State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Natural disaster risk in New Mexico
New Mexico faces a low level of natural disaster risk, with 29 FEMA disaster declarations on record. The dominant threat is fire, and severe weather has caused $1.4B in combined property and crop damage. NOAA storm event data shows 12,318 recorded weather events resulting in 90 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.
- 29
- FEMA declarations
- 12,318
- NOAA storm events
- 90
- Storm fatalities
- $1.4B
- Property + crop damage
How disaster-prone is New Mexico?
New Mexico (NM) sits at a low level of federally recognized natural-disaster risk, with 29 FEMA disaster declarations on record, including 5 Major Disaster declarations (DR) that triggered full federal individual and public assistance. The dominant declaration type is Fire, followed by Flood (4). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.
NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, New Mexico recorded 12,318 individual storm events, causing 90 fatalities and 370 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $1.4B. The most frequent event types in the state are Drought (3,782 events), High Wind (2,657 events), Hail (1,833 events). Across the state's 15 analyzed counties, FEMA's own National Risk Index flags 2 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Risk Score tool below) of 71.1/100.
NFIP claims data is limited or absent for this state in the current extract, which usually indicates low flood-policy penetration rather than zero flood risk. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Wildfire, estimated at $0.1B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.
Disaster Types in New Mexico
Storm Events by Type
NOAA storm event data for New Mexico (2015-2025).
| Event Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drought | 3,782 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| High Wind | 2,657 | 0 | 3 | $19.4M |
| Hail | 1,833 | 1 | 24 | $17.7M |
| Thunderstorm Wind | 1,067 | 1 | 13 | $25.3M |
| Heavy Snow | 1,026 | 6 | 72 | $4.0M |
| Flash Flood | 850 | 32 | 8 | $566.7M |
| Dust Storm | 208 | 10 | 89 | $3.7M |
| Tornado | 137 | 0 | 8 | $5.3M |
| Winter Weather | 117 | 9 | 39 | $2.7M |
| Winter Storm | 110 | 1 | 41 | $832.0K |
| Wildfire | 88 | 5 | 27 | $222.8M |
| Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | 75 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Funnel Cloud | 71 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heavy Rain | 54 | 5 | 6 | $0 |
| Blizzard | 50 | 1 | 3 | $405.6M |
| Flood | 48 | 0 | 0 | $2.5M |
| Strong Wind | 31 | 4 | 3 | $343.0K |
| Debris Flow | 30 | 6 | 4 | $110.8M |
| Excessive Heat | 16 | 0 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 16 | 1 | 1 | $0 |
Storm Events by Year
| Year | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2,688 | 24 | 40 | $124.1M |
| 2024 | 1,068 | 10 | 67 | $562.2M |
| 2023 | 1,257 | 0 | 2 | $17.6M |
| 2022 | 1,173 | 12 | 25 | $183.1M |
| 2021 | 1,300 | 6 | 17 | $23.3M |
| 2020 | 763 | 1 | 5 | $4.4M |
| 2019 | 860 | 3 | 120 | $16.6M |
| 2018 | 1,152 | 6 | 32 | $8.1M |
| 2017 | 761 | 9 | 20 | $18.7M |
| 2016 | 482 | 9 | 30 | $19.4M |
| 2015 | 814 | 10 | 12 | $410.9M |
FEMA Disaster Declarations
29 unique disaster declarations in New Mexico.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4886 | SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES | DR | Flood | 2025-07-22 |
| 3628 | SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES | EM | Flood | 2025-07-10 |
| 5594 | COTTON 2 FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-06-22 |
| 5593 | DESERT WILLOW FIRE COMPLEX | FM | Fire | 2025-06-21 |
| 5588 | TROUT FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-06-16 |
| 5579 | RIO GRANDE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2025-04-18 |
| 4843 | SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2024-11-01 |
| 4809 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2024-08-20 |
| 4795 | SOUTH FORK FIRE, SALT FIRE, AND FLOODING | DR | Fire | 2024-06-20 |
