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Minnesota · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Murray County, MN

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

17
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
20
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Murray County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Minnesota county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 20%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 20%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
15
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 27101 · Murray County 17 declarations · rank 2072/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 82%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,072
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -4%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Minnesota state profile

Murray County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Murray County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Murray County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2072 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Murray County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Murray County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Murray County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Murray County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Minnesota avg42/10019.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Minnesota county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Murray County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Murray County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 19.8/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $7.3M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability score and Very High community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 11 modeled event-days per year here, based on 308 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 15 claims and $165.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Minnesota county averages 17.7 federal declaration records, while Murray County has 17. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

58 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Murray County, MN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

17 declarations (1.0x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

14 of 17 declarations are major disasters (82%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Murray County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Murray County

Murray County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
Murray County NRI risk profile FIPS 27101 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

82%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

20

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Murray County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 11 modeled event-days per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 22 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 5.1 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 12 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.4 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 12 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 5,994 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,890 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 37 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 7
Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Murray County's record, 41% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 82.4%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 3 17.6%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2018 1
2014 1
2013 1
2011 1
2005 1
1997 3
1993 1
1992 1
1976 1
1969 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4797 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-06-28
4531 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-07
3453 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4442 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-12
4390 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2018-09-05
4182 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2014-07-21
4113 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2013-05-03
1941 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-10-13
3242 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1175 SEVERE FLOODING, HIGH WINDS,SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-08
1158 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1997-01-16
1151 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Storm 1997-01-07
993 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-06-11
946 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1992-06-26
3013 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-06-17
268 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-05
255 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-18

Storm Events in Minnesota

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Murray County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,420 13 25 $68.2M
Hail 4,203 0 0 $34.5M
Extreme Cold/Wind Chill 1,789 7 4 $55.0K
Winter Storm 1,695 2 17 $10.0M
Heavy Snow 1,190 9 14 $1.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

15

Total Paid

$165.7K

Avg Per Claim

$11.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 19.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Murray County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Murray County's closest FEMA peer: Adair County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Murray County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Murray County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Murray County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 17 FEMA declarations, Murray County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Murray County?
The most common disaster type in Murray County is Flood, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (6), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Murray County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Minnesota average?
The typical Minnesota county has 17.7 FEMA declaration records; Murray County has 17, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Murray County received?
Murray County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 82% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Murray County filed?
Murray County has 15 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $165.7K in payments, with an average of $11.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Murray County?
No. In Murray County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Murray County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Murray County was 1997, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Murray County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Murray County, Minnesota has an overall risk score of 19.8 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Murray County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Murray County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 11 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 308 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Murray County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Minnesota profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events