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North Carolina · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Swain County, NC

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1993-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

17
FEMA declarations
6
Major disasters
49
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Swain County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 29% below the North Carolina county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 49%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 49%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
56
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 37173 · Swain County 17 declarations · rank 2157/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 35%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,157
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-LOW 49
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -29%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · North Carolina state profile

Swain County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Swain County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Swain County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2157 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Swain County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Swain County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Swain County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Swain County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100North Carolina avg67/10049.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the North Carolina county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Swain County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Swain County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 56 paid claims, totaling $1.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $21.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a North Carolina county averages 24.0 federal declaration records, while Swain County has 17. The gap is 29% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 49.1/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $9.8M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.3 times per year here.

50 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Swain County, NC · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

17 declarations (0.7x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
9/25

6 of 17 declarations are major disasters (35%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Swain County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Swain County

Swain County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 18 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 18 8-hazard mean
Swain County NRI risk profile FIPS 37173 · displayed-hazard mean 18/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

35%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

49

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Swain County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 2.3 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 3.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 278 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 423 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 44 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 56 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 22 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Drought Very Low 33 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 3.6 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 6
Fire 2
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Winter Storm 1
Severe Storm 1
Flood 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Swain County's federal record, 35% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 9 52.9%

of all 17 declarations

Major Disaster - 6 35.3%

of all 17 declarations

Fire Management - 2 11.8%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 2
2023 1
2020 4
2019 1
2018 1
2005 1
2004 1
1996 2
1993 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3637 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
5580 SAM DAVIS ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2025-04-20
5577 ALARKA FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-26
4827 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-09-28
3617 HURRICANE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-26
3586 HURRICANE IAN EM Hurricane 2022-10-01
3534 HURRICANE ISAIAS EM Hurricane 2020-08-02
4543 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-05-08
4487 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3471 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3423 HURRICANE DORIAN EM Hurricane 2019-09-03
3401 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-10
3222 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1553 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-18
1087 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1073 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, HIGH WINDS DR Flood 1995-10-23
3110 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-17

Storm Events in North Carolina

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Swain County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,123 11 60 $62.9M
Flash Flood 1,881 105 6 $2.3B
Hail 1,623 0 0 $122.5M
Winter Weather 1,272 6 2 $425.0K
Winter Storm 743 7 0 $10.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

56

Total Paid

$1.2M

Avg Per Claim

$21.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 49.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Hail Very Low
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Swain County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Swain County's closest FEMA peer: King County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Swain County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Swain County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Swain County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Swain County's NFIP claims file (56 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Swain County?
The most common disaster type in Swain County is Hurricane, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (2), Tropical Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Swain County's FEMA declaration record compare with the North Carolina average?
The typical North Carolina county has 24.0 FEMA declaration records; Swain County has 17, or 29% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Swain County received?
Swain County has received 6 major disaster declarations, representing 35% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Swain County filed?
Swain County has 56 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.2M in payments, with an average of $21.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Swain County?
No. In Swain County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Swain County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Swain County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1993 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Swain County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Swain County, North Carolina has an overall risk score of 49.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Swain County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Swain County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 2.3 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Swain County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · North Carolina profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events