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North Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Transylvania County, NC

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1993-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

18
FEMA declarations
8
Major disasters
64
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Transylvania County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 25% below the North Carolina county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 36%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 36%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
153
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 37175 · Transylvania County 18 declarations · rank 1968/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 44%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,968
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW 64
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -25%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Carolina state profile

Transylvania County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Transylvania County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Transylvania County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1968 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Transylvania County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Transylvania County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Transylvania County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Transylvania County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Carolina avg67/10064.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Transylvania County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Transylvania County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 153 paid claims, totaling $6.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $41.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Carolina county averages 24.0 federal declaration records, while Transylvania County has 18. The gap is 25% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 64.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $17.9M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here.

53 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Transylvania County, NC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

18 declarations (0.7x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

8 of 18 declarations are major disasters (44%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Transylvania County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Transylvania County

Transylvania County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 26 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 26 8-hazard mean
Transylvania County NRI risk profile FIPS 37175 · displayed-hazard mean 26/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

44%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

64

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Transylvania County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 3 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.6 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 60 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 497 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 28 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.3 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.5 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 33 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,147 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 10 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Winter Storm 1
Fire 1
Severe Storm 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Transylvania County's federal record, 44% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 9 50.0%

of all 18 declarations

Major Disaster - 8 44.4%

of all 18 declarations

Fire Management - 1 5.6%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 2
2023 1
2021 1
2020 3
2019 1
2018 1
2005 1
2004 2
1998 1
1996 2
1993 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3637 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
5578 TABLE ROCK FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-27
4827 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-09-28
3617 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3586 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-10-01
4617 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM FRED DR Hurricane 2021-09-08
3534 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-02
4487 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3471 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3423 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-03
3401 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
3222 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1553 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-18
1546 TROPICAL STORM FRANCES DR Hurricane 2004-09-10
1200 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-15
1087 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1073 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1995-10-23
3110 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17

Storm Events in North Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Transylvania County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,123 11 60 $62.9M
Flash Flood 1,881 105 6 $2.3B
Hail 1,623 0 0 $122.5M
Winter Weather 1,272 6 2 $425.0K
Winter Storm 743 7 0 $10.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

153

Total Paid

$6.3M

Avg Per Claim

$41.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 64.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$17.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Transylvania County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Transylvania County's closest FEMA peer: Lincoln County, MT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Transylvania County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Transylvania County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Transylvania County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Transylvania County's NFIP claims file (153 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Transylvania County?
The most common disaster type in Transylvania County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Tropical Storm (2), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Transylvania County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Carolina average?
The typical North Carolina county has 24.0 FEMA declaration records; Transylvania County has 18, or 25% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Transylvania County received?
Transylvania County has received 8 major disaster declarations, representing 44% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Transylvania County filed?
Transylvania County has 153 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $6.3M in payments, with an average of $41.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Transylvania County?
No. In Transylvania County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Transylvania County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Transylvania County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1993 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Transylvania County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Transylvania County, North Carolina has an overall risk score of 64.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $17.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Transylvania County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Transylvania County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively High) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.2 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Transylvania County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Carolina profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events