Carver County, Minnesota

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 27019 · population 106,922 · 354 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 659 records for Carver County, Minnesota from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 383 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (199 records). The deadliest single record is the May 6, 1965 tornado: 3 deaths and 87 injuries. FEMA has issued 17 declarations naming the county since 1965, 15 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms and Flooding” on June 28, 2024.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
659on 383 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
5191 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$788Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
26strongest F4
FEMA declarations
17latest 2024

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Carver County most?

The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 199 since 1964. 53% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1964 fell in June and July. The rank column places the county among Minnesota's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Carver County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Severe thunderstorm wind 199 114 1964-2025 0 3 $27M 3 of 87
Hail 191 95 1956-2025 0 0 $31M 4 of 87
Winter storms 122 120 1996-2026 1 0 – 5 of 87
Floods 32 25 1997-2019 0 0 $12M 10 of 87
Heavy rain 27 11 2009-2024 0 0 – 4 of 87
Tornadoes 26 18 1964-2025 3 187 $718M 6 of 87
Extreme cold 22 22 1996-2026 1 0 $26K 27 of 87
Heat 14 14 1999-2023 0 0 – 3 of 87
High wind and dust storms 11 11 1996-2026 0 0 $3K 23 of 87
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 11 9 1996-2025 0 0 – 7 of 87
Lightning 4 4 1997-2017 0 1 $241K 9 of 87

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Carver County had?

NOAA records 26 tornadoes in Carver County from 1964 to 2025, the strongest rated F4, with 3 deaths and 187 injuries recorded in the county. That is 6th of 87 Minnesota counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 27 tornadoes whose track touched Carver County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 26: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 4 people, 3 of them in Carver County.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Carver County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1965-05-06 18:08, as SPC files itMinnetrista to IndependenceF412.3 mi3
1965-05-06 18:43, as SPC files itGreen Isle to Norwood Young AmericaF211.2 mi1
1965-05-06 18:27, as SPC files itEden Prairie to MinnetonkaF46.9 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Minnesota.

Every tornado record filed for Carver County (26)
Every tornado recorded in Carver County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2025-06-28 Victoria, Carver County EF1 4.38 mi x 250 yd 0 0 –
2025-06-28 Mayer, Carver County EF1 7.18 mi x 300 yd 0 0 –
2025-06-28 Bongards, Carver County EF0 3.37 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2025-06-28 Bongards, Carver County EF0 2.07 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2025-06-28 Assumption, Carver County EF0 5.68 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2022-05-30 New Germany, Carver County EF0 6.48 mi x 400 yd 0 0 –
2022-05-11 Assumption, Carver County EF0 2.6 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2020-08-14 Waconia, Carver County EF0 0.28 mi x 75 yd 0 0 $57K
2019-09-02 Watertown, Carver County EF0 1.33 mi x 90 yd 0 0 $29K
2015-07-17 New Germany, Carver County EF1 5.14 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $436K
2012-08-23 Norwood, Carver County EF0 3.2 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $80K
2000-07-25 Mayer, Carver County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
1996-10-29 Cologne, Carver County F0 7 mi x 100 yd 0 0 –
1996-06-06 Norwood, Carver County F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
1994-06-30 Waconia, Carver County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1988-08-02 Carver County F0 0.3 mi x 13 yd 0 0 $25K step
1985-05-14 Carver County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1985-05-14 Carver County F1 0.5 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $25K step
1983-06-30 Carver County F1 0.5 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $2.5M step
1983-06-30 Carver County F1 2 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $2.5M step
1983-06-13 Carver County F0 0.2 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $30 step
1968-06-13 Carver County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $3K step
1965-05-06 Carver County F2 8.2 mi x 667 yd 0 100 $25M step
1965-05-06 Carver County F4 6.9 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $25M step
1965-05-06 Carver County F4 7.7 mi x 300 yd 3 87 $25M step
1964-05-25 Carver County F0 1 mi x 60 yd 0 0 $3K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Carver County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the August 14, 2020 tornado ($57,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

