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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lehigh County, PA

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

17
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
94
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Lehigh County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 9% below the Pennsylvania county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 6%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 6%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
967
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Lehigh County compare?

Lehigh County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Lehigh County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10093.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lehigh County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $68.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Cold Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lehigh County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 967 claims and $12.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $12.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Pennsylvania county averages 18.6 federal declaration records, while Lehigh County has 17. The gap is 9% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 93.9/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $128.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Cold Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1 time per year here, based on 19 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Lehigh County's 17 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Pennsylvania, however, the count is 9% below the county mean. 10 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 5 times. The full 55-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

53 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lehigh County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

17 declarations (0.9x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

10 of 17 declarations are major disasters (59%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Lehigh County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Pennsylvania Avg

-9%

State avg: 18.6

vs. National Avg

-18%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lehigh County

Lehigh County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 70, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 48 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 48 8-hazard mean
Lehigh County NRI risk profile FIPS 42077 · displayed-hazard mean 48/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

59%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

94

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lehigh County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Very High an average of 1 time per year
Winter Weather Very High an average of 14 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 6.1 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 35 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 6.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 3.2 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 17 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 760 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 5 years
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 1.7 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 36,809 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 5
Snowstorm 3
Flood 3
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Lehigh County's federal record, 29% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 58.8%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 7 41.2%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2016 1
2013 1
2011 3
2005 1
2004 2
2003 1
1996 2
1994 1
1993 1
1972 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4267 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2016-03-23
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
3340 REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE EM Flood 2011-09-08
4025 HURRICANE IRENE DR Hurricane 2011-09-03
3339 HURRICANE IRENE EM Hurricane 2011-08-29
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
3180 SNOW EM Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
1085 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1015 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 1994-03-10
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23
206 WATER SHORTAGE DR Drought 1965-08-18

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lehigh County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

967

Total Paid

$12.4M

Avg Per Claim

$12.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 93.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$128.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Very High
Winter Weather Very High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Avalanche Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Lehigh County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lehigh County's closest FEMA peer: Butte County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lehigh County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lehigh County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lehigh County's NFIP claims file (967 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lehigh County?
The most common disaster type in Lehigh County is Hurricane, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Flood (3), Severe Storm (3).
How does Lehigh County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
The typical Pennsylvania county has 18.6 FEMA declaration records; Lehigh County has 17, or 9% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lehigh County received?
Lehigh County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 59% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lehigh County filed?
Lehigh County has 967 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $12.4M in payments, with an average of $12.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lehigh County?
No. In Lehigh County, Cold Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $68.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lehigh County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lehigh County was 2011, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lehigh County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lehigh County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 93.9 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $128.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lehigh County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Lehigh County is Cold Wave (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Very High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 1 time per year, drawn from 19 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Lehigh County

Against a Pennsylvania county mean of 19 declarations, Lehigh County, PA records 17, or 9% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (10 of 17) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Pennsylvania overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 32% of recorded county totals, but its own Pennsylvania benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.