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North Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Alamance County, NC

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

27
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
77
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Alamance County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 12% above the North Carolina county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 23%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 23%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
168
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Alamance County compare?

Alamance County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Alamance County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

0/100100/100North Carolina avg67/10077.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Alamance County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $26.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Winter Weather carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Alamance County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 168 paid claims, totaling $5.1M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $30.4K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Alamance County's 27 federal records stand 12% above the North Carolina county mean of 24.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 77.1/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $41.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Winter Weather stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7.9 times per year here, based on 150 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 27 entries for Alamance County, including 13 Major Disaster records, 12% above the North Carolina county mean. Across the 49-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 12 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Alamance County, NC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

27 declarations (1.1x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
12/25

13 of 27 declarations are major disasters (48%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Alamance County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. North Carolina Avg

+12%

State avg: 24.0

vs. National Avg

+30%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 49 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Alamance County

Alamance County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 37 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 37 8-hazard mean
Alamance County NRI risk profile FIPS 37001 · displayed-hazard mean 37/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

48%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

77

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Alamance County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 7.9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 47 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 6 years
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 9 years
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 4.5 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 797 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,163 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 12
Severe Ice Storm 3
Snowstorm 3
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Depression 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Alamance County's federal record, 44% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 14 51.9%

of all 27 declarations

Major Disaster - 13 48.1%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 2
2023 1
2020 3
2019 2
2018 2
2017 1
2014 1
2011 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 2
2000 1
1999 2
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1996 2
1993 1
1977 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3637 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4889 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL DR Tropical Depression 2025-09-11
3617 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3608 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-06
3586 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-10-01
3534 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-02
4487 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3471 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3423 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-03
4412 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2019-01-31
4393 HURRICANE FLORENCE DR Hurricane 2018-09-14
3401 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
3380 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-07
4167 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-03-31
1969 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-19
3222 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1553 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-18
1457 ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-03-27
1448 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2002-12-12
1312 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2000-01-31
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1292 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-16
3146 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-15
1134 HURRICANE FRAN DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
1087 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3110 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
3049 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-08-11
3033 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-03-02

Storm Events in North Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Alamance County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,123 11 60 $62.9M
Flash Flood 1,881 105 6 $2.3B
Hail 1,623 0 0 $122.5M
Winter Weather 1,272 6 2 $425.0K
Winter Storm 743 7 0 $10.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

168

Total Paid

$5.1M

Avg Per Claim

$30.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 77.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$41.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Winter Weather Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Winter Weather

Winter Weather in the model means the accumulation of snow and cold that disrupts rather than destroys: road closures, roof loads, burst pipes and lost heating. Its costs land heavily on transport and on households least able to absorb an interruption.

Worth noting for Alamance County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Winter Weather carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Alamance County's closest FEMA peer: Eastland County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Alamance County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Alamance County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Alamance County's NFIP claims file (168 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Alamance County?
The most common disaster type in Alamance County is Hurricane, with 12 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (3), Snowstorm (3), Tropical Storm (2).
How does Alamance County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Carolina average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Alamance County. That is 12% above the North Carolina county mean of 24.0. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Alamance County received?
Alamance County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 48% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Alamance County filed?
Alamance County has 168 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $5.1M in payments, with an average of $30.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Alamance County?
No. In Alamance County, Winter Weather has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $26.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Alamance County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Alamance County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Alamance County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Alamance County, North Carolina has an overall risk score of 77.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $41.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Alamance County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Alamance County as of the latest release is Winter Weather (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts winter weather here at an average of 7.9 times per year, drawn from 150 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Alamance County

Alamance County, NC has 27 federal declaration records, 12% more than the North Carolina county mean of 24; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, emergency leads with 14 of 27 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. North Carolina overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the North Carolina mean and the totals for 78% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.