An NWS Survey indicated a brief EF-0, which was also observed by people nearby. The tornado touched down just off shore on the western edge of Reitz Lake, and moved inland. It caused damage to a boat lift, boat, and several trees before dissipating just north of Airport Road.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 906013)
The 12 most recent records kept for Carver County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-04-02 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2026-03-14 Winter StormCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2026-03-12 High WindCarver County · forecast zone Carver 55 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-02-24 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2026-02-18 Winter StormCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2026-01-22 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2026-01-05 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2026-01-04 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2025-12-28 Winter StormCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2025-12-22 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2025-12-18 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –
2025-12-09 Winter WeatherCarver County · forecast zone Carver 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Carver County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1965-05-06 TornadoCarver County F4 7.7 mi x 300 yd 3 87 $25M step
2019-01-29 Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCarver County · forecast zone Carver Several local weather sources measured wind chill values lower than -35F from Tuesday afternoon, through Thursday morning. The coldest wind chill was -52F. Unfortunately, a 46 year old woman died due to the extreme cold weather in Carver County. The individual was found outside of her vehicle in Laketown Township. 1 0 –
1996-12-23 Winter StormCarver County · forecast zone Carver General 4 to 10 inch snowfall across much of the area. Heaviest snowfalls of 6 to 10 inches in central and eastern sections of area while snow amounts were in the 4 to 6 inch range in the north. A few snowfalls included 6 to 8 inches across the Twin Cities metro area, 10 inches in Jordan, 8 inches at Cambridge, Forest ... 1 0 –
1965-05-06 TornadoCarver County F2 8.2 mi x 667 yd 0 100 $25M step
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindChaska, Carver County Roof torn off building injuring 2. South wall of building center blown out. Damage estimate for entire county. Estimated windspeed. 0 2 $17M
1999-06-05 LightningCarver County Man slightly injured by bolt, taken to local hospital for observation. 0 1 –
1997-07-01 Thunderstorm WindYoung America, Carver County Barn collapse. Trailer home moved 20 feet. Woman inside trailer received minor injuries. Numerous trees down. Estimated windspeed. 0 1 –

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Carver County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2001-06-11 HailWaconia, Carver County 2.75 in hail 0 0 $25M
1998-05-30 Thunderstorm WindChaska, Carver County 0 2 $17M
2014-06-18 FloodChanhassen, Carver County 0 0 $11M
1998-05-15 Thunderstorm WindVictoria, Carver County 0 0 $9.1M
2010-07-17 HailWatertown, Carver County 2.75 in hail 0 0 $4.1M
2001-05-01 HailChanhassen, Carver County 1.75 in hail 0 0 $833K
2015-07-17 TornadoNew Germany, Carver County EF1 5.14 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $436K
2012-06-17 Thunderstorm WindNew Germany, Carver County 61 kt wind 0 0 $386K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $25M, in the dollars of the day) holds: May 6, 1965 (tornado, Carver County, 3 killed); May 6, 1965 (tornado, Carver County); May 6, 1965 (tornado, Carver County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Carver County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Carver County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Severe thunderstorm wind0271748504728
Hail1365151014020
Winter storms––––12353540
Floods––––69170
Heavy rain––––05157
Tornadoes05063138

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

53% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1964 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 29 · Feb 29 · Mar 39 · Apr 43 · May 90 · Jun 149 · Jul 98 · Aug 97 · Sep 26 · Oct 12 · Nov 14 · Dec 33 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Carver County

FEMA's register lists 17 declarations that include Carver County: 13 major disasters, 4 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for flood (9) and severe storm (3).

Declarations including Carver County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2024-06-28DR-4797FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
2020-04-07DR-4531BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3453BiologicalCovid-19
2014-07-21DR-4182FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
2011-05-10DR-1982FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
2010-10-13DR-1941Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2010-04-19DR-1900FloodFlooding
2010-03-19EM-3310FloodFlooding
2005-09-13EM-3242HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2001-05-16DR-1370FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
1998-06-23DR-1225TornadoSevere Storms, Straight Line Winds, and Tornadoes
1997-04-08DR-1175FloodSevere Flooding, High Winds,Severe Storms
1993-06-11DR-993Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1987-08-06DR-797Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & Flooding
1976-06-17EM-3013DroughtDrought
1969-04-18DR-255FloodFlooding
1965-04-11DR-188FloodFlooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Carver County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 32 flood or flash flood records for Carver County from 1997 to 2019, on 25 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Carver County ranks 1488th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $215,000 on 70 claims filed in Carver County; the most in one year was 23 in 1993. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1978: 1 · 1979: 4 · 1980: 1 · 1983: 6 · 1984: 4 · 1991: 3 · 1993: 23 · 1997: 4 · 2001: 4 · 2002: 1 · 2005: 2 · 2009: 1 · 2010: 4 · 2011: 2 · 2014: 8 · 2019: 1 · 2024: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Carver County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Carver County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $41.4 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Carver County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Strong WindRelatively High$5.4M4.7 a year (modeled)
HailRelatively Moderate$2.5M6.6 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Moderate$7.5Monce in about 3 years (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively Moderate$5.0M9.8 a year (modeled)
Ice StormRelatively Moderate$284Konce in about 2 years (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Low$2.1M6.3 modeled event-days a year
LandslideRelatively Low$9Konce in about 11 years (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Low$18Mabout once a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Carver County

  1. Hennepin County 1,442
  2. Wright County 846
  3. McLeod County 751
  4. Scott County 673
  5. Carver County 659
  6. Sibley County 508

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

Next