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New Mexico · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lincoln County, NM

35 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

35
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
79
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lincoln County. Its 35 FEMA declarations are 181% above the New Mexico county mean and exceed the count for 93% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 21%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 21%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
35
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
269
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 35027 · Lincoln County 35 declarations · rank 218/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 35
  • MAJOR-MID 51%
  • RANK-UPPER #218
  • PHOTO-FINISH Okeechobee
  • NRI-LOW 79
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-HIGH +181%

Nearest declaration peer: Okeechobee, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New Mexico state profile

Lincoln County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Lincoln County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lincoln County carries 35 FEMA declaration records, ranked 218 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Lincoln County ranks in the national declaration registry

Lincoln County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lincoln County

35 Top 7% higher than 93% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lincoln County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New Mexico avg59/10079.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

What does Lincoln County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 269 paid claims, totaling $17.1M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $63.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lincoln County's 35 federal records stand 181% above the New Mexico county mean of 12.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 79.5/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $27.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 71 years here.

76 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Lincoln County, NM · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

35 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
25/25

35 declarations (2.8x state county average of 12)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

18 of 35 declarations are major disasters (51%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Lincoln County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lincoln County

Lincoln County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 70, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Lincoln County NRI risk profile FIPS 35027 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

35

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

51%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

79

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lincoln County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 71 years
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 8.4 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 59 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.3 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Hail Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 921 years
Drought Very Low 108 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 17
Flood 9
Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Hurricane 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Lincoln County's record, 49% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 51.4%

of all 35 declarations

Fire Management - 13 37.1%

of all 35 declarations

Emergency - 4 11.4%

of all 35 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2024 4
2022 3
2021 1
2020 2
2015 2
2014 1
2012 2
2011 3
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
2002 1
2001 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
2000 3
1998 1
1985 1
1984 1
1979 2
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 35 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 35 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4886 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Flood 2025-07-22
3628 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Flood 2025-07-10
4795 SOUTH FORK FIRE, SALT FIRE, AND FLOODING DR Fire 2024-06-20
5498 SALT FIRE FM Fire 2024-06-18
5497 SOUTH FORK FIRE FM Fire 2024-06-17
5492 BLUE 2 FIRE FM Fire 2024-05-26
4652 WILDFIRES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, MUDFLOWS, AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Fire 2022-05-04
5432 MCBRIDE FIRE FM Fire 2022-04-12
5433 NOGAL CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2022-04-12
5386 THREE RIVERS FIRE FM Fire 2021-04-27
4529 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3460 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4199 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-10-29
4197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-10-06
4152 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2013-10-29
4079 FLOODING DR Flood 2012-08-24
2979 LITTLE BEAR FIRE FM Fire 2012-06-09
2935 DONALDSON FIRE FM Fire 2011-06-30
2880 WHITE FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-03
1962 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES DR Severe Storm 2011-03-24
Show 15 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1783 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-08-14
1659 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-08-30
3229 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
2518 PEPPIN FIRE FM Fire 2004-05-25
2398 NM-KOKOPELLI FIRE COMPLEX-3-23-02 FM Fire 2002-03-23
2364 NM -TRAP AND SKEET FIRE - 06/02/2001 FM Fire 2001-06-03
1329 SEVERE FOREST FIRE DR Fire 2000-05-13
3154 SEVERE FIRE THREATS EM Fire 2000-05-10
2296 CREE FIRE FM Fire 2000-05-08
1202 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-01-29
731 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1985-01-18
722 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-09-06
589 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-06-23
571 FLOODING DR Flood 1979-01-29
202 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1965-07-01

Storm Events in New Mexico

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lincoln County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 3,382 0 0 $0
High Wind 2,351 0 3 $18.9M
Hail 1,669 1 24 $17.2M
Heavy Snow 986 6 72 $2.5M
Thunderstorm Wind 952 1 13 $25.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

269

Total Paid

$17.1M

Avg Per Claim

$63.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 79.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$27.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Drought Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Lincoln County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lincoln County's closest FEMA peer: Evangeline Parish, LA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lincoln County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lincoln County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lincoln County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lincoln County's NFIP claims file (269 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lincoln County?
The most common disaster type in Lincoln County is Fire, with 17 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (9), Severe Storm (6), Biological (2).
How does Lincoln County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Mexico average?
FEMA lists 35 declaration records for Lincoln County. That is 181% above the New Mexico county mean of 12.5. Its count is also 69% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lincoln County received?
Lincoln County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 51% of all 35 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lincoln County filed?
Lincoln County has 269 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $17.1M in payments, with an average of $63.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lincoln County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lincoln County was 2024, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lincoln County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lincoln County, New Mexico has an overall risk score of 79.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $27.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lincoln County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Lincoln County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Lightning (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 71 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lincoln County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New Mexico profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events