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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Potter County, PA

14 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

14
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
28
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Potter County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 14 declarations, more than 20% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 25% below the Pennsylvania county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 28%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 28%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
14
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
90
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 42105 · Potter County 14 declarations · rank 2555/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 14
  • MAJOR-MID 64%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,555
  • PHOTO-FINISH Pulaski
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -25%

Nearest declaration peer: Pulaski, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Pennsylvania state profile

Potter County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Potter County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Potter County carries 14 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2555 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Potter County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Potter County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Potter County

14 20th percentile higher than 20% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Potter County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10028.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Potter County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Potter County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 90 paid claims, totaling $1.1M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $12.5K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Pennsylvania county averages 18.6 federal declaration records, while Potter County has 14. The gap is 25% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 28.1/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $7.7M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Relatively High community-resilience score. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Landslide, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.7 times per year here.

50 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Potter County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
10/30

14 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

14 declarations (0.8x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

9 of 14 declarations are major disasters (64%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Potter County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Potter County

Potter County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 11 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 11 8-hazard mean
Potter County NRI risk profile FIPS 42105 · displayed-hazard mean 11/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

14

Low volume

Major Disaster share

64%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

28

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Potter County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 37 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.9 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 17 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 31 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,841 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 9,741 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 4
Flood 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Snowstorm 2
Tropical Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Potter County's federal record, 29% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 64.3%

of all 14 declarations

Emergency - 5 35.7%

of all 14 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2013 2
2005 1
2004 2
2003 1
1996 1
1993 1
1977 1
1975 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 14 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 14 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4815 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY DR Tropical Storm 2024-09-11
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4099 HURRICANE SANDY DR Hurricane 2013-01-10
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1485 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-08-23
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
3026 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-01-29
485 SEVERE STORMS, HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-09-26
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Potter County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

90

Total Paid

$1.1M

Avg Per Claim

$12.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 28.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Potter County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Low), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Potter County's closest FEMA peer: Shiawassee County, MI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Potter County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Potter County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Potter County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Potter County's NFIP claims file (90 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Potter County?
The most common disaster type in Potter County is Hurricane, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Potter County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
The typical Pennsylvania county has 18.6 FEMA declaration records; Potter County has 14, or 25% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 32% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Potter County received?
Potter County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 64% of all 14 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Potter County filed?
Potter County has 90 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.1M in payments, with an average of $12.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Potter County?
No. In Potter County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Low), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Potter County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Potter County was 2004, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Potter County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Potter County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 28.1 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Potter County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Potter County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Avalanche (Very Low) and Hurricane (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.7 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Potter County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Pennsylvania profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events