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North Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Caswell County, NC

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

25
FEMA declarations
11
Major disasters
22
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Caswell County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 4% above the North Carolina county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 22%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 37033 · Caswell County 25 declarations · rank 847/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 25
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 44%
  • RANK-LOWER #847
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +4%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, AR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Carolina state profile

Caswell County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Caswell County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Caswell County carries 25 FEMA declaration records, ranked 847 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Caswell County ranks in the national declaration registry

Caswell County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Caswell County

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Caswell County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Carolina avg67/10022.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Caswell County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Caswell County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 22.4/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.3M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Hurricane, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 11 years here, based on 18 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $0 paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Caswell County's 25 federal records stand 4% above the North Carolina county mean of 24.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Caswell County, NC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

25 declarations (1.0x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

11 of 25 declarations are major disasters (44%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Caswell County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Caswell County

Caswell County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Caswell County NRI risk profile FIPS 37033 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

44%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

22

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Caswell County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 11 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 17 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 6.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.5 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 7 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 820 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Heat Wave Very Low 2.1 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 46 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,943 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 2 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 11
Snowstorm 4
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Depression 1
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Caswell County's federal record, 44% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 14 56.0%

of all 25 declarations

Major Disaster - 11 44.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2024 2
2023 1
2020 3
2019 2
2018 1
2017 1
2014 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
2000 1
1999 2
1996 3
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1977 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3637 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4889 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL DR Tropical Depression 2025-09-11
3617 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3608 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY EM Tropical Storm 2024-08-06
3586 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-10-01
3534 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-02
4487 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3471 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3423 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-03
4412 TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL DR Hurricane 2019-01-31
3401 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
3380 HURRICANE MATTHEW EM Hurricane 2016-10-07
4167 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-03-31
3222 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1553 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-18
1457 ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-03-27
1312 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2000-01-31
1292 HURRICANE FLOYD MAJOR DISASTER DECLARATIONS DR Hurricane 1999-09-16
3146 HURRICANE FLOYD EMERGENCY DECLARATIONS EM Hurricane 1999-09-15
1134 HURRICANE FRAN DR Hurricane 1996-09-06
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1103 WINTER STORM DR Snowstorm 1996-02-23
1087 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
3110 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17
3049 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-08-11
3033 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-03-02

Storm Events in North Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Caswell County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,123 11 60 $62.9M
Flash Flood 1,881 105 6 $2.3B
Hail 1,623 0 0 $122.5M
Winter Weather 1,272 6 2 $425.0K
Winter Storm 743 7 0 $10.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$0

Avg Per Claim

$0

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 22.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Caswell County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Caswell County's closest FEMA peer: Genesee County, NY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Caswell County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Caswell County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Caswell County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Caswell County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Caswell County?
The most common disaster type in Caswell County is Hurricane, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (4), Tropical Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Caswell County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Carolina average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Caswell County. That is 4% above the North Carolina county mean of 24.0. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Caswell County received?
Caswell County has received 11 major disaster declarations, representing 44% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Caswell County filed?
Caswell County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $0 in payments, with an average of $0 per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Caswell County?
No. In Caswell County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Caswell County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Caswell County was 1996, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Caswell County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Caswell County, North Carolina has an overall risk score of 22.4 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Caswell County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Caswell County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Landslide (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 11 years, drawn from 18 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Caswell County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Carolina profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events