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New Mexico · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

San Miguel County, NM

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

21
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
75
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for San Miguel County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 69% above the New Mexico county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 25%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 25%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
138
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 35047 · San Miguel County 21 declarations · rank 1460/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 52%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,460
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 75
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-HIGH +69%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New Mexico state profile

San Miguel County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among San Miguel County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows San Miguel County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1460 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How San Miguel County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

San Miguel County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · San Miguel County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

San Miguel County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New Mexico avg59/10074.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for San Miguel County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $14.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does San Miguel County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 138 paid claims, totaling $808.2K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $5.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. San Miguel County's 21 federal records stand 69% above the New Mexico county mean of 12.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 74.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $20.9M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 169 years here.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

San Miguel County, NM · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
21/25

21 declarations (1.7x state county average of 12)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

11 of 21 declarations are major disasters (52%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in San Miguel County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - San Miguel County

San Miguel County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
San Miguel County NRI risk profile FIPS 35047 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

52%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

75

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike San Miguel County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 169 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.6 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 15 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 62 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 115 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 867 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 9 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 10
Severe Storm 4
Flood 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on San Miguel County's record, 48% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 11 52.4%

of all 21 declarations

Fire Management - 7 33.3%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 3 14.3%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2022 3
2020 2
2015 2
2014 1
2013 1
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
2002 2
2000 3
1979 1
1973 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5465 LAS TUSAS FIRE FM Fire 2023-05-10
4652 WILDFIRES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, MUDFLOWS, AND DEBRIS FLOWS DR Fire 2022-05-04
5438 CALF CANYON FIRE FM Fire 2022-04-30
5431 HERMIT'S PEAK FIRE FM Fire 2022-04-12
4529 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3460 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4199 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-10-29
4197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-10-06
4152 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2013-10-29
5026 TRES LAGUNAS FIRE FM Fire 2013-06-05
1659 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-08-30
3229 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1514 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-04-29
2424 NM - ROYBAL FIRE - 06/13/02 FM Fire 2002-06-13
2404 NM - DALTON FIRE - 05/06/02 FM Fire 2002-05-07
2304 VIVEACH FIRE FM Fire 2000-05-30
1329 SEVERE FOREST FIRE DR Fire 2000-05-13
3154 SEVERE FIRE THREATS EM Fire 2000-05-10
589 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-06-23
380 SEVERE STORMS, SNOW MELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-11
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
202 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1965-07-01

Storm Events in New Mexico

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to San Miguel County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 3,382 0 0 $0
High Wind 2,351 0 3 $18.9M
Hail 1,669 1 24 $17.2M
Heavy Snow 986 6 72 $2.5M
Thunderstorm Wind 952 1 13 $25.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

138

Total Paid

$808.2K

Avg Per Claim

$5.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 74.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$20.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Volcanic Activity No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For San Miguel County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

San Miguel County's closest FEMA peer: Texas County, OK

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for San Miguel County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for San Miguel County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for San Miguel County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

San Miguel County's NFIP claims file (138 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in San Miguel County?
The most common disaster type in San Miguel County is Fire, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Flood (4), Biological (2).
How does San Miguel County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Mexico average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for San Miguel County. That is 69% above the New Mexico county mean of 12.5. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has San Miguel County received?
San Miguel County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 52% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has San Miguel County filed?
San Miguel County has 138 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $808.2K in payments, with an average of $5.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in San Miguel County?
No. In San Miguel County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $14.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in San Miguel County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in San Miguel County was 2000, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for San Miguel County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, San Miguel County, New Mexico has an overall risk score of 74.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $20.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to San Miguel County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for San Miguel County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate) and Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 169 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for San Miguel County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New Mexico profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events