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Minnesota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Sherburne County, MN

10 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

10
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
54
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Sherburne County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 10 declarations, more than 10% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 44% below the Minnesota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 46%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 46%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
10
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
59
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Sherburne County compare?

Sherburne County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

10 10th percentile higher than 10% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Sherburne County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

0/100100/100Minnesota avg42/10053.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Sherburne County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $17.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Sherburne County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 59 paid claims, totaling $478.3K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $8.1K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Minnesota county averages 17.7 federal declaration records, while Sherburne County has 10. The gap is 44% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 53.6/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $30.8M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 4 times per year here, based on 153 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Sherburne County's 10 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Minnesota, however, the count is 44% below the county mean. 7 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 4 times. The full 55-year record averages 0.2 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

45 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Sherburne County, MN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

10 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
7/25

10 declarations (0.6x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

7 of 10 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Sherburne County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Minnesota Avg

-44%

State avg: 17.7

vs. National Avg

-52%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Sherburne County

Sherburne County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 23 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 23 8-hazard mean
Sherburne County NRI risk profile FIPS 27141 · displayed-hazard mean 23/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

10

Low volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

54

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Sherburne County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 4 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 6.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 871 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Drought Relatively Low 9.1 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 34 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.4 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 17 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 15 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 4,566 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 4
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Sherburne County's record, 40% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 7 70.0%

of all 10 declarations

Emergency - 3 30.0%

of all 10 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2005 1
1997 3
1976 1
1969 1
1966 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 10 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 10 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4531 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-07
3453 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3242 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1187 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HIGH WINDS, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-08-25
1175 SEVERE FLOODING, HIGH WINDS,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-08
1158 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-16
3013 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
255 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18
215 FLOODING DR Flood 1966-03-22
188 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-04-11

Storm Events in Minnesota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Sherburne County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,420 13 25 $68.2M
Hail 4,203 0 0 $34.5M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 1,789 7 4 $55.0K
Winter Storm 1,695 2 17 $10.0M
Heavy Snow 1,190 9 14 $1.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

59

Total Paid

$478.3K

Avg Per Claim

$8.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 53.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$30.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Sherburne County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Sherburne County's closest FEMA peer: Meagher County, MT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Sherburne County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Sherburne County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Sherburne County's NFIP claims file (59 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Sherburne County?
The most common disaster type in Sherburne County is Flood, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Severe Storm (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Sherburne County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Minnesota average?
The typical Minnesota county has 17.7 FEMA declaration records; Sherburne County has 10, or 44% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 52% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Sherburne County received?
Sherburne County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 10 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Sherburne County filed?
Sherburne County has 59 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $478.3K in payments, with an average of $8.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Sherburne County?
No. In Sherburne County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $17.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Sherburne County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Sherburne County was 1997, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Sherburne County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Sherburne County, Minnesota has an overall risk score of 53.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $30.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Sherburne County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Sherburne County as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 4 times per year, drawn from 153 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Sherburne County

Against a Minnesota county mean of 18 declarations, Sherburne County, MN records 10, or 44% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (7 of 10) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Minnesota overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 10% of recorded county totals, but its own Minnesota benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.