PlainHazard

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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

State profile · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Minnesota Natural Disasters

Minnesota's federal declaration record sits near the middle of the state distribution. 81 FEMA disaster declarations are on record, led by flood, with $576.5M in combined property and crop damage. A moderate count like this can still mask a single catastrophic year rather than a steady annual pattern. NOAA storm event data shows 19,109 recorded weather events resulting in 77 fatalities, figures the state uses to prioritize disaster-preparedness planning.

81
FEMA declarations
19,109
NOAA storm events
77
Storm fatalities
$576.5M
Property + crop damage

The Minnesota risk picture

2 of the 87 counties FEMA scores, 2%, carry a FEMA "high-risk" National Risk Index rating, with riverine flooding the single largest driver of expected annual loss statewide. Minnesota has 63 Major Disaster (DR) declarations; FEMA authorizes Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both separately for each declaration. NOAA-tracked storms have caused 230 injuries statewide.

2%
of counties rated high-risk by FEMA National Risk Index
81
FEMA disaster declarations on record
$576.5M
in tracked property + crop damage
12,290
NFIP flood insurance claims filed statewide

FEMA's National Risk Index and NOAA's Storm Events Database measure different things: modeled long-run risk vs. observed severe-weather events. Storm Events is a reported dataset, so its counts track what was observed and logged, not every event that occurred, and reporting is denser where more people live. See the methodology for how they relate.

View my watchlist

FEMA declarations

81

Above median

Major Disaster share

78%

Mostly major

NOAA storm events

19,109

Observed severe-weather records

How does Minnesota compare?

Minnesota vs. every U.S. state

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

81 Top 46% higher than 54% of 59 states and territories

This state 0 400 all U.S. states and territories FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more states and territories. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Minnesota county risk-score spread

FEMA National Risk Index composite scores, 0–100

42.4 49th percentile higher than 49% of 87 county composite scores

State average 0 100 Minnesota counties, bucketed by FEMA score, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more county composite scores. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA National Risk Index (NRI), county composite scores · 2026-08-25

The declaration chart counts past federal actions. The county score chart summarizes FEMA's modeled National Risk Index composite; it is not a forecast, and a state average does not describe every county.

Do more storms mean more federal disasters?

Minnesota sits at the 51st percentile of FEMA declaration volume and the 75th percentile of NOAA storm-event volume among 55 states and territories, those two ranks are not interchangeable.

FEMA declaration rank vs NOAA storm-event rank

Each point is a state or territory plotted by within-sample rank percentile (0–100) on FEMA OpenFEMA declarations (x) and NOAA Storm Events (y). Crosshairs mark the mid-rank (50th). Illinois is the clearest threshold-gap example in this release. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 + NOAA Storm Events Database. 2×2 strategic matrix plotting 30 entities by FEMA declarations (percentile) (X) and NOAA storm events (percentile) (Y), with a crosshair dividing the plot into four quadrants. Busy on both ledgersMany storms · fewer declarationsDeclaration-heavy · fewer stormsQuiet on both 406080100120 020406080100120 FEMA declarations (percentile) NOAA storm events (percentile) Signature insight
Each point is a state or territory plotted by within-sample rank percentile (0–100) on FEMA OpenFEMA declarations (x) and NOAA Storm Events (y). Crosshairs mark the mid-rank (50th). Illinois is the clearest threshold-gap example in this release. Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 + NOAA Storm Events Database.
Read the chart, every state as text

Percentiles are within this release's state/territory sample. Raw counts are the underlying FEMA and NOAA totals.

StateFEMA declsFEMA %ileNOAA stormsNOAA %ile
California3969823,69493
Texas3899653,30998
Oklahoma2589523,89695
Washington215934,40822
Florida1889112,83855
Oregon169893,69520
New Mexico1268710,97445
Arizona120859,54138
New York1188421,65382
Montana1128213,57656
Colorado1117818,34073
Louisiana1117811,20447
Nevada110764,53424
Alabama1027514,58364
Kentucky987119,94778
Mississippi987114,10062
Tennessee976916,64569
South Dakota966722,75987
Alaska94642,68315
Kansas946425,11596
Arkansas876013,63758
Nebraska876020,13680
Missouri865822,95289
North Carolina855616,36767
West Virginia845512,02649
Georgia815116,67671
Minnesota815119,10975
Iowa784921,88384
Virginia774723,58491
North Dakota754510,81844
Hawaii72446,20031
Maine71424,78127
Illinois684022,08885
Pennsylvania643819,42776
New Hampshire63362,54711
Vermont62353,44918
Idaho60315,14229
Ohio603116,18465
Massachusetts59256,78133
New Jersey59258,21835
Utah59254,57825
Wisconsin562413,80760
Indiana542212,68753
Puerto Rico51182,94416
South Carolina511810,52042
Michigan46169,05236
Wyoming451512,49451
Connecticut43132,62213
Maryland381110,29040
U.S. Virgin Islands339880
Rhode Island3179247
Delaware2651,4759
Guam2542582
District of Columbia2424525
American Samoa1702924

What shapes Minnesota's record?

