Carlton County, Minnesota

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 27017 · population 36,175 · 861 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 570 records for Carlton County, Minnesota from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 410 days; the most frequent are winter storm records (163 records). 296 of them are forecast-zone records, which the National Weather Service files once per zone: a county covered by several zones receives each one, so a single storm can add several records on the same day. The deadliest single record is the August 7, 2001 heat, filed for the forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton, which covers the county: 5 deaths. FEMA has issued 10 declarations naming the county since 1972, 8 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms and Flooding” on July 19, 2023.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
570on 410 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
1912 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$105Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
9strongest F2
FEMA declarations
10latest 2023

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Carlton County most?

The most frequent records are winter storm records: 163 since 1996. The rank column places the county among Minnesota's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Carlton County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Winter storms 163 154 1996-2026 7 5 $21M 45 of 87
Hail 131 69 1970-2026 0 0 $28K 74 of 87
Severe thunderstorm wind 107 66 1970-2026 0 0 $32K 72 of 87
Extreme cold 58 58 1997-2026 4 1 – 22 of 87
Drought 42 42 2006-2026 0 0 – 5 of 87
Floods 31 19 1997-2024 0 0 $79M 56 of 87
High wind and dust storms 13 12 1998-2023 0 0 $831K 64 of 87
Tornadoes 9 7 1967-2024 0 2 $2.5M 81 of 87
Rip currents and high surf 7 7 2012-2023 2 4 $202K 1 of 87
Lightning 5 5 2002-2025 0 0 $1.1M 19 of 87
Heat 3 3 2001-2016 5 0 – 65 of 87
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 1 1 2017-2017 1 0 – 79 of 87

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Carlton County had?

NOAA records 9 tornadoes in Carlton County from 1967 to 2024, the strongest rated F2, with 0 deaths and 2 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 9 tornadoes whose track touched Carlton County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 9, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Minnesota.

Every tornado record filed for Carlton County (9)
Every tornado recorded in Carlton County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-06-12 Wright, Carlton County EF0 7.8 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $47K
2020-08-14 Automba, Carlton County EF0 2 mi x 100 yd 0 0 –
2020-08-14 Moose Lake Municipal Airport, Carlton County EF1 2.7 mi x 150 yd 0 0 –
1986-06-21 Carlton County F1 0.5 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $3K step
1986-06-21 Carlton County F1 1 mi x 40 yd 0 0 $3K step
1976-06-12 Carlton County F1 0 0 $25K step
1973-07-13 Carlton County F1 0.5 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $25K step
1970-07-07 Carlton County F2 22.3 mi x 123 yd 0 2 $250K step
1967-06-19 Carlton County F0 19.4 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $25K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Carlton County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 10, 2026 thunderstorm wind ($10,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

