PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Minnesota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Winona County, MN

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

17
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
69
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Winona County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Minnesota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 31%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 31%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
115
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

How does Winona County compare?

Winona County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Winona County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

0/100100/100Minnesota avg42/10069.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Winona County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $20.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Winona County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 115 paid claims, totaling $3.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $33.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Minnesota county averages 17.7 federal declaration records, while Winona County has 17. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 69.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $30.5M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Winona County's 17 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Minnesota, however, the count is 4% below the county mean. 14 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 6 times. The full 55-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Winona County, MN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

17 declarations (1.0x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

14 of 17 declarations are major disasters (82%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Winona County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Minnesota Avg

-4%

State avg: 17.7

vs. National Avg

-18%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Winona County

Winona County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 26 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 26 8-hazard mean
Winona County NRI risk profile FIPS 27169 · displayed-hazard mean 26/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

82%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

69

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Winona County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 4.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 8.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.5 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 18 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.6 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Low 5.8 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 37 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 15,069 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,086 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 6
Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Winona County's record, 35% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 82.4%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 3 17.6%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2011 1
2007 1
2005 1
2001 1
2000 1
1998 1
1997 1
1993 1
1978 1
1976 1
1975 1
1974 1
1969 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4531 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-07
3453 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4442 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-12
1941 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-10-13
1717 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-08-23
3242 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1370 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 2001-05-16
1333 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1225 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 1998-06-23
1175 SEVERE FLOODING, HIGH WINDS,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-08
993 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-06-11
560 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, HAIL & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1978-07-08
3013 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
476 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1975-07-17
446 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-07-13
255 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18
188 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-04-11

Storm Events in Minnesota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Winona County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,420 13 25 $68.2M
Hail 4,203 0 0 $34.5M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 1,789 7 4 $55.0K
Winter Storm 1,695 2 17 $10.0M
Heavy Snow 1,190 9 14 $1.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

115

Total Paid

$3.9M

Avg Per Claim

$33.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 69.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$30.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Winona County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Winona County's closest FEMA peer: Iron County, MO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Winona County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Winona County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Winona County's NFIP claims file (115 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Winona County?
The most common disaster type in Winona County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Winona County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Minnesota average?
The typical Minnesota county has 17.7 FEMA declaration records; Winona County has 17, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Winona County received?
Winona County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 82% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Winona County filed?
Winona County has 115 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.9M in payments, with an average of $33.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Winona County?
No. In Winona County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $20.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Winona County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Winona County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Winona County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Winona County, Minnesota has an overall risk score of 69.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $30.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Winona County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Winona County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at roughly once every 2 years. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Winona County

Against a Minnesota county mean of 18 declarations, Winona County, MN records 17, or 4% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (14 of 17) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Minnesota overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 32% of recorded county totals, but its own Minnesota benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.