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Pennsylvania · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Clarion County, PA

14 FEMA disaster declarations (1972-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

14
FEMA declarations
9
Major disasters
30
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Clarion County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 14 declarations, more than 20% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 25% below the Pennsylvania county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 30%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 30%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
14
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
188
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Clarion County compare?

Clarion County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

14 20th percentile higher than 20% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Clarion County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

0/100100/100Pennsylvania avg67/10030/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Pennsylvania county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Clarion County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Clarion County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 188 paid claims, totaling $2.9M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $15.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Pennsylvania county averages 18.6 federal declaration records, while Clarion County has 14. The gap is 25% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 30.0/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $8.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively High) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Lightning carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 38 times per year here, based on 109,309 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Clarion County's 14 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Pennsylvania, however, the count is 25% below the county mean. 9 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Flood, appearing 5 times. The full 48-year record averages 0.3 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

48 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Clarion County, PA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
10/30

14 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.7x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

14 declarations (0.8x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

9 of 14 declarations are major disasters (64%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Clarion County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Pennsylvania Avg

-25%

State avg: 18.6

vs. National Avg

-32%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 48 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Clarion County

Clarion County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Clarion County NRI risk profile FIPS 42031 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

14

Low volume

Major Disaster share

64%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

30

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Clarion County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 38 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 37 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,795 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 16 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 12,192 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.6 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2.6 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 5
Hurricane 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Snowstorm 2

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Clarion County's record, 36% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 9 64.3%

of all 14 declarations

Emergency - 5 35.7%

of all 14 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2013 1
2005 1
2004 2
2003 1
1996 2
1993 1
1981 1
1980 1
1977 1
1972 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 14 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 14 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4506 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-30
3441 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3356 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
3235 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1555 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES DR Severe Storm 2004-09-19
1557 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-19
1485 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-08-23
1130 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Flood 1996-07-26
1093 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1996-01-21
3105 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
641 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1981-06-15
629 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-08-19
3026 SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1977-01-29
340 TROPICAL STORM AGNES DR Flood 1972-06-23

Storm Events in Pennsylvania

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Clarion County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 9,976 18 114 $115.5M
Flash Flood 2,288 23 8 $463.2M
Winter Weather 1,670 23 268 $566.0K
Hail 1,400 0 0 $2.6M
Winter Storm 881 14 17 $2.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

188

Total Paid

$2.9M

Avg Per Claim

$15.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 30.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

Worth noting for Clarion County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Lightning carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Clarion County's closest FEMA peer: Sioux County, NE

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Clarion County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Clarion County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Clarion County's NFIP claims file (188 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Clarion County?
The most common disaster type in Clarion County is Flood, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Hurricane (3), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).
How does Clarion County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Pennsylvania average?
The typical Pennsylvania county has 18.6 FEMA declaration records; Clarion County has 14, or 25% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 32% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Clarion County received?
Clarion County has received 9 major disaster declarations, representing 64% of all 14 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Clarion County filed?
Clarion County has 188 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.9M in payments, with an average of $15.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Clarion County?
No. In Clarion County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Clarion County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Clarion County was 1996, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1972 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Clarion County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Clarion County, Pennsylvania has an overall risk score of 30.0 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Clarion County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Clarion County as of the latest release is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Hurricane (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 38 times per year, drawn from 109,309 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Clarion County

Against a Pennsylvania county mean of 19 declarations, Clarion County, PA records 14, or 25% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (9 of 14) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Pennsylvania overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 20% of recorded county totals, but its own Pennsylvania benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.