The 12 most recent records kept for Carlton County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-29 HailWrenshall, Carlton County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-29 HailMahtowa, Carlton County 1.75 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-29 HailBarnum, Carlton County 1.75 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-29 HailBarnum, Carlton County 1.50 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-29 HailBarnum, Carlton County 1.75 in hail 0 0 –
2026-06-10 Thunderstorm WindMoose Lake Municipal Airport, Carlton County 50 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-10 Thunderstorm WindMoose Lake Municipal Airport, Carlton County 55 kt wind 0 0 $10K
2026-04-02 Heavy SnowCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 –
2026-04-01 DroughtCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 –
2026-03-14 Heavy SnowCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 –
2026-03-12 BlizzardCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 –
2026-03-01 DroughtCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Carlton County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2001-08-07 HeatCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton Five people died in a two-day heat wave, during which high temperatures of 91 degrees and heat indexes of 101 were reached. The victims, all in the Duluth area, included 4 males and 1 female, ranging in age from 47 to 73. All were found in rooms without air conditioning and with poor ventilation. The St. Louis County ... 5 0 –
2018-02-03 Winter WeatherCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton A vehicle lost control on ice-covered Interstate 35 and rolled in the median near Cloquet about mid morning. A male who was not wearing a seat belt was transported to an area hospital where he succumbed to his injuries a few days later. Another crash occurred later in the afternoon around 4:15 PM when a vehicle lost ... 2 1 –
2017-08-10 Rip CurrentCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton A father and his daughter were swimming in high surf and swept away in Lake Superior off of Park Point Beach in Duluth. First responders retrieved both individuals and transported them to an area hospital where they were pronounced dead by drowning. During the rescue a fire department boat was flipped by waves. A ... 2 1 –
2018-02-19 Heavy SnowCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton A car accident occurred during a snow storm along Highway 61 near Brighton Beach in Duluth. The vehicle crossed the center line and crashed into an oncoming vehicle resulting in a the driver one of the vehicles succumbing to her injuries. Roads were snow-covered and slippery at the time with snow falling. Snowfall ... 1 2 –
2010-05-07 Winter WeatherCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton A late season snow wreaked havoc on northeastern Minnesota roads. An ambulance transporting three people struck another vehicle on Highway 2 near Brookston and flipped over a guardrail around 1930 CDT. One person was killed in the ambulance, and two were injured. 1 2 –
2023-03-16 Heavy SnowCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton Snowfall totals varied greatly across southern St. Louis and Carlton counties during the event. Locations near Lake Superior received very little while inland locations received 4 to 6 inches. A total of 7 inches was reported near Wright. One person died from exposure after leaving a bar as the snow was ending and was ... 1 0 –
2021-03-10 Heavy SnowCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton Abnormally warm temperatures were present across the region leading up to this event with highs in the mid 50s. The warm air near the surface set the stage for a wintry mix followed by heavy wet snow by the evening hours. Additionally, a surface low was deepening as it encroached on the Northland, bringing gusty winds ... 1 0 –
2017-12-16 Cold/Wind ChillCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton A man and his dog were found deceased in a cabin in the Saginaw area. Authorities determined that the cause of death was carbon monoxide poisoning from a generator running inside the cabin. 1 0 –
The costliest records in Carlton County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2012-06-20 Flash FloodEsko, Carlton County 0 0 $26M
2018-10-09 Lakeshore FloodCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 $22M
2012-06-20 FloodMoose Lake, Carlton County 0 0 $21M
2018-04-15 Winter StormCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 $11M
2001-04-22 Ice StormCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 $7.0M
2017-10-27 Lakeshore FloodCarlton County and St. Louis County · forecast zone Southern St. Louis / Carlton 0 0 $4.2M
2012-06-20 FloodCarlton County 0 0 $3.9M
2012-06-20 Flash FloodEsko, Carlton County 0 0 $2.6M

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: July 7, 1970 (tornado, Carlton County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Carlton County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Carlton County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Winter storms––––20435347
Hail005614263644
Severe thunderstorm wind004121984024
Extreme cold––––1102918
Drought––––013821
Floods––––13261

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

Records by month in Carlton County. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 55 · Feb 50 · Mar 43 · Apr 32 · May 52 · Jun 77 · Jul 77 · Aug 57 · Sep 29 · Oct 20 · Nov 26 · Dec 52 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Carlton County

FEMA's register lists 10 declarations that include Carlton County: 7 major disasters, 3 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for flood (5) and biological (2).

Declarations including Carlton County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2023-07-19DR-4722FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
2020-04-07DR-4531BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3453BiologicalCovid-19
2018-09-05DR-4390FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2012-07-06DR-4069Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2005-09-13EM-3242HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2001-05-16DR-1370FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
1976-06-17EM-3013DroughtDrought
1972-08-25DR-350FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
1972-08-01DR-347FloodSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Carlton County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 31 flood or flash flood records for Carlton County from 1997 to 2024, on 19 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Carlton County ranks 2105th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $627,000 on 19 claims filed in Carlton County; the most in one year was 9 in 2012. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1985: 3 · 1986: 2 · 2012: 9 · 2013: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2023: 1 · 2025: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Carlton County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Carlton County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $31.7 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Carlton County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
Cold WaveRelatively High$18M16 a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively Moderate$471K30 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Low$11Monce in about 2 years (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Low$677K0.9 modeled event-days a year
Ice StormRelatively Low$105Konce in about 2 years (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively Low$65K24 a year (modeled)
HailRelatively Low$253K2 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Low$694Konce in about 8 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Carlton County

  1. St. Louis County 2,311
  2. Aitkin County 687
  3. Carlton County 570
  4. Douglas County, WI 548
  5. Pine County 534

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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