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Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Larimer County, CO

30 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

30
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
90
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Larimer County. Its 30 FEMA declarations are 194% above the Colorado county mean and exceed the count for 86% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 10%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 10%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
30
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
547
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Larimer County compare?

Larimer County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

30 Top 14% higher than 86% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Larimer County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/10090.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Larimer County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $54.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Larimer County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 547 claims and $15.1M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $27.7K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Larimer County's 30 federal records stand 194% above the Colorado county mean of 10.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.1/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $126.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 57 times per year here, based on 453,215 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 30 entries for Larimer County, including 13 Major Disaster records, 194% above the Colorado county mean. Across the 59-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Fire leads the file with 15 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

76 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Larimer County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

30 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
25/25

30 declarations (2.9x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

13 of 30 declarations are major disasters (43%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Larimer County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Colorado Avg

+194%

State avg: 10.2

vs. National Avg

+45%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 59 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Larimer County

Larimer County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 70, Wildfire 70, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 44 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 44 8-hazard mean
Larimer County NRI risk profile FIPS 08069 · displayed-hazard mean 44/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

30

High volume

Major Disaster share

43%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

90

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Larimer County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Very High an average of 57 times per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 4.4 times per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 22 times per year
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 227 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Relatively High roughly once every 5 years
Tornado Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 1,393 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 51 years
Drought Relatively Low 18 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 15
Flood 7
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Snowstorm 2
Coastal Storm 1
Tornado 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Larimer County's record, 50% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 43.3%

of all 30 declarations

Fire Management - 12 40.0%

of all 30 declarations

Emergency - 5 16.7%

of all 30 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2021 1
2020 3
2013 2
2012 2
2011 1
2010 1
2008 1
2007 1
2005 1
2004 2
2003 2
2002 3
2000 1
1999 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
1997 1
1982 1
1976 1
1973 1
1969 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 30 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 30 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5524 ALEXANDER MOUNTAIN FIRE FM Fire 2024-07-31
5525 STONE MOUNTAIN FIRE FM Fire 2024-07-31
4581 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2021-01-15
5349 CAMERON PEAK FIRE FM Fire 2020-09-06
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4145 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2013-09-14
3365 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2013-09-12
4067 HIGH PARK AND WALDO CANYON WILDFIRES DR Fire 2012-06-28
2980 HIGH PARK FIRE FM Fire 2012-06-09
2877 CRYSTAL FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-03
2857 RESERVOIR ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2010-09-12
1762 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2008-05-26
3270 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2007-01-07
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
2514 CO - PICNIC ROCK FIRE - 03/30/2004 FM Fire 2004-04-01
2511 CO - BUCKHORN CREEK FIRE - 11/11/2003 FM Fire 2003-11-12
2486 CO-CLOUDY PASS FIRE-07/25/2003 FM Fire 2003-07-25
3185 SNOW EM Snowstorm 2003-04-09
2447 BIG ELK FIRE FM Fire 2002-07-18
Show 10 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19
2383 CO - ARMAGEDDON FIRE - 11/01/01 FM Fire 2001-11-01
2308 BOBCAT GULCH FIRE FM Fire 2000-06-12
1276 CO-FLOODING 4/30/99 DR Severe Storm 1999-05-17
1186 SEVERE STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLASH FLOODS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES DR Flood 1997-08-01
665 FLASH FLOOD DUE TO DAM FAILURE DR Flood 1982-07-22
517 SEVERE STORMS & FLASH FLOODING DR Flood 1976-08-02
385 HEAVY RAINS, SNOWMELT AND FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-23
261 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-05-19
200 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-06-19

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Larimer County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

547

Total Paid

$15.1M

Avg Per Claim

$27.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$126.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Very High
Hail Relatively High
Winter Weather Very High
Wildfire Relatively High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Avalanche Relatively High
Tornado Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

Worth noting for Larimer County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Lightning carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Larimer County's closest FEMA peer: Pamlico County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Larimer County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Larimer County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Larimer County's NFIP claims file (547 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Larimer County?
The most common disaster type in Larimer County is Fire, with 15 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (7), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Larimer County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
FEMA lists 30 declaration records for Larimer County. That is 194% above the Colorado county mean of 10.2. Its count is also 45% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Larimer County received?
Larimer County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 43% of all 30 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Larimer County filed?
Larimer County has 547 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $15.1M in payments, with an average of $27.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Larimer County?
No. In Larimer County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $54.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Larimer County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Larimer County was 2002, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Larimer County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Larimer County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 90.1 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $126.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Larimer County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Larimer County is Lightning (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 57 times per year, drawn from 453,215 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Larimer County

Larimer County, CO has 30 federal declaration records, 194% more than the Colorado county mean of 10; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 13 of 30 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Colorado overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Colorado mean and the totals for 86% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.