Dakota County, Minnesota

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 27037 · population 439,810 · 563 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 844 records for Dakota County, Minnesota from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 445 days; the most frequent are hail reports (310 records). The deadliest single record is the May 9, 1973 tornado: 1 death and 11 injuries. FEMA has issued 16 declarations naming the county since 1965, 14 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms and Flooding” on July 6, 2012.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
844on 445 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
438 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$605Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
41strongest F2
FEMA declarations
16latest 2020

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Dakota County most?

The most frequent records are hail reports: 310 since 1964. 43% of its hail reports since 1964 fell in May and June. The rank column places the county among Minnesota's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Dakota County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Hail 310 136 1964-2026 0 0 $215M 6 of 87
Severe thunderstorm wind 244 125 1957-2025 0 19 $328M 9 of 87
Winter storms 125 123 1996-2026 1 0 – 31 of 87
Tornadoes 41 30 1965-2024 1 16 $22M 4 of 87
Floods 31 27 1997-2019 1 0 $36M 21 of 87
Extreme cold 20 20 1996-2026 1 0 $103K 72 of 87
Heavy rain 18 11 2005-2025 0 0 – 12 of 87
Lightning 16 15 2001-2020 0 3 $3.4M 3 of 87
Heat 14 14 1999-2023 0 0 – 25 of 87
High wind and dust storms 14 14 1996-2021 0 0 $44K 36 of 87
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 11 8 2001-2022 0 0 – 31 of 87

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Dakota County had?

NOAA records 41 tornadoes in Dakota County from 1965 to 2024, the strongest rated F2, with 1 death and 16 injuries recorded in the county. That is 4th of 87 Minnesota counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 41 tornadoes whose track touched Dakota County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 41, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 1 person.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Dakota County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1973-05-09 13:37, as SPC files itApple ValleyF10.2 mi1

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Minnesota.

Every tornado record filed for Dakota County (41)
Every tornado recorded in Dakota County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-08-29 Miesville, Dakota County EF0 6.7 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2022-08-27 West St Paul, Dakota County EF0 0.26 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $101K
2022-08-27 Eagan, Dakota County EF0 0.75 mi x 150 yd 0 0 $756K
2022-08-27 Eagan, Dakota County EF0 0.37 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $756K
2022-08-27 Lakeville, Dakota County EF0 0.85 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $504K
2022-05-09 Miesville, Dakota County EF0 5.71 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2021-09-17 Rosemount, Dakota County EF0 0.81 mi x 75 yd 0 0 –
2021-09-17 Eagan, Dakota County EF0 1.02 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2021-05-19 Lakeville Airlake Ar, Dakota County EF0 0.18 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2020-05-26 Rosemount, Dakota County EF0 0.26 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2019-08-13 Castle Rock, Dakota County EF0 0.32 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2018-09-20 New Trier, Dakota County EF0 4.61 mi x 220 yd 0 0 –
2018-09-20 Randolph, Dakota County EF0 2.48 mi x 70 yd 0 0 –
2012-11-10 Mendota, Dakota County EF0 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $64K
2012-11-10 Burnsville, Dakota County EF0 2.8 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $193K
2012-11-10 Lilydale, Dakota County EF0 0.54 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $129K
2010-08-13 Farmington, Dakota County EF1 1.52 mi x 125 yd 0 1 $1.0M
2010-07-14 Waterford, Dakota County EF0 0.02 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $677
2010-07-14 Waterford, Dakota County EF1 1.7 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $135K
2010-07-14 Northfield, Dakota County EF0 3.5 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $41K
2009-08-19 New Trier, Dakota County EF1 1.61 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $103K
2008-07-10 Empire, Dakota County EF0 6 mi x 25 yd 0 0 $274K
2001-09-09 Lakeville, Dakota County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2001-05-09 Northfield, Dakota County F2 3 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $12M
1999-08-12 Castle Rock, Dakota County F0 0.2 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
1998-03-29 Hastings, Dakota County F0 1 mi x 100 yd 0 0 –
1998-03-29 Castle Rock, Dakota County F2 3 mi x 440 yd 0 0 –
1996-07-06 Hastings, Dakota County F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
1987-07-27 Dakota County F1 7 mi x 80 yd 0 0 $250K step
1987-05-13 Dakota County F0 0.2 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
1987-05-13 Dakota County F1 7 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $3K step
1982-07-15 Dakota County F1 1 mi x 160 yd 0 0 $25K step
1981-04-29 Dakota County F1 0.5 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $250K step
1979-06-28 Dakota County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $25K step
1973-05-09 Dakota County F1 0.2 mi x 50 yd 1 11 $250K step
1971-07-14 Dakota County F0 0 0 $25K step
1969-07-15 Dakota County F1 2 mi x 63 yd 0 0 $3K step
1969-07-13 Dakota County F1 0.5 mi x 20 yd 0 3 $25K step
1968-05-15 Dakota County F2 15.4 mi x 333 yd 0 1 $250K step
1967-06-15 Dakota County F0 0.1 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $25K step
1965-06-05 Dakota County F1 0 0 $3K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Dakota County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the December 14, 2024 winter weather (1 death).

A period of freezing drizzle and freezing rain led to a thin layer of ice or glaze over much of the Twin Cities metro area. There were numerous car accidents due to the icy conditions. One fatality occurred (indirectly) from icy road conditions in Inver Grove Heights, MN.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1221869)
The 12 most recent records kept for Dakota County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-04-17 HailHastings, Dakota County 0.88 in hail 0 0 –
2026-04-01 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2026-03-14 BlizzardDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2026-02-24 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2026-02-18 Winter StormDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2026-01-22 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2026-01-05 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2026-01-04 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2025-12-28 Winter StormDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2025-12-22 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2025-12-09 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –
2025-11-29 Winter StormDakota County · forecast zone Dakota 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Dakota County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1973-05-09 TornadoDakota County F1 0.2 mi x 50 yd 1 11 $250K step
2024-12-14 Winter WeatherDakota County · forecast zone Dakota A period of freezing drizzle and freezing rain led to a thin layer of ice or glaze over much of the Twin Cities metro area. There were numerous car accidents due to the icy conditions. One fatality occurred (indirectly) from icy road conditions in Inver Grove Heights, MN. 1 0 –
2014-01-05 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillDakota County · forecast zone Dakota Several sources from local observations indicated that a prolonged period of wind chill values below -35F occurred in the county, with locally -50F or lower during the height of the cold conditions. A 32 year old woman was found frozen to death outside her home in Lakeville on January 7. 1 0 –
2000-07-07 Flash FloodEagan, Dakota County Widespread flooding in Eagan and neighboring portions of Rosemount, Apple Valley, and Burnsville. Between 6 and 12 inches of rain fell during this 3 hour event. One man died of drowning after being swept into a culvert. Over 200 homes in Eagan incurred water damage. Numerous homes in Rosemount and Burnsville reported ... 1 0 $34M
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindSouth St Paul, Dakota County Mobile home flipped over. Structural damage at apartment complex. 30 homes damaged. Amphibean airplane flipped over. Estimated windspeed. 0 11 –
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindBurnsville, Dakota County Brick wall blown in at retail center. 2000 trees blown down. Indoor mall sustained $1 million in damage. 3 homes destroyed. Numerous trees down. Damage estimate for entire county. Estimated windspeed. 0 7 $253M
2020-08-08 LightningLakeville, Dakota County A lightning bolt struck a park shelter where 40 people were attending a birthday party. Three individuals were injured, but with non-life-threatening injuries. 0 3 $11K
1969-07-13 TornadoDakota County F1 0.5 mi x 20 yd 0 3 $25K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Dakota County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindBurnsville, Dakota County 0 7 $253M
1998-05-15 HailBurnsville, Dakota County 1.00 in hail 0 0 $181M
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindEagan, Dakota County 0 1 $43M
2000-07-07 Flash FloodEagan, Dakota County 1 0 $34M
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindApple Vly, Dakota County 0 0 $18M
2007-06-20 HailHastings, Dakota County 3.00 in hail 0 0 $17M
2001-05-09 TornadoNorthfield, Dakota County F2 3 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $12M
1996-05-19 Thunderstorm WindLakeville, Dakota County 0 0 $8.5M

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: May 9, 1973 (tornado, Dakota County, 1 killed); May 15, 1968 (tornado, Dakota County); April 29, 1981 (tornado, Dakota County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Dakota County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Dakota County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Hail0541636819474
Severe thunderstorm wind3552042696931
Winter storms––––14323841
Tornadoes0535441010
Floods––––77170
Extreme cold––––5375

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

43% of its hail reports since 1964 fell in May and June. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 34 · Feb 27 · Mar 41 · Apr 50 · May 127 · Jun 154 · Jul 161 · Aug 127 · Sep 47 · Oct 23 · Nov 20 · Dec 33 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Dakota County

FEMA's register lists 16 declarations that include Dakota County: 12 major disasters, 4 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for flood (6) and severe storm (5).

Declarations including Dakota County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2020-04-07DR-4531BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3453BiologicalCovid-19
2012-07-06DR-4069Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2010-03-19EM-3310FloodFlooding
2005-09-13EM-3242HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2001-05-16DR-1370FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
2000-06-27DR-1333Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
1998-06-23DR-1225TornadoSevere Storms, Straight Line Winds, and Tornadoes
1997-04-08DR-1175FloodSevere Flooding, High Winds,Severe Storms
1996-06-01DR-1116FloodFlooding and Severe Storms
1993-06-11DR-993Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1987-08-06DR-797Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1978-07-08DR-560Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Hail & Tornadoes
1976-06-17EM-3013DroughtDrought
1969-04-18DR-255FloodFlooding
1965-04-11DR-188FloodFlooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Dakota County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 31 flood or flash flood records for Dakota County from 1997 to 2019, on 27 days, with 1 death. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Dakota County ranks 1001st of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $3.9 million on 181 claims filed in Dakota County; the most in one year was 21 in 2001. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1978: 2 · 1979: 5 · 1980: 2 · 1981: 3 · 1982: 1 · 1983: 1 · 1984: 4 · 1986: 2 · 1987: 4 · 1988: 1 · 1992: 1 · 1993: 3 · 1995: 1 · 1997: 20 · 1998: 7 · 1999: 1 · 2000: 6 · 2001: 21 · 2002: 3 · 2003: 1 · 2010: 17 · 2011: 13 · 2012: 3 · 2013: 2 · 2014: 13 · 2015: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2018: 3 · 2019: 19 · 2020: 6 · 2022: 1 · 2023: 7 · 2024: 6; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Dakota County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Dakota County Relatively Moderate overall, with an expected annual loss of $134 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Dakota County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Strong WindVery High$19M4.8 a year (modeled)
HailRelatively High$8.4M6.4 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively High$32Monce in about 2 years (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively High$771K18 a year (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively High$12M8.9 a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively High$1.5M37 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Moderate$57Mabout once a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Moderate$3.3M6.2 modeled event-days a year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Dakota County

  1. Hennepin County 1,442
  2. Dakota County 844
  3. Scott County 673
  4. Ramsey County 629
  5. Washington County 593
  6. Goodhue County 583
  7. Rice County 571
  8. Pierce County, WI 481

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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