FEMA declaration types in Minnesota

Wider bars = more declarations of that incident type

declarations

What this shows Flood leads Minnesota's FEMA declaration mix with 31 records among the types shown.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

NOAA storm events by year in Minnesota

Reported severe-weather events, 2015-2025 catalog window

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,000 20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025 1,833

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database As of 2026-08-25

Peak year in this series: 2022 (2,728 events). Counts are reported events, not a complete census.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Minnesota · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite mixing OpenFEMA declaration totals (1953–present) with NOAA Storm Events (2015–2025), different windows and event definitions, disclosed weights on the methodology page . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

81 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x state average)

NOAA Storm Events (2015–2025) Very High
22/25

19109 NOAA storm events in the 2015–2025 extract (1.7x median state)

NOAA Damage (2015–2025) Moderate
10/25

Recorded NOAA property+crop damage in the 2015–2025 extract (1.0x median state)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

11 different disaster types declared in Minnesota

What does Minnesota's hazard record show?

NOAA storm events & FEMA National Risk Index

NOAA's Storm Events Database adds the near-term severe-weather lens. Between 2015 and 2025, Minnesota recorded 19,109 individual storm events, causing 77 fatalities and 230 injuries, with combined property and crop damage estimated at $576.5M. The most frequent event types in the state are Thunderstorm Wind (4,420 events), Hail (4,203 events), Extreme Cold/Wind Chill (1,789 events). Across the 87counties FEMA scores here, its National Risk Index flags 2 as high-risk, with an average county Risk Index score (FEMA's own formula, distinct from our Historical Activity tool below) of 42.4/100.

What this count is, and is not. Storm Events is a reported database: NOAA compiles it from National Weather Service offices, trained spotters, law enforcement, and the public. It is a record of what was observed and logged, not a complete census of severe weather. Densely populated areas report more events than sparsely populated ones with similar meteorological exposure, and detection has improved over time, so an event count is not a like-for-like measure of hazard between places or across decades. Damage figures are field estimates, not audited losses. See methodology.

FEMA disaster declarations

Minnesota (MN) has a moderate level of federal declaration activity, with 81 FEMA declaration records, including 63 Major Disaster declarations (DR). A DR may authorize Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both; those program approvals are not implied by the DR count. The dominant declaration type is Flood, followed by Severe Storm (26), Fire (10), Biological (4). Declaration counts at the state level reflect the cumulative federal footprint: large multi-county events count once per state, but repeat hazard patterns across decades are visible in the breakdown below.

Flood exposure & where to dig deeper

Flood exposure is quantified separately through the National Flood Insurance Program. Policyholders across 86Minnesota counties have filed 12,290 NFIP claims totaling $155.3M, or an average of $12.6K per claim. NFIP data captures only insured flood losses, so uninsured flood damage and storm-surge losses outside mapped high-risk zones remain invisible in this figure. The highest-Expected-Annual-Loss hazard across the state is Riverine Flooding, estimated at $1.3B annually. Drill into individual counties for localized risk, read FEMA's hazard-specific briefings, and review insurance and flood-zone designations, state-level averages can mask sharp county-to-county differences in exposure and resilience.

Disaster Types in Minnesota

Share of this state's FEMA declarations; the bar chart above is the same mix as counts.

Flood

38.3%

31 declarations

Severe Storm

32.1%

26 declarations

Fire

12.3%

10 declarations

Biological

4.9%

4 declarations

Tornado

3.7%

3 declarations

Severe Ice Storm

2.5%

2 declarations

Drought

1.2%

1 declarations

Hurricane

1.2%

1 declarations

Other

1.2%

1 declarations

Snowstorm

1.2%

1 declarations

Straight-Line Winds

1.2%

1 declarations

Storm Events by Type

NOAA storm event data for Minnesota (2015-2025).

Event Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,420 13 25 $68.2M
Hail 4,203 0 0 $34.5M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 1,789 7 4 $55.0K
Winter Storm 1,695 2 17 $10.0M
Heavy Snow 1,190 9 14 $1.0M
Winter Weather 1,025 18 77 $3.0M
Blizzard 857 1 11 $2.2M
Drought 641 0 0 $0
Tornado 591 1 6 $46.0M
Flood 473 2 0 $48.2M
Flash Flood 419 0 1 $12.7M
High Wind 350 1 2 $1.1M
Heavy Rain 292 2 3 $293.0K
Excessive Heat 268 1 0 $0
Funnel Cloud 252 0 0 $0
Cold/Wind Chill 231 7 14 $0
Strong Wind 123 4 7 $1.1M
Frost/Freeze 77 0 0 $0
Heat 65 0 14 $0
Lightning 64 0 19 $4.7M

