Yavapai County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Yavapai County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Yavapai County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Yavapai County's NFIP claims file (466 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Yavapai County?
The most common disaster type in Yavapai County is Fire, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Yavapai County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arizona average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for Yavapai County. That is 56% above the Arizona county mean of 16.7. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Yavapai County received?
Yavapai County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 38% of all 26 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Yavapai County filed?
Yavapai County has 466 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $6.2M in payments, with an average of $13.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Yavapai County?
No. In Yavapai County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $69.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Yavapai County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Yavapai County was 2005, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2022.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Yavapai County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Yavapai County, Arizona has an overall risk score of 93.7 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $107.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Yavapai County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Yavapai County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Very High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 184 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Yavapai County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arizona profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events