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Minnesota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mahnomen County, MN

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
7
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Mahnomen County. Its 20 FEMA declarations are 13% above the Minnesota county mean and exceed the count for 46% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 7%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 7%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
10
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 27087 · Mahnomen County 20 declarations · rank 1636/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 85%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,636
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +13%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Minnesota state profile

Mahnomen County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Mahnomen County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Mahnomen County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1636 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Mahnomen County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Mahnomen County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Mahnomen County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Mahnomen County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Minnesota avg42/1007.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mahnomen County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $910.8K Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mahnomen County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 7.1/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $2.3M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 11 modeled event-days per year here, based on 364 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 10 claims and $149.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Mahnomen County's 20 federal records stand 13% above the Minnesota county mean of 17.7. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mahnomen County, MN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

20 declarations (1.1x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

17 of 20 declarations are major disasters (85%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Mahnomen County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mahnomen County

Mahnomen County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 14 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 14 8-hazard mean
Mahnomen County NRI risk profile FIPS 27087 · displayed-hazard mean 14/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

85%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

7

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mahnomen County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 11 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 487 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 20 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.5 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 19 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 29 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0.8 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 35 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 10,526 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 8
Severe Storm 8
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Mahnomen County's record, 40% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 85.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 3 15.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2022 1
2020 2
2019 1
2009 1
2005 1
2002 1
2000 1
1997 2
1995 1
1993 1
1978 1
1976 1
1975 1
1974 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1969 1
1966 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4722 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2023-07-19
4659 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2022-07-13
4531 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-07
3453 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4442 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-12
1830 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-04-09
3242 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1419 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2002-06-14
1333 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-06-27
1175 SEVERE FLOODING, HIGH WINDS,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-08
1158 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-16
1064 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, WINDS, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND HEAT DR Severe Storm 1995-08-18
993 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-06-11
560 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, HAIL & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1978-07-08
3013 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
476 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1975-07-17
440 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10
255 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18
215 FLOODING DR Flood 1966-03-22
188 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-04-11

Storm Events in Minnesota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mahnomen County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,420 13 25 $68.2M
Hail 4,203 0 0 $34.5M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 1,789 7 4 $55.0K
Winter Storm 1,695 2 17 $10.0M
Heavy Snow 1,190 9 14 $1.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

10

Total Paid

$149.6K

Avg Per Claim

$15.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 7.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$2.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Mahnomen County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mahnomen County's closest FEMA peer: Madison County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mahnomen County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mahnomen County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Mahnomen County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 20 FEMA declarations, Mahnomen County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mahnomen County?
The most common disaster type in Mahnomen County is Severe Storm, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (8), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Mahnomen County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Minnesota average?
FEMA lists 20 declaration records for Mahnomen County. That is 13% above the Minnesota county mean of 17.7. Its count is also 3% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mahnomen County received?
Mahnomen County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 85% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Mahnomen County filed?
Mahnomen County has 10 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $149.6K in payments, with an average of $15.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mahnomen County?
No. In Mahnomen County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $910.8K. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mahnomen County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mahnomen County was 1997, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mahnomen County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mahnomen County, Minnesota has an overall risk score of 7.1 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $2.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mahnomen County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Mahnomen County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Very Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 11 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 364 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Mahnomen County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Minnesota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events