Storm Events by Year

Year Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
2025 1,833 2 12 $40.7M
2024 1,542 3 26 $37.3M
2023 1,690 7 20 $24.7M
2022 2,728 7 33 $37.1M
2021 1,451 11 21 $17.8M
2020 1,600 7 18 $14.5M
2019 2,126 4 7 $24.1M
2018 1,768 11 28 $44.7M
2017 1,314 7 30 $19.2M
2016 1,826 14 28 $17.0M
2015 1,231 4 7 $5.6M

FEMA Disaster Declarations

How the 81 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download all 81 declarations as CSV . Source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

81 unique disaster declarations in Minnesota.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4894 SEVERE STORMS AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Straight-Line Winds 2025-10-22
5583 MUNGER SHAW FIRE FM Fire 2025-05-14
4797 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-06-28
4722 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2023-07-19
4666 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-08-09
4659 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2022-07-13
4658 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-07-08
4531 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-07
3453 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3508 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3503 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4442 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-12
4414 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-02-01
4390 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2018-09-05
4290 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-11-02
4182 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2014-07-21
4131 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-25
4113 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2013-05-03
4069 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2012-07-06
4009 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2011-07-28
1990 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2011-06-07
1982 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2011-05-10
1941 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-10-13
1921 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2010-07-02
1900 FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-19
3310 FLOODING EM Flood 2010-03-19
1830 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-04-09
3304 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2009-03-26
1772 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-25
1717 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-08-23
3278 BRIDGE COLLAPSE EM Other 2007-08-21
1648 FLOODING DR Flood 2006-06-05
1622 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2006-01-04
3242 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1569 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-10-07
1419 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2002-06-14
2409 MN - BY-PASS FIRE - 05/31/2002 FM Fire 2002-06-01
1370 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 2001-05-16
2345 MN - CARLOS EDGE FIRE COMPLEX - 10/19/2000 FM Fire 2000-10-20
1333 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1288 SEVERE ICE STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 1999-08-26
1283 SEVERE STORMS, WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1999-07-28
1225 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 1998-06-23
1212 TORNADOES AND SEVERE STORMS DR Tornado 1998-04-01
1187 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HIGH WINDS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-08-25
1175 SEVERE FLOODING, HIGH WINDS,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-08
1158 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-16
1151 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Storm 1997-01-07
1116 FLOODING AND SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1996-06-01
1078 HIGH WINDS, FREEZING RAIN, HEAVY SNOWFALL DR Snowstorm 1996-01-05

Showing 50 of 81 declarations.

FEMA National Risk Index

Composite natural hazard risk scores for Minnesota counties based on FEMA's National Risk Index.

Avg County Risk Score

42.4/100

High Risk Counties

2

of 87 counties

Top Hazard by EAL

Riverine Flooding

$1.3B annual loss est.

Top 5 Hazards by Expected Annual Loss

#1

Riverine Flooding

$1.3B EAL

#2

Cold Wave

$470.6M EAL

#3

Tornado

$348.0M EAL

#4

Strong Wind

$154.2M EAL

#5

Hail

$128.1M EAL

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) EAL = Expected Annual Loss. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

National Flood Insurance Program claims across Minnesota from FEMA NFIP data.

Total Claims

12,290

Total Paid

$155.3M

Avg Per Claim

$12.6K

Counties With Claims

86

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

Counties in Minnesota

87 counties with FEMA disaster data. Declaration counts measure past federal action; NRI rating is FEMA's modeled composite, so a high count is not a high rating.

