Scott County, Minnesota
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 27139 · population 150,902 · 356 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 673 records for Scott County, Minnesota from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 391 days; the most frequent are hail reports (232 records). The deadliest single record is the December 22, 2022 extreme cold/wind chill, filed for the forecast zone Scott, which covers the county: 1 death. FEMA has issued 16 declarations naming the county since 1965, 14 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding” on June 12, 2019.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 673on 391 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 11 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $373Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 20strongest F2
- FEMA declarations
- 16latest 2020
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Scott County most?
The most frequent records are hail reports: 232 since 1956. 52% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The rank column places the county among Minnesota's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 232 | 120 | 1956-2025 | 0 | 0 | $15M | 3 of 87 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 188 | 105 | 1964-2025 | 0 | 0 | $340M | 4 of 87 |
| Winter storms | 121 | 120 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 of 87 |
| Floods | 32 | 29 | 1997-2019 | 0 | 0 | $14M | 6 of 87 |
| Heavy rain | 24 | 12 | 2004-2024 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 of 87 |
| Tornadoes | 20 | 14 | 1977-2021 | 0 | 0 | $2.1M | 20 of 87 |
| Extreme cold | 19 | 19 | 1996-2026 | 1 | 0 | $26K | 39 of 87 |
| High wind and dust storms | 15 | 15 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | $2K | 12 of 87 |
| Heat | 14 | 14 | 1999-2023 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 of 87 |
| Lightning | 4 | 4 | 1996-2005 | 0 | 1 | $913K | 10 of 87 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 4 | 4 | 2001-2025 | 0 | 0 | – | 44 of 87 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Scott County had?
NOAA records 20 tornadoes in Scott County from 1977 to 2021, the strongest rated F2, with 0 deaths and 0 injuries recorded in the county. That is 20th of 87 Minnesota counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 21 tornadoes whose track touched Scott County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 20: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Minnesota.
Every tornado record filed for Scott County (20)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-17 | Prior Lake, Scott County | EF0 2.1 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $272K |
| 2021-05-19 | Blakeley, Scott County | EF0 0.5 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2019-07-15 | St Benedict, Scott County | EF0 0.29 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $173K |
| 2017-08-16 | New Prague, Scott County | EF0 0.76 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2017-08-16 | Prior Lake, Scott County | EF0 1.2 mi x 75 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2012-06-10 | Blakeley, Scott County | EF0 1.66 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $321K |
| 2010-06-26 | St Patrick, Scott County | EF0 1.86 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2002-08-03 | Belle Plaine, Scott County | F0 0.2 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2001-06-11 | New Market, Scott County | F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $83K |
| 2001-05-09 | New Market, Scott County | F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2001-05-09 | New Prague, Scott County | F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2001-05-09 | New Prague, Scott County | F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2001-05-09 | Belle Plaine, Scott County | F0 1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1999-07-30 | Lydia, Scott County | F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1999-07-30 | Belle Plaine, Scott County | F1 0.2 mi x 35 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1999-07-30 | Blakeley, Scott County | F0 0.2 mi x 35 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1999-06-05 | Savage, Scott County | F0 0.1 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1998-08-22 | Savage, Scott County | F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1995-07-21 | Lydia, Scott County | F1 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1977-05-21 | Scott County | F2 16.6 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Scott County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the December 22, 2022 extreme cold/wind chill (1 death).
