Scott County, Minnesota

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 27139 · population 150,902 · 356 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 673 records for Scott County, Minnesota from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 391 days; the most frequent are hail reports (232 records). The deadliest single record is the December 22, 2022 extreme cold/wind chill, filed for the forecast zone Scott, which covers the county: 1 death. FEMA has issued 16 declarations naming the county since 1965, 14 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding” on June 12, 2019.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
673on 391 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
11 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$373Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
20strongest F2
FEMA declarations
16latest 2020

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Scott County most?

The most frequent records are hail reports: 232 since 1956. 52% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The rank column places the county among Minnesota's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Scott County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Hail 232 120 1956-2025 0 0 $15M 3 of 87
Severe thunderstorm wind 188 105 1964-2025 0 0 $340M 4 of 87
Winter storms 121 120 1996-2026 0 0 – 6 of 87
Floods 32 29 1997-2019 0 0 $14M 6 of 87
Heavy rain 24 12 2004-2024 0 0 – 3 of 87
Tornadoes 20 14 1977-2021 0 0 $2.1M 20 of 87
Extreme cold 19 19 1996-2026 1 0 $26K 39 of 87
High wind and dust storms 15 15 1996-2026 0 0 $2K 12 of 87
Heat 14 14 1999-2023 0 0 – 4 of 87
Lightning 4 4 1996-2005 0 1 $913K 10 of 87
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 4 4 2001-2025 0 0 – 44 of 87

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Scott County had?

NOAA records 20 tornadoes in Scott County from 1977 to 2021, the strongest rated F2, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. That is 20th of 87 Minnesota counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 21 tornadoes whose track touched Scott County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 20: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Minnesota.

Every tornado record filed for Scott County (20)
Every tornado recorded in Scott County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2021-09-17 Prior Lake, Scott County EF0 2.1 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $272K
2021-05-19 Blakeley, Scott County EF0 0.5 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2019-07-15 St Benedict, Scott County EF0 0.29 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $173K
2017-08-16 New Prague, Scott County EF0 0.76 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2017-08-16 Prior Lake, Scott County EF0 1.2 mi x 75 yd 0 0 –
2012-06-10 Blakeley, Scott County EF0 1.66 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $321K
2010-06-26 St Patrick, Scott County EF0 1.86 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2002-08-03 Belle Plaine, Scott County F0 0.2 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2001-06-11 New Market, Scott County F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $83K
2001-05-09 New Market, Scott County F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2001-05-09 New Prague, Scott County F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2001-05-09 New Prague, Scott County F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2001-05-09 Belle Plaine, Scott County F0 1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
1999-07-30 Lydia, Scott County F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd 0 0 –
1999-07-30 Belle Plaine, Scott County F1 0.2 mi x 35 yd 0 0 –
1999-07-30 Blakeley, Scott County F0 0.2 mi x 35 yd 0 0 –
1999-06-05 Savage, Scott County F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
1998-08-22 Savage, Scott County F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
1995-07-21 Lydia, Scott County F1 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1977-05-21 Scott County F2 16.6 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $250K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Scott County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the December 22, 2022 extreme cold/wind chill (1 death).

Airfield ASOS stations in neighboring counties recorded wind-chill temperatures below -35 for numerous hours. Strongest winds occurred in the late morning at 30-35 mph. One direct fatality was reported on broadcast media. A 34-year-old male was found deceased due to exposure near the northbound ramp of I-35 and County Rd 2 in Elko New Market, MN. The Scott County Sherrif's Office reported that the deceased may have stolen a van and began to flee on foot in the single digit to below-zero temperatures.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1064379)
The 12 most recent records kept for Scott County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-04-02 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2026-03-14 BlizzardScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2026-03-12 High WindScott County · forecast zone Scott 55 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-02-24 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2026-02-18 Winter StormScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2026-01-22 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2026-01-05 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2026-01-04 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2025-12-28 Winter StormScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2025-12-22 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2025-12-18 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –
2025-12-09 Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Scott County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2022-12-22 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillScott County · forecast zone Scott Airfield ASOS stations in neighboring counties recorded wind-chill temperatures below -35 for numerous hours. Strongest winds occurred in the late morning at 30-35 mph. One direct fatality was reported on broadcast media. A 34-year-old male was found deceased due to exposure near the northbound ramp of I-35 and County ... 1 0 –
1996-03-24 LightningPrior Lake, Scott County Lightning initially struck nearby vehicle, and proceeded to jump to victim during grounding process. 0 1 –
The costliest records in Scott County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1998-05-15 Thunderstorm WindSavage, Scott County 0 0 $308M
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindPrior Lake, Scott County 0 0 $32M
2006-08-24 HailNew Prague, Scott County 4.25 in hail 0 0 $15M
2014-06-18 FloodBlakeley, Scott County 0 0 $11M
2007-03-19 FloodJordan, Scott County 0 0 $1.3M
2005-09-04 LightningPrior Lake, Scott County 0 0 $913K
2010-03-20 FloodShakopee, Scott County 0 0 $541K
2002-08-03 Flash FloodCountywide, Scott County 0 0 $328K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: May 21, 1977 (tornado, Scott County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Scott County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Scott County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Hail203941965922
Severe thunderstorm wind0241739425925
Winter storms––––12353341
Floods––––79160
Heavy rain––––04173
Tornadoes00106652

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

52% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 33 · Feb 24 · Mar 39 · Apr 35 · May 95 · Jun 148 · Jul 120 · Aug 90 · Sep 24 · Oct 17 · Nov 14 · Dec 34 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Scott County

FEMA's register lists 16 declarations that include Scott County: 12 major disasters, 4 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for flood (9) and biological (2).

Declarations including Scott County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2020-04-07DR-4531BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3453BiologicalCovid-19
2019-06-12DR-4442FloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2014-07-21DR-4182FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2011-05-10DR-1982FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
2010-04-19DR-1900FloodFlooding
2010-03-19EM-3310FloodFlooding
2005-09-13EM-3242HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2001-05-16DR-1370FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
1998-06-23DR-1225TornadoSevere Storms, Straight Line Winds, and Tornadoes
1997-04-08DR-1175FloodSevere Flooding, High Winds,Severe Storms
1993-06-11DR-993Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1987-08-06DR-797Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1976-06-17EM-3013DroughtDrought
1969-04-18DR-255FloodFlooding
1965-04-11DR-188FloodFlooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Scott County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 32 flood or flash flood records for Scott County from 1997 to 2019, on 29 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Scott County ranks 1221st of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $1.1 million on 117 claims filed in Scott County; the most in one year was 26 in 2014. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1979: 2 · 1980: 1 · 1983: 25 · 1984: 3 · 1985: 3 · 1987: 2 · 1993: 9 · 1997: 7 · 1998: 9 · 1999: 5 · 2001: 6 · 2010: 3 · 2011: 10 · 2013: 1 · 2014: 26 · 2015: 1 · 2019: 3 · 2024: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Scott County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Scott County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $66.5 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Scott County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Strong WindVery High$13M4.7 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Moderate$12Monce in about 3 years (modeled)
HailRelatively Moderate$2.9M6.5 a year (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively Moderate$7.3M9.5 a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Moderate$2.9M6.3 modeled event-days a year
Riverine FloodingRelatively Moderate$27M1 a year (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively Moderate$194K17 a year (modeled)
LandslideRelatively Low$6Konce in about 8 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Scott County

  1. Hennepin County 1,442
  2. Dakota County 844
  3. Scott County 673
  4. Carver County 659
  5. Rice County 571
  6. Sibley County 508
  7. Le Sueur County 440

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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