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Arizona · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Greenlee County, AZ

13 FEMA disaster declarations (1966-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

13
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
12
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Greenlee County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 13 declarations, more than 17% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 22% below the Arizona county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 12%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 12%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
13
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
142
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Greenlee County compare?

Greenlee County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

13 17th percentile higher than 17% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Greenlee County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arizona county average

0/100100/100Arizona avg85/10012.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arizona county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Greenlee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Greenlee County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 142 paid claims, totaling $2.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arizona county averages 16.7 federal declaration records, while Greenlee County has 13. The gap is 22% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Greenlee County's 13 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Arizona, however, the count is 22% below the county mean. 10 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 6 times. The full 54-year record averages 0.2 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 12.4/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.3M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Even the county's top-rated hazard, Wildfire, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 302 years here.

51 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Greenlee County, AZ · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

13 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

13 declarations (0.8x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

10 of 13 declarations are major disasters (77%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Greenlee County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Arizona Avg

-22%

State avg: 16.7

vs. National Avg

-37%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 54 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Greenlee County

Greenlee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Greenlee County NRI risk profile FIPS 04011 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

13

Low volume

Major Disaster share

77%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

12

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Greenlee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 302 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 66 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.1 modeled event-days per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Drought Relatively Low 84 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9.1 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 850 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 43 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 32 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 54 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Fire 1
Hurricane 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Greenlee County's record, 46% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 76.9%

of all 13 declarations

Emergency - 2 15.4%

of all 13 declarations

Fire Management - 1 7.7%

of all 13 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2011 1
2010 1
2006 1
2005 2
1993 1
1984 1
1979 1
1978 1
1973 1
1966 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 13 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 13 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4524 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3442 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
2915 WALLOW FIRE FM Fire 2011-06-02
1888 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-03-18
1660 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-09-07
3241 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1586 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2005-04-14
977 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-01-19
691 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1983-10-05
570 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-21
551 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-03-04
360 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-10-25
217 FLOODING DR Flood 1966-04-30

Storm Events in Arizona

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Greenlee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Flash Flood 2,094 45 18 $149.9M
Excessive Heat 1,812 1,497 120 $0
Thunderstorm Wind 1,680 3 19 $75.9M
Heat 727 1,206 39 $0
High Wind 446 0 0 $734.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

142

Total Paid

$2.2M

Avg Per Claim

$15.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 12.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Greenlee County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Greenlee County's closest FEMA peer: Mitchell County, KS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Greenlee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Greenlee County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Greenlee County's NFIP claims file (142 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Greenlee County?
The most common disaster type in Greenlee County is Flood, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Biological (2), Fire (1).
How does Greenlee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arizona average?
The typical Arizona county has 16.7 FEMA declaration records; Greenlee County has 13, or 22% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 37% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Greenlee County received?
Greenlee County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 77% of all 13 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Greenlee County filed?
Greenlee County has 142 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.2M in payments, with an average of $15.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Greenlee County?
No. In Greenlee County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Greenlee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Greenlee County was 2005, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1966 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Greenlee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Greenlee County, Arizona has an overall risk score of 12.4 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Greenlee County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Greenlee County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively Moderate) and Landslide (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 302 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Greenlee County

Against a Arizona county mean of 17 declarations, Greenlee County, AZ records 13, or 22% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (10 of 13) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Arizona overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 17% of recorded county totals, but its own Arizona benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.