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New Mexico · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Rio Arriba County, NM

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

16
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
81
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Rio Arriba County. Its 16 FEMA declarations are 28% above the New Mexico county mean and exceed the count for 27% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 19%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 19%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
31
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 35039 · Rio Arriba County 16 declarations · rank 2266/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-MID 63%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,266
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-LOW 81
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +28%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · New Mexico state profile

Rio Arriba County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Rio Arriba County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Rio Arriba County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2266 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Rio Arriba County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Rio Arriba County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Rio Arriba County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Rio Arriba County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100New Mexico avg59/10080.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Rio Arriba County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $20.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Rio Arriba County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 80.5/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $26.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 337 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 31 claims and $329.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Rio Arriba County's 16 federal records stand 28% above the New Mexico county mean of 12.5. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Rio Arriba County, NM · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

16 declarations (1.3x state county average of 12)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

10 of 16 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Rio Arriba County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Rio Arriba County

Rio Arriba County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 26 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 26 8-hazard mean
Rio Arriba County NRI risk profile FIPS 35039 · displayed-hazard mean 26/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

81

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Rio Arriba County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 337 years
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 2.6 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 65 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 454 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 106 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 24 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 19 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 13 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 5
Severe Storm 4
Flood 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Rio Arriba County's record, 31% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 62.5%

of all 16 declarations

Emergency - 4 25.0%

of all 16 declarations

Fire Management - 2 12.5%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2015 1
2014 1
2011 2
2006 1
2005 1
2002 1
2000 2
1999 1
1979 1
1977 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4795 SOUTH FORK FIRE, SALT FIRE, AND FLOODING DR Fire 2024-06-20
4529 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3460 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-10-06
4152 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2013-10-29
2933 LAS CONCHAS FIRE FM Fire 2011-06-26
1962 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES DR Severe Storm 2011-03-24
1659 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-08-30
3229 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
2408 NM - BORREGO FIRE - 5-23-02 FM Fire 2002-05-23
1329 SEVERE FOREST FIRE DR Fire 2000-05-13
3154 SEVERE FIRE THREATS EM Fire 2000-05-10
1301 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING AND HEAVY RAINS DR Severe Storm 1999-09-22
589 SEVERE STORMS, SNOWMELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-06-23
3034 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-03-02
380 SEVERE STORMS, SNOW MELT & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-05-11

Storm Events in New Mexico

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Rio Arriba County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 3,382 0 0 $0
High Wind 2,351 0 3 $18.9M
Hail 1,669 1 24 $17.2M
Heavy Snow 986 6 72 $2.5M
Thunderstorm Wind 952 1 13 $25.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

31

Total Paid

$329.4K

Avg Per Claim

$10.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 80.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$26.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Volcanic Activity No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

For Rio Arriba County the two measures on this page point the same way: Wildfire is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Fire declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Rio Arriba County's closest FEMA peer: La Crosse County, WI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Rio Arriba County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Rio Arriba County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Rio Arriba County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 16 FEMA declarations, Rio Arriba County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Rio Arriba County?
The most common disaster type in Rio Arriba County is Fire, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Flood (3), Biological (2).
How does Rio Arriba County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Mexico average?
FEMA lists 16 declaration records for Rio Arriba County. That is 28% above the New Mexico county mean of 12.5. Its count is also 23% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Rio Arriba County received?
Rio Arriba County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Rio Arriba County filed?
Rio Arriba County has 31 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $329.4K in payments, with an average of $10.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Rio Arriba County?
No. In Rio Arriba County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $20.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Rio Arriba County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Rio Arriba County was 2000, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Rio Arriba County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Rio Arriba County, New Mexico has an overall risk score of 80.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $26.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Rio Arriba County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Rio Arriba County is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Moderate) and Lightning (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 337 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Rio Arriba County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · New Mexico profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events