| 5498 | SALT FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-06-18 |
| 5497 | SOUTH FORK FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-06-17 |
| 5492 | BLUE 2 FIRE | FM | Fire | 2024-05-26 |
| 5465 | LAS TUSAS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2023-05-10 |
| 5461 | ECHO RIDGE FIRE, NM FMAG | FM | Fire | 2023-04-02 |
| 4652 | WILDFIRES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, MUDFLOWS, AND DEBRIS FLOWS | DR | Fire | 2022-05-04 |
| 5438 | CALF CANYON FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-30 |
| 5437 | COOK'S PEAK FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-28 |
| 5431 | HERMIT'S PEAK FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-12 |
| 5432 | MCBRIDE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-12 |
| 5433 | NOGAL CANYON FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-12 |
| 5430 | BIG HOLE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2022-04-11 |
| 5386 | THREE RIVERS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2021-04-27 |
| 5281 | IRONWORKS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2019-03-08 |
| 5240 | SOLDIER CANYON FIRE | FM | Fire | 2018-06-08 |
| 5239 | UTE PARK FIRE | FM | Fire | 2018-06-01 |
| 5184 | EL CAJETE FIRE | FM | Fire | 2017-06-15 |
| 5134 | TIMBERON FIRE | FM | Fire | 2016-07-14 |
| 5127 | DOG HEAD FIRE | FM | Fire | 2016-06-16 |
| 5026 | TRES LAGUNAS FIRE | FM | Fire | 2013-06-05 |
FEMA National Risk Index
Composite natural hazard risk scores for New Mexico counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.
Avg County Risk Score
71.1/100
High Risk Counties
2
of 15 counties
Top Hazard by EAL
Wildfire
$0.1B annual loss est.
Top 5 Hazards by Expected Annual Loss
#1
Wildfire
$58.7M EAL
#2
Earthquake
$57.2M EAL
#3
Drought
$23.8M EAL
#4
Heat Wave
$17.0M EAL
#5
Lightning
$13.4M EAL
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Counties in New Mexico
15 counties with FEMA disaster data.
| County | Disasters | Major | Top Hazard | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 10 | 3 | Fire | 2025 |
| Valencia | 7 | 1 | Fire | 2025 |
| Otero | 7 | 2 | Fire | 2025 |
| San Miguel | 5 | 1 | Fire | 2023 |
| Colfax | 3 | 1 | Fire | 2022 |
| Chaves | 2 | 1 | Flood | 2025 |
| Torrance | 2 | 0 | Fire | 2023 |
| Mora | 2 | 1 | Fire | 2023 |
| Sandoval | 2 | 1 | Fire | 2022 |
| Grant | 1 | 0 | Fire | 2025 |
| Dona Ana | 1 | 1 | Flood | 2025 |
| San Juan | 1 | 1 | Fire | 2024 |
| Rio Arriba | 1 | 1 | Fire | 2024 |
| Los Alamos | 1 | 1 | Fire | 2022 |
| Bernalillo | 1 | 0 | Fire | 2016 |
Disaster Preparedness Guides
Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.
Preparing for Natural Disasters
Essential steps to prepare your household for the most common natural hazards.
Hazard Risk by Region
How natural disaster risk varies across different US regions.
Climate Change & Disasters
How climate trends are changing the frequency and severity of natural disasters.
Frequently Asked Questions
What natural disasters affect New Mexico?
How many FEMA disaster declarations has New Mexico had?
What severe weather events are most common in New Mexico?
What is the disaster risk level for New Mexico?
Which counties in New Mexico have the most disaster declarations?
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only
What this means for New Mexico
New Mexico carries a low federal disaster profile - 29 FEMA declarations and 12,318 recorded storm events, led by fire.
- Risk is uneven within the state - Lincoln and Valencia carry the most declarations. Check the county where you live. Browse counties
- See how New Mexico ranks against other states for disaster frequency and damage. State rankings
- Learn what FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and damage figures do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide
Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.
Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Related
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page draws directly on FEMA federal disaster data, no figure is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.