Airfield ASOS stations in neighboring counties recorded wind-chill temperatures below -35 for numerous hours. Strongest winds occurred in the late morning at 30-35 mph. One direct fatality was reported on broadcast media. A 34-year-old male was found deceased due to exposure near the northbound ramp of I-35 and County Rd 2 in Elko New Market, MN. The Scott County Sherrif's Office reported that the deceased may have stolen a van and began to flee on foot in the single digit to below-zero temperatures.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1064379)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-14 | BlizzardScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-12 | High WindScott County · forecast zone Scott | 55 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-02-24 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-18 | Winter StormScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-22 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-05 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-04 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-12-28 | Winter StormScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-12-22 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-12-18 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-12-09 | Winter WeatherScott County · forecast zone Scott | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-22 | Extreme Cold/Wind ChillScott County · forecast zone Scott Airfield ASOS stations in neighboring counties recorded wind-chill temperatures below -35 for numerous hours. Strongest winds occurred in the late morning at 30-35 mph. One direct fatality was reported on broadcast media. A 34-year-old male was found deceased due to exposure near the northbound ramp of I-35 and County ... | 1 | 0 | – | |
| 1996-03-24 | LightningPrior Lake, Scott County Lightning initially struck nearby vehicle, and proceeded to jump to victim during grounding process. | 0 | 1 | – |
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-05-15 | Thunderstorm WindSavage, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $308M | |
| 1998-05-30 | Thunderstorm WindPrior Lake, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $32M | |
| 2006-08-24 | HailNew Prague, Scott County | 4.25 in hail | 0 | 0 | $15M |
| 2014-06-18 | FloodBlakeley, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $11M | |
| 2007-03-19 | FloodJordan, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $1.3M | |
| 2005-09-04 | LightningPrior Lake, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $913K | |
| 2010-03-20 | FloodShakopee, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $541K | |
| 2002-08-03 | Flash FloodCountywide, Scott County | 0 | 0 | $328K |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: May 21, 1977 (tornado, Scott County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Scott County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 96 | 59 | 22 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 42 | 59 | 25 |
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 12 | 35 | 33 | 41 |
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 7 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| Heavy rain | – | – | – | – | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 |
| Tornadoes | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
52% of its hail reports since 1956 fell in May and June. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 33 · Feb 24 · Mar 39 · Apr 35 · May 95 · Jun 148 · Jul 120 · Aug 90 · Sep 24 · Oct 17 · Nov 14 · Dec 34 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Scott County
FEMA's register lists 16 declarations that include Scott County: 12 major disasters, 4 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for flood (9) and biological (2).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-04-07 | DR-4531 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3453 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2019-06-12 | DR-4442 | Flood | Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| 2014-07-21 | DR-4182 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| 2011-05-10 | DR-1982 | Flood | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2010-04-19 | DR-1900 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2010-03-19 | EM-3310 | Flood | Flooding |
| 2005-09-13 | EM-3242 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2001-05-16 | DR-1370 | Flood | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes |
| 1998-06-23 | DR-1225 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Straight Line Winds, and Tornadoes |
| 1997-04-08 | DR-1175 | Flood | Severe Flooding, High Winds,Severe Storms |
| 1993-06-11 | DR-993 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding |
| 1987-08-06 | DR-797 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding |
| 1976-06-17 | EM-3013 | Drought | Drought |
| 1969-04-18 | DR-255 | Flood | Flooding |
| 1965-04-11 | DR-188 | Flood | Flooding |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Scott County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 32 flood or flash flood records for Scott County from 1997 to 2019, on 29 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Scott County ranks 1221st of 2,942 U.S. counties.
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $1.1 million on 117 claims filed in Scott County; the most in one year was 26 in 2014. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1979: 2 · 1980: 1 · 1983: 25 · 1984: 3 · 1985: 3 · 1987: 2 · 1993: 9 · 1997: 7 · 1998: 9 · 1999: 5 · 2001: 6 · 2010: 3 · 2011: 10 · 2013: 1 · 2014: 26 · 2015: 1 · 2019: 3 · 2024: 1; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Scott County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Scott County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $66.5 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Wind | Very High | $13M | 4.7 a year (modeled) |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | $12M | once in about 3 years (modeled) |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | $2.9M | 6.5 a year (modeled) |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | $7.3M | 9.5 a year (modeled) |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | $2.9M | 6.3 modeled event-days a year |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Moderate | $27M | 1 a year (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Moderate | $194K | 17 a year (modeled) |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | $6K | once in about 8 years (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Scott County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in MinnesotaEvery Minnesota tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Hail in MinnesotaThe state's hail reports, by county, year and month
- The Minnesota recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Scott CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Scott County's FEMA declarations (CSV)16 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis