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Minnesota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lake County, MN

12 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

12
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
34
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Lake County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 12 declarations, more than 14% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 32% below the Minnesota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 34%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 34%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
12
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
9
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 27075 · Lake County 12 declarations · rank 2721/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 12
  • MAJOR-MID 75%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,721
  • PHOTO-FINISH Johnson
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -32%

Nearest declaration peer: Johnson, KS (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Minnesota state profile

Lake County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Lake County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lake County carries 12 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2721 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Lake County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Lake County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lake County

12 14th percentile higher than 14% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lake County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Minnesota avg42/10033.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lake County is led by Cold Wave (about $4.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lake County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 33.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Very High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 14 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 9 claims and $938.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Minnesota county averages 17.7 federal declaration records, while Lake County has 12. The gap is 32% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

49 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Lake County, MN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

12 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
8/25

12 declarations (0.7x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

9 of 12 declarations are major disasters (75%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Lake County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lake County

Lake County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 0, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 11 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 11 8-hazard mean
Lake County NRI risk profile FIPS 27075 · displayed-hazard mean 11/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

12

Low volume

Major Disaster share

75%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

34

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lake County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 24 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 18 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 25 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,333 years
Landslide Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.2 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Very Low 17 modeled event-days per year
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 68,364,406 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Earthquake No Rating roughly once every 15,152 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 5
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Lake County's record, 42% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 75.0%

of all 12 declarations

Emergency - 3 25.0%

of all 12 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2022 1
2020 2
2018 1
2012 1
2009 1
2005 1
2001 1
1999 1
1976 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 12 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 12 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4797 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-06-28
4659 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2022-07-13
4531 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-07
3453 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4390 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2018-09-05
4069 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2012-07-06
1830 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-04-09
3242 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1370 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 2001-05-16
1283 SEVERE STORMS, WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1999-07-28
3013 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
350 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-08-25

Storm Events in Minnesota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lake County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,420 13 25 $68.2M
Hail 4,203 0 0 $34.5M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 1,789 7 4 $55.0K
Winter Storm 1,695 2 17 $10.0M
Heavy Snow 1,190 9 14 $1.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

9

Total Paid

$938.3K

Avg Per Claim

$104.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 33.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought Very Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Earthquake No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Lake County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lake County's closest FEMA peer: Sangamon County, IL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lake County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lake County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lake County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 12 FEMA declarations, Lake County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lake County?
The most common disaster type in Lake County is Flood, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (3), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Lake County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Minnesota average?
The typical Minnesota county has 17.7 FEMA declaration records; Lake County has 12, or 32% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 42% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lake County received?
Lake County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 75% of all 12 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lake County filed?
Lake County has 9 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $938.3K in payments, with an average of $104.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lake County?
No. In Lake County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Cold Wave leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lake County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lake County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lake County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lake County, Minnesota has an overall risk score of 33.9 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lake County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Lake County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 14 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lake County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Minnesota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events