#CountyDisastersNRI ratingMajor
1Norman County32Very Low27
2Polk County31Relatively Low26
3Marshall County30Very Low25
4Kittson County30Very Low26
5Clay County29Relatively Low24
6Roseau County26Relatively Low24
7Traverse County25Very Low20
8Wilkin County25Very Low20
9Yellow Medicine County24Very Low20
10Blue Earth County24Relatively Low20
11Red Lake County23Very Low20
12Nicollet County22Relatively Low18
13Renville County22Very Low18
14Faribault County22Relatively Low20
15Houston County21Very Low18
16Freeborn County21Relatively Low19
17Sibley County21Very Low17
18Nobles County21Relatively Low18
19Aitkin County21Relatively Low18
20Beltrami County21Relatively Low18
21Lac qui Parle County21Very Low17
22Redwood County21Very Low17
23Chippewa County21Very Low17
24Mahnomen County20Very Low17
25Brown County20Relatively Low16
26Pennington County20Relatively Low17
27Big Stone County20Very Low16
28Swift County19Very Low15
29Ramsey County19Relatively High15
30Le Sueur County19Very Low15
31Becker County19Very Low16
32Grant County19Very Low16
33Stevens County19Very Low16
34Lyon County18Relatively Low14
35Fillmore County18Relatively Low15
36Hennepin County18Relatively High13
37McLeod County18Relatively Low15
38Lake of the Woods County18Very Low16
39Goodhue County18Relatively Low15
40Jackson County18Very Low15
41Murray County17Very Low14
42Wright County17Relatively Low13
43Steele County17Very Low14
44Otter Tail County17Relatively Low14
45Cottonwood County17Very Low14
46St. Louis County17Relatively Moderate13
47Carver County17Relatively Low13
48Washington County17Relatively Moderate12
49Wabasha County17Relatively Low15
50Winona County17Relatively Low14
51Dodge County16Very Low13
52Clearwater County16Very Low13
53Mower County16Relatively Low13
54Kandiyohi County16Relatively Low13
55Rock County16Very Low13
56Dakota County16Relatively Moderate12
57Pope County16Very Low13
58Scott County16Relatively Low12
59Martin County15Relatively Low12
60Wadena County15Very Low12
61Itasca County15Relatively Low12
62Pine County15Relatively Low11
63Olmsted County15Relatively Moderate12
64Pipestone County14Very Low11
65Waseca County14Very Low12
66Rice County14Relatively Low12
67Douglas County14Relatively Low11
68Cass County14Relatively Low11
69Morrison County14Relatively Low10
70Lincoln County14Very Low11
71Todd County13Very Low10
72Anoka County13Relatively Moderate9
73Benton County13Relatively Low10
74Crow Wing County13Relatively Low9
75Stearns County13Relatively Moderate10
76Watonwan County13Very Low10
77Chisago County12Relatively Low8
78Lake County12Very Low9
79Koochiching County12Very Low9
80Meeker County11Very Low8
81Kanabec County11Very Low8
82Sherburne County10Relatively Low7
83Cook County10Very Low7
84Mille Lacs County10Very Low7
85Carlton County10Relatively Low7
86Isanti County10Very Low7
87Hubbard County10Very Low7

Highest-risk counties by FEMA National Risk Index

Declaration counts above measure past federal action; FEMA's NRI is a composite of Expected Annual Loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience. By that separate measure the highest-risk counties in Minnesota are Hennepin (Relatively High), Ramsey (Relatively High), St. Louis (Relatively Moderate), Dakota (Relatively Moderate), Anoka (Relatively Moderate). Compare any county's recorded history with the Historical Activity tool.

All 87 counties in Minnesota are listed above.

Compare beyond this profile

Nationwide states with similar NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Minnesota: nearest states by average county National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Disaster Preparedness Guides

Learn more about natural disaster risk, preparedness, and data interpretation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What natural disasters affect Minnesota?
Minnesota is affected by flood, severe storm, fire, biological. The state's leading disaster type is Flood, based on 81 FEMA disaster declarations on record.
How many FEMA disaster declarations has Minnesota had?
Minnesota has received 81 FEMA disaster declarations, including 63 major disaster declarations. These declarations span multiple disaster types including Flood (31), Severe Storm (26), Fire (10).
What severe weather events are most common in Minnesota?
The most common severe weather events in Minnesota include thunderstorm wind (4,420 events), hail (4,203 events), extreme cold/wind chill (1,789 events). These NOAA storm events recorded from 2015 to 2025 have caused 77 fatalities and $576.5M in property and crop damage.
How active is Minnesota's federal disaster declaration record?
Minnesota has a moderate level of historical federal declaration activity, based on 81 FEMA declaration records. This band is not a future-risk forecast. Separately, NOAA storm events from 2015-2025 record 77 fatalities and 230 injuries. Combined NOAA-listed property and crop losses total $576.5M.
How many flood insurance claims has Minnesota had?
Minnesota has 12,290 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims with $155.3M total paid out. Per-claim payments average $12.6K, with 86 counties reporting flood insurance claims.
Which counties in Minnesota have the most disaster declarations?
Among 87 counties in Minnesota, those with the most FEMA declaration records include Norman (32 declarations), Polk (31 declarations), Marshall (30 declarations). Breaking the declarations down by county reveals patterns a statewide total can mask.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations, NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025) For informational purposes only

What this means for Minnesota

Norman alone accounts for 40% of Minnesota's FEMA disaster declarations, out of 87 counties tracked statewide.

  • The declaration record is uneven within the state: Norman and Polk carry the most FEMA declarations. Browse counties
  • See how Minnesota ranks against other states for disaster frequency and damage. State rankings
  • Learn what FEMA declarations, NRI risk scores, and damage figures do and don't tell you. Disaster-data guide

Historical declaration counts and damage totals describe past federal response, not a forecast. For current threats, follow the National Weather Service and local officials; in an emergency call 911.

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.