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Arizona · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Gila County, AZ

23 FEMA disaster declarations (1970-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

23
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
90
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Gila County. Its 23 FEMA declarations are 38% above the Arizona county mean and exceed the count for 62% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 10%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
23
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
154
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 04007 · Gila County 23 declarations · rank 1171/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 23
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,171
  • PHOTO-FINISH Roanoke
  • NRI-MID 90
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +38%

Nearest declaration peer: Roanoke, VA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arizona state profile

Gila County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Gila County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Gila County carries 23 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1171 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Gila County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Gila County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Gila County

23 Top 38% higher than 62% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Gila County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arizona avg85/10090.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arizona county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Gila County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $35.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Gila County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 154 paid claims, totaling $3.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $23.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Gila County's 23 federal records stand 38% above the Arizona county mean of 16.7. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.2/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $55.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 90 years here.

61 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Gila County, AZ · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

23 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.1x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
17/25

23 declarations (1.4x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

13 of 23 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Gila County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Gila County

Gila County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 70, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 34 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 34 8-hazard mean
Gila County NRI risk profile FIPS 04007 · displayed-hazard mean 34/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

23

Above median

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

90

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Gila County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 90 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 58 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 5.5 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 3.5 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 6.5 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 4.5 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,142 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Drought Very Low 67 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 59,156 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 9
Flood 7
Severe Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Gila County's record, 39% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 56.5%

of all 23 declarations

Fire Management - 8 34.8%

of all 23 declarations

Emergency - 2 8.7%

of all 23 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 1
2020 4
2010 1
2009 1
2006 1
2005 4
2004 1
2003 1
2002 1
1999 1
1993 1
1991 1
1984 1
1980 1
1979 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1978 1
1970 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 23 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 23 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5389 TELEGRAPH FIRE FM Fire 2021-06-06
5340 GRIFFIN FIRE FM Fire 2020-08-26
5313 BUSH FIRE FM Fire 2020-06-20
4524 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3442 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1888 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-03-18
2835 WATER WHEEL FIRE FM Fire 2009-08-31
1660 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-09-07
3241 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
2570 AZ-WILDFIRE (EDGE COMPLEX) 07-22-2005 FM Fire 2005-07-22
1586 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
1581 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-02-17
2523 WILLOW FIRE FM Fire 2004-06-28
2478 KINISHBA FIRE FM Fire 2003-07-14
1422 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-25
2263 AZ - RAINBOW FIRE - 06/11/1999 FM Fire 1999-06-12
977 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-01-19
884 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-12-06
691 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1983-10-05
614 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-02-19
Show 3 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
570 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-21
551 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-03-04
294 HEAVY RAINS & FLASH DR Flood 1970-09-22

Storm Events in Arizona

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Gila County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Flash Flood 2,094 45 18 $149.9M
Excessive Heat 1,812 1,497 120 $0
Thunderstorm Wind 1,680 3 19 $75.9M
Heat 727 1,206 39 $0
High Wind 446 0 0 $734.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

154

Total Paid

$3.5M

Avg Per Claim

$23.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$55.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Avalanche Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Gila County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Gila County's closest FEMA peer: Jim Hogg County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Gila County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Gila County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Gila County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Gila County's NFIP claims file (154 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Gila County?
The most common disaster type in Gila County is Fire, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (7), Severe Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Gila County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arizona average?
FEMA lists 23 declaration records for Gila County. That is 38% above the Arizona county mean of 16.7. Its count is also 11% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Gila County received?
Gila County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 23 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Gila County filed?
Gila County has 154 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.5M in payments, with an average of $23.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Gila County?
No. In Gila County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $35.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Gila County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Gila County was 2005, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1970 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Gila County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Gila County, Arizona has an overall risk score of 90.2 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $55.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Gila County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Gila County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 90 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Gila County